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This report provides a comprehensive analysis of South Africa's development trajectory to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' (business-as-usual) against eight sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined' scenario. It examines the impacts of demographics, health, education, manufacturing, trade (AfCFTA), infrastructure, financial flows, and governance on the country's GDP, poverty levels, and carbon emissions. The analysis highlights structural challenges such as extreme inequality, high unemployment, and a history of deindustrialisation, while offering policy recommendations to transition toward an export-led, green economy with improved human capital and governance.

The report provides a comprehensive analysis of Senegal's development trajectory up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' (business-as-usual) forecast against eight sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. It examines demographics, economic growth, infrastructure, and governance, highlighting the potential for significant GDP and poverty reduction through targeted industrialization, educational reform, and regional trade integration via the AfCFTA.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Uganda's development trajectory toward 2040, comparing a 'Current Path' against eight sectoral scenarios. It evaluates progress across demographics, health, education, infrastructure, agriculture, manufacturing, trade, and governance, concluding that while progress has been made, integrated policy interventions are required to meet the goals of Uganda Vision 2040.

This report conclusion by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes developmental trajectories for Senegal, identifying key economic and social challenges and proposing sectoral scenarios to accelerate growth. It emphasizes a holistic development strategy aligned with the African Union's Agenda 2063 to reduce poverty and increase GDP.

This report provides a conclusion and set of policy recommendations for Tanzania's developmental trajectory, analyzing various sectoral scenarios to identify pathways for economic growth and poverty reduction. It highlights structural constraints such as extreme informality and weak education outcomes, while proposing a 'Combined scenario' of coordinated reforms to significantly boost GDP and reduce poverty by 2043.

This conclusion from the 'Zimbabwe Development Futures' report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Zimbabwe's developmental trajectory to 2043. It identifies structural challenges and proposes a synergized policy approach across eight sectors to transition the country from a resource-based economy to an industrialised production hub, with a specific focus on manufacturing as the primary driver for sustainable growth.

This research paper conclusion evaluates Rwanda's progress toward its Vision 2050 goals, comparing a 'Current Path' scenario with a 'Combined' scenario of targeted intersectoral policies. It outlines specific policy recommendations across education, technology, agriculture, and governance to achieve high-income status and eliminate extreme poverty.

This report concludes a modeling exercise of Uganda's development trajectories toward 2040, stating that the country will not reach middle-income status by 2040 on its current path. It outlines a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' that could see GDP per capita reach US$9,568 by 2045 and a significant reduction in extreme poverty, provided specific sectoral interventions in education, infrastructure, agriculture, and governance are implemented.

This report provides a conclusion and set of policy recommendations for Tunisia's development trajectory toward 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' scenario, which is deemed insufficient to meet national and continental goals, against a 'Combined' scenario of coordinated interventions across eight sectors to achieve inclusive and sustainable growth.

This report provides a conclusion and a set of policy recommendations for Niger's development, outlining a path to transition from extreme poverty and political instability toward inclusive growth by leveraging its youthful population and natural resources.

This research paper presents the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Sierra Leone, integrating 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast economic and social development by 2043. The scenario projects significant increases in GDP per capita and a substantial reduction in poverty compared to a 'Current Path' forecast, though it also predicts higher carbon emissions.

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Togo, forecasting economic, social, and environmental outcomes by 2043. The scenario integrates 11 sectoral improvements to project significant increases in GDP per capita and poverty reduction, while noting a corresponding increase in carbon emissions compared to a 'Current Path' forecast.

This report provides a scenario-based analysis of South Sudan's development trajectory from 2023 to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' baseline with a 'Combined' scenario of integrated reforms across governance, education, health, agriculture, and infrastructure.

This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for São Tomé and Príncipe, integrating 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast economic and social outcomes by 2043. The analysis compares this integrated approach against a 'Current Path' forecast, highlighting significant gains in GDP and poverty reduction, alongside an increase in carbon emissions.

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of Ghana's socio-economic trajectory through 2043, evaluating its current path and various development scenarios. It examines the country's transition from a commodity-export dependent economy to potential industrialization, while highlighting critical challenges in governance, infrastructure, and public health.

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies explains the concept of the demographic dividend, focusing on the first dividend where the working-age population grows relative to dependants. It details the metrics used to identify this window of opportunity and compares the timing, peak ratios, and durations of this dividend across various global economies, with a specific focus on Africa and Nigeria.

This report by Genesis Analytics, commissioned by FSD Africa, Shell Foundation, and Shortlist, forecasts green employment opportunities across Africa with a focus on Kenya, Nigeria, and South Africa. It argues that Africa's green transition is primarily service-led and decentralized, meaning the majority of jobs will be indirect roles in distribution, maintenance, and operations rather than in construction or manufacturing. The study highlights a significant gap between the potential for job creation and the current availability of skilled workers, particularly in advanced technical areas. It emphasizes that while green value chains are accessible to women, youth, and low-income workers, these groups are often concentrated in low-value, informal roles, necessitating systemic reforms in workplace design, social protection, and training to ensure meaningful inclusion.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Morocco's development trajectory toward 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' forecast with eight sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It highlights Morocco's transition toward higher-value manufacturing, its strategic geographic position, and critical challenges including water scarcity, energy import dependence, and regional territorial disputes.

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the Democratic Republic of the Congo's (DR Congo) socio-economic landscape, forecasting development trajectories to 2043. It evaluates a 'Current Path' (business as usual) against eight sectoral scenarios—including agriculture, manufacturing, and governance—and a 'Combined scenario' to identify pathways for inclusive growth and poverty reduction.

This report analyzes Kenya's current development and projects its trajectory to 2043 through eight sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It evaluates progress in demographics, health, education, infrastructure, agriculture, manufacturing, trade, and governance, highlighting the potential for significant GDP growth and poverty reduction if strategic policy interventions are implemented.