TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES

The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario for Togo projects a significant increase in GDP per capita to US$5,969 by 2043, nearly doubling the overall economy to US$51 billion compared to the Current Path. While the scenario predicts a substantial reduction in extreme poverty—lifting an additional 3 million people—it also forecasts an increase in carbon emissions to 5 million tons by 2043. Agriculture and Free Trade are identified as the sectors with the highest potential for improving economic development.

• The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, which integrates 11 sectoral scenarios, is projected to increase Togo's GDP per capita to US$5,969 by 2043. This represents an increase of US$2,445 over the Current Path forecast and is US$2,179 higher than the projected average for low-income African countries in 2063.
• Agriculture and Free Trade are the scenarios with the most significant positive impact on GDP per capita by 2043, while Health/WaSH and Education have the least impact. The integrated 'synergistic effect' of all scenarios is estimated to contribute approximately US$366.20 to GDP per capita in 2043.
• The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario is expected to significantly reduce poverty in Togo. By 2043, only 1.56 million people (12.1% of the population) are projected to live below the poverty line, meaning 3 million more people would be lifted out of extreme poverty compared to the Current Path.
• Togo's total GDP is projected to reach US$51 billion by 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, nearly doubling the Current Path estimate of US$25.8 billion. The service sector is expected to be the largest contributor, adding US$13.6 billion (2.2 percentage points) to the GDP, followed by manufacturing (US$5.8 billion) and agriculture (US$2.3 billion). ICT is projected to contribute US$2.1 billion (0.94 percentage points).
• Environmental projections indicate that the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario will result in higher carbon emissions than the Current Path. Total carbon emissions in Togo are projected to rise from 0.94 million tons in 2019 to 5 million tons by 2043, compared to 3.5 million tons under the Current Path.

APA

Aikins, E. R. (2026). TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TG&topic=combined-agenda-2063

Chicago

Aikins, Enoch Randy. TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TG&topic=combined-agenda-2063.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Aikins |first1=Enoch Randy |title=TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=15 June 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TG&topic=combined-agenda-2063 |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{aikins2026togo, author = {Aikins, Enoch Randy}, title = {{TOGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = jun, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TG&topic=combined-agenda-2063}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }