MOROCCO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES

The report projects that Morocco's GDP could reach US$384 billion by 2043 in a combined scenario of sectoral interventions, making it Africa's sixth-largest economy. Key growth drivers include transitions to high-value manufacturing, improvements in education and health, and the full implementation of the AfCFTA. The document recommends strategic investments in renewable energy, water management, and infrastructure to mitigate challenges like water scarcity and energy dependence.

• Under a 'Combined scenario' integrating all sectoral interventions, Morocco's GDP is projected to grow to US$384 billion by 2043, with GDP per capita reaching US$13 996, representing a 33% increase over the Current Path forecast. This would make Morocco the sixth-largest economy in Africa.
• Demographic and urban shifts are expected by 2043, with the population increasing to 43.9 million and the urbanisation rate rising to 72.6%.
• Specific sectoral improvements are forecast to drive economic gains: full implementation of the AfCFTA could increase exports by 70% above the Current Path, while increased investment in manufacturing and R&D could grow the economy by 6.8% by 2043.
• To address water stress and scarcity, the document recommends reorganising the water sector, establishing a National Water Management Agency, and introducing cost-based water pricing.
• The report suggests that enhancing agricultural productivity through technology and irrigation could make Morocco a net exporter of agricultural products by 2043.

APA

Cilliers, J. (2026). MOROCCO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=MA&topic=05-conclusion

Chicago

Cilliers, Jakkie. MOROCCO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=MA&topic=05-conclusion.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |title=MOROCCO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=31 May 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=MA&topic=05-conclusion |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{cilliers2026morocco, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie}, title = {{MOROCCO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=MA&topic=05-conclusion}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }