TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Togo, forecasting economic, social, and environmental outcomes by 2043. The scenario integrates 11 sectoral improvements to project significant increases in GDP per capita and poverty reduction, while noting a corresponding increase in carbon emissions compared to a 'Current Path' forecast.

• In the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, Togo's GDP per capita is projected to reach US$5,969 by 2043, which is US$2,445 higher than the Current Path forecast and US$2,179 above the 2063 average for low-income African countries.
• The Agriculture and Free Trade scenarios are identified as having the most significant potential to improve economic and human development in Togo by 2043, while Health/WaSH and Education are projected to have the least impact on GDP per capita.
• The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario is projected to significantly reduce poverty by 2043, with only 1.56 million people (12.1% of the population) living below the poverty line, lifting an additional 3 million people out of extreme poverty compared to the Current Path.
• Togo's total economy (GDP MER) is estimated to almost double by 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, reaching US$51 billion compared to the Current Path estimate of US$25.8 billion. The service sector is the largest long-term contributor, adding US$13.6 billion (2.2 percentage points) to the GDP, followed by manufacturing (US$5.8 billion) and agriculture (US$2.3 billion).
• Carbon emissions in Togo are projected to increase from 0.94 million tons in 2019 to 5 million tons by 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, which is higher than the 3.5 million tons projected under the Current Path.

APA

Aikins, E. R. (2026). TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TG&topic=combined-agenda-2063

Chicago

Aikins, Enoch Randy. TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TG&topic=combined-agenda-2063.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Aikins |first1=Enoch Randy |title=TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=15 June 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TG&topic=combined-agenda-2063 |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{aikins2026togo, author = {Aikins, Enoch Randy}, title = {{TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = jun, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TG&topic=combined-agenda-2063}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }