SEYCHELLES DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES

The report forecasts that the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario would increase Seychelles' GDP per capita to US$40,319 by 2043, a 21% increase over the Current Path. The most significant drivers of this growth are Free Trade and Manufacturing/Transfers, while the service sector is expected to see the largest sectoral increase. The scenario is projected to reduce extreme poverty by 10 percentage points and increase the overall economy size to US$3.1 billion. However, the report notes continued vulnerability to climate change and shocks due to reliance on tourism and fishing, and projects carbon emissions will rise to 241,000 tons by 2043.

• The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario is projected to increase Seychelles' GDP per capita to US$40,319 by 2043, which is US$6,910 or 21% higher than the Current Path forecast. This would bring the GDP per capita to 67% of the average for high-income economies, up from 60% in 2019.
• Free Trade and Manufacturing/Transfers are the scenarios with the highest impact on GDP per capita by 2043, increasing it by US$1,612 and US$1,142 respectively above the Current Path. Conversely, Health/WaSH and Demographics have the least impact because Seychelles already performs well in these areas.
• The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario is expected to reduce extreme poverty in Seychelles from 50% to 40%, reducing the number of extremely poor people from 51,500 to 42,200 by 2043.
• Implementing the 11 scenarios would increase the total size of the Seychelles economy to US$3.1 billion by 2043, a 33% increase over the Current Path forecast of US$2.3 billion. The service sector would see the largest growth, increasing by US$683 million (39%) compared to the Current Path.
• Seychelles remains vulnerable to climate change and shocks like the COVID-19 pandemic due to its heavy reliance on fishing and tourism. Carbon emissions are projected to rise from 150,000 tons in 2019 to 241,000 tons in 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario.

APA

Jobarteh, M. (2026). SEYCHELLES DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=SC&topic=combined-agenda-2063

Chicago

Jobarteh, Mustapha. SEYCHELLES DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=SC&topic=combined-agenda-2063.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Jobarteh |first1=Mustapha |title=SEYCHELLES DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=15 June 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=SC&topic=combined-agenda-2063 |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{jobarteh2026seychelles, author = {Jobarteh, Mustapha}, title = {{SEYCHELLES DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = jun, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=SC&topic=combined-agenda-2063}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }