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The report evaluates Uganda's path toward middle-income status by 2040, analyzing scenarios across demographics, health, education, infrastructure, agriculture, manufacturing, trade, and governance. It finds that while the 'Current Path' falls short of Vision 2040 targets, a combined implementation of strategic interventions could lift 11.03 million more people out of poverty and raise GDP per capita to US$6,925 by 2040, reaching the US$9,500 target by 2045. Key drivers for growth include large-scale infrastructure and leapfrogging, which is identified as having the greatest impact on GDP per capita and poverty reduction. However, these gains are accompanied by a projected 30% increase in carbon emissions above the Current Path, primarily driven by manufacturing and governance improvements.

The report forecasts that Zambia's GDP per capita would increase by 51% by 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario compared to the Current Path, potentially lifting an additional 9.4 million people out of extreme poverty. While the economy would grow to US$157.5 billion, the services sector would continue to dominate, and carbon emissions are projected to rise to 6 million tons due to economic expansion.

The report projects that Namibia's GDP per capita will increase from US$10,419 in 2019 to US$23,261 by 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, a 152% increase. This scenario is expected to lift an additional 700,000 people out of poverty compared to the Current Path. While the service, manufacturing, and ICT sectors are identified as the largest GDP contributors, the report notes that this economic growth will lead to a 267% increase in carbon emissions from 2019 levels, reaching 4.4 million tons by 2043.

The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario for Sierra Leone projects a significant increase in GDP per capita to US$4,304 by 2043, driven primarily by agriculture and free trade. This scenario is estimated to lift an additional 3.9 million people out of extreme poverty compared to the Current Path, reducing the poverty rate to 10.3%. While the overall economy is projected to grow to US$27.5 billion, with the service, manufacturing, and ICT sectors as the largest contributors, carbon emissions are expected to rise to 3.3 million tons, exceeding the Current Path estimate of 2.2 million tons.

The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario for Togo projects a significant increase in GDP per capita to US$5,969 by 2043, nearly doubling the overall economy to US$51 billion compared to the Current Path. While the scenario predicts a substantial reduction in extreme poverty—lifting an additional 3 million people—it also forecasts an increase in carbon emissions to 5 million tons by 2043. Agriculture and Free Trade are identified as the sectors with the highest potential for improving economic development.

The report evaluates South Sudan's development prospects through 2043, contrasting a 'Current Path' of gradual improvement with a 'Combined scenario' of integrated reforms. While the current path is deemed insufficient to meet the goals of the SSDP 2026–2036, the combined approach suggests that coordinated investments in agriculture, human capital, and infrastructure can accelerate poverty reduction and economic diversification. Key recommendations include scaling solar energy, implementing climate-smart agriculture, and leveraging the AfCFTA to reduce reliance on the oil sector.

The report forecasts that the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario would significantly increase the Republic of the Congo's GDP per capita to US$12,917 by 2043, representing a 52.9% increase over the Current Path forecast. This integrated approach is expected to reduce the poverty rate by 16.5 percentage points, lifting 1.7 million additional people out of poverty. Economic diversification is a key outcome, with growth in manufacturing and services reducing the country's overdependence on oil extraction. While carbon emissions are projected to rise by 800,000 tons compared to the Current Path, this growth (19.5%) is disproportionately lower than the projected GDP increase (65%).

The document analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario for São Tomé and Príncipe, which integrates 11 sectoral scenarios to project development outcomes by 2043. The scenario predicts a significant increase in GDP per capita to US$7,082 and a substantial reduction in extreme poverty, lifting an additional 88,000 people above the poverty line compared to the Current Path. While the service, manufacturing, and agriculture sectors are identified as the primary GDP contributors, the report notes that this economic growth would lead to a 333.3% increase in carbon emissions, rising from 30,000 tons in 2019 to 130,000 tons by 2043, necessitating an accelerated energy transition.

The report posits that Asia is leading a 'Great Convergence' with the West by leveraging its position as the world's manufacturing hub to drive an electric energy transition. It highlights that Asia has driven three quarters of global electricity growth since 2000 and now produces the majority of the world's solar panels, batteries, and electric vehicles. The document argues that while a lack of oil and gas was previously a weakness, it has become a strategic advantage in an era where energy is defined by technology rather than commodities. This transition is further accelerated by 'fossil shocks,' including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the 2022 energy crisis, which push the region toward energy security through electrotechnology.

The report examines the Democratic Republic of the Congo's current development path and simulates eight sectoral scenarios to identify pathways toward inclusive growth by 2043. It highlights the country's extreme poverty and dependence on commodity exports, while projecting that a combined policy push across manufacturing, governance, and agriculture could significantly increase GDP and reduce poverty.

The analysis concludes that Djibouti's current economic model, characterized by capital-intensive infrastructure, is insufficient to meet the goals of Vision Djibouti 2035. While the 'Current Path' predicts steady GDP growth of 6.1% annually, a 'Combined scenario' involving multi-sectoral reforms could accelerate growth to nearly 9% annually and triple GDP per capita. The document argues that the quality of growth—driven by governance, human capital, and private-sector development—is more critical than the scale of infrastructure accumulation for reducing inequality and poverty.

The report forecasts that the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario—integrating 11 sectoral improvements—would significantly increase Equatorial Guinea's GDP per capita to US$49,924 by 2043, compared to US$30,522 under the Current Path. Manufacturing, infrastructure, and the AfCFTA are identified as the strongest drivers of economic growth, while the Free Trade scenario is most effective at reducing extreme poverty. However, this accelerated growth is projected to increase carbon emissions to 5.3 million tons by 2043, a 150% increase over the Current Path forecast.

The document projects that the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario would significantly increase Guinea-Bissau's GDP per capita to US$7,867 by 2043, lift 900,000 additional people out of extreme poverty, and grow the economy to US$16.4 billion. However, this growth is associated with an increase in carbon emissions to 1.2 million tons by 2043. The Agriculture and Free Trade scenarios are identified as having the greatest potential for improving development.

The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario for The Gambia projects a significant increase in GDP per capita to US$7,823 by 2043, nearly doubling the overall economy to US$18.5 billion. While the scenario predicts a drastic reduction in extreme poverty—leaving only 0.15% of the population below the poverty line—it also forecasts a rise in carbon emissions to 1.7 million tons, indicating a high cost of environmental degradation.

The report projects that Morocco's GDP could reach US$384 billion by 2043 in a combined scenario of sectoral interventions, making it Africa's sixth-largest economy. Key growth drivers include transitions to high-value manufacturing, improvements in education and health, and the full implementation of the AfCFTA. The document recommends strategic investments in renewable energy, water management, and infrastructure to mitigate challenges like water scarcity and energy dependence.

The report evaluates the 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario for Eswatini, which integrates 11 sectoral interventions to drive economic growth and poverty reduction. By 2043, this scenario could raise GDP per capita to US$22,901 and reduce poverty from 60% in 2019 to 24.5%. While the scenario projects significant growth in the service and ICT sectors and an overall GDP increase to US$29.3 billion, it also forecasts an increase in carbon emissions to 1.4 million tons by 2043 due to the scale of economic expansion.

The report projects that a Combined scenario of 11 sectoral interventions would increase Mauritius's GDP per capita by US$5,380 and its overall economy by US$7.1 billion by 2043. While the scenario accelerates the elimination of extreme poverty and reduces domestic inequality, it is also projected to result in a slight increase in carbon emissions of 0.3 million tons. The economic growth is driven primarily by the services sector, though the country faces challenges including a skilled labour shortage, corruption in offshore financial services, and low female labour force participation.

The document forecasts that Liberia's GDP per capita will reach US$4,358 by 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, driven primarily by agriculture, financial flows, and free trade. This scenario is projected to lift 2.2 million additional people out of extreme poverty and double the size of the economy to US$21.6 billion, though it will also increase carbon emissions to 2.1 million tons due to heightened economic activity.

The document forecasts that the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario would significantly increase sub-Saharan Africa's GDP per capita to US$9,798 by 2043, compared to US$5,980 in the Current Path. It predicts a substantial reduction in extreme poverty to 7.3% and a nearly doubled total economy of US$12,295.2 billion. However, this growth is associated with higher carbon emissions, reaching 892 million tons by 2043.

The document analyzes the potential for the Central African Republic to significantly increase its GDP per capita and reduce extreme poverty through an intersectoral policy push under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario. While the scenario predicts substantial economic growth, particularly driven by agriculture and the service sector, it also forecasts a significant increase in carbon emissions due to the carbon-intensive nature of this growth.