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This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Zimbabwe's development trajectory up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' (business-as-usual) against eight sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined scenario'. It evaluates the impact of interventions in demographics, health, agriculture, education, manufacturing, infrastructure, AfCFTA integration, financial flows, and governance on economic growth, poverty alleviation, and sustainability.

This report analyses Tunisia's economic and social prospects through 2043, comparing a baseline 'Current Path' with various sectoral and combined intervention scenarios. While the current path shows modest growth and slow formalisation of the economy, a combined approach across eight key sectors—including governance, manufacturing, and trade—could significantly boost GDP, reduce extreme poverty to 0.7%, and improve income equality. However, the report warns that Tunisia will face a persistent energy deficit regardless of the scenario, necessitating a more diversified energy mix beyond solar and wind.

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of South Africa's development trajectory to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' (business-as-usual) against eight sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined' scenario. It examines the impacts of demographics, health, education, manufacturing, trade (AfCFTA), infrastructure, financial flows, and governance on the country's GDP, poverty levels, and carbon emissions. The analysis highlights structural challenges such as extreme inequality, high unemployment, and a history of deindustrialisation, while offering policy recommendations to transition toward an export-led, green economy with improved human capital and governance.

The report provides a comprehensive analysis of Senegal's development trajectory up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' (business-as-usual) forecast against eight sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. It examines demographics, economic growth, infrastructure, and governance, highlighting the potential for significant GDP and poverty reduction through targeted industrialization, educational reform, and regional trade integration via the AfCFTA.

This report examines Sudan's development prospects through 2043, identifying the 2023 civil war as the primary constraint on growth. While the 'Current Path' predicts stagnant GDP per capita and persistent extreme poverty, a 'Combined scenario' of reforms in agriculture, governance, trade (AfCFTA), and financial flows could significantly raise living standards and lift 17.3 million more people out of poverty. The report highlights Sudan's vast untapped renewable energy and agricultural potential but emphasizes that a political settlement and the restoration of state institutions are absolute prerequisites for any sustainable recovery.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Uganda's development trajectory toward 2040, comparing a 'Current Path' against eight sectoral scenarios. It evaluates progress across demographics, health, education, infrastructure, agriculture, manufacturing, trade, and governance, concluding that while progress has been made, integrated policy interventions are required to meet the goals of Uganda Vision 2040.

This report analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Seychelles, which integrates 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast economic and social outcomes by 2043. The scenario predicts significant growth in GDP per capita and overall economy size, alongside a reduction in extreme poverty, while highlighting the country's vulnerability to climate change and tourism-related shocks.

This report conclusion by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes developmental trajectories for Senegal, identifying key economic and social challenges and proposing sectoral scenarios to accelerate growth. It emphasizes a holistic development strategy aligned with the African Union's Agenda 2063 to reduce poverty and increase GDP.

This research paper provides an introductory overview of Tanzania's geographic, political, and economic landscape as of June 2026. It details the country's transition to a lower-middle-income economy, its complex political history dominated by the Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) party, and the governance crisis following the contested October 2025 general elections.

This report provides a conclusion and set of policy recommendations for Tanzania's developmental trajectory, analyzing various sectoral scenarios to identify pathways for economic growth and poverty reduction. It highlights structural constraints such as extreme informality and weak education outcomes, while proposing a 'Combined scenario' of coordinated reforms to significantly boost GDP and reduce poverty by 2043.

This report presents the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Namibia, an integrated forecasting model combining 11 sectoral scenarios to project economic and social outcomes by 2043. The scenario predicts significant growth in GDP per capita and a reduction in extreme poverty, though it also forecasts a substantial increase in carbon emissions.

This conclusion from the 'Zimbabwe Development Futures' report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Zimbabwe's developmental trajectory to 2043. It identifies structural challenges and proposes a synergized policy approach across eight sectors to transition the country from a resource-based economy to an industrialised production hub, with a specific focus on manufacturing as the primary driver for sustainable growth.

This report concludes that Somalia's development requires coordinated, cross-sectoral action rather than piecemeal reform, highlighting that integrated improvements in education and governance are the most powerful levers for reducing poverty and increasing GDP per capita.

This research paper provides a background overview of Uganda, detailing its political structure, geography, natural resources, and the evolution of its national development planning frameworks, specifically focusing on the goals of Vision 2040 and the Third National Development Plan (NDPIII).

This research paper conclusion evaluates Rwanda's progress toward its Vision 2050 goals, comparing a 'Current Path' scenario with a 'Combined' scenario of targeted intersectoral policies. It outlines specific policy recommendations across education, technology, agriculture, and governance to achieve high-income status and eliminate extreme poverty.

This report provides a comprehensive overview of South Africa's geographic and socio-economic landscape. It details the country's transition from apartheid to a democratic state, the subsequent economic fluctuations, and the current challenges of deindustrialisation, corruption, and infrastructure decay. Key focus areas include the decline of the mining sector despite vast mineral reserves, the impact of the 2024 elections on political governance, and critical shortages in electricity and water.

This report concludes a modeling exercise of Uganda's development trajectories toward 2040, stating that the country will not reach middle-income status by 2040 on its current path. It outlines a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' that could see GDP per capita reach US$9,568 by 2045 and a significant reduction in extreme poverty, provided specific sectoral interventions in education, infrastructure, agriculture, and governance are implemented.

This research paper by Jakkie Cilliers analyzes the state of governance in Africa, comparing its security, capacity, and inclusion metrics against the rest of the world. It examines the relationship between governance quality, stability, and economic development, highlighting the risks associated with autocratic leadership and the role of democratic institutions as shock absorbers.

This introductory research paper provides a geographic, political, and demographic overview of Zimbabwe, detailing its landlocked position in Southern Africa, its ethnic composition, and its transition from independence in 1980 through the leadership of Robert Mugabe to Emmerson Mnangagwa.

This research paper provides an introductory overview of Tunisia's political and economic trajectory, from its independence in 1956 through the 2010 revolution and subsequent democratic regression starting in 2021.