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The document introduces Guinea, detailing its transition to a lower-middle-income country in 2023 and its history of political instability and coups. It highlights the country's significant mineral wealth, particularly bauxite and iron ore, and its potential for hydroelectric power due to its geography and rainfall.

The report finds that Mozambique's 'Current Path' is not viable, as the country is likely to miss most of its National Development Strategy (2023-2043) targets and see an increase in extreme poverty by 2043 despite gas megaproject revenues. To achieve inclusive growth, the authors recommend an integrated development push focusing on governance transparency, agricultural productivity, economic diversification, and human capital. Specific climate-related recommendations include investing in climate-resilient infrastructure, such as solar-powered irrigation, and adopting ecosystem-based approaches like wetland restoration to protect rural communities from floods and land degradation.

The report projects that Mauritius will see steady GDP per capita growth and eliminate extreme poverty at the US$5.50 line by 2036 under its current path. While the country is a low emitter, carbon emissions are expected to rise from 1.3 million tons in 2019 to 1.8 million tons by 2043. The 'Combined scenario'—integrating improvements in trade, manufacturing, and finance—could increase GDP per capita by 18.5% by 2043, though it would also result in an additional 0.3 million tons of carbon emissions compared to the baseline.

The document outlines a strategic framework for Gabon to leverage its upper-middle-income status through a return to constitutional rule by April 12, 2025, and a shift away from oil dependency. Key recommendations include strengthening democratic institutions, diversifying the economy into sustainable forestry, mining, and agriculture, and investing in health and education to achieve specific 2030 Sustainable Development Goal targets for child mortality.

The report identifies chronic poverty, political instability, and ineffective governance as primary barriers to development in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. It warns that the country is on a 'Current Path' that will fail to meet most 2030 SDG targets. To reverse this, the document recommends targeted investments in climate-resilient agricultural infrastructure, renewable energy for electricity supply, economic diversification through downstream beneficiation, and the strengthening of governance institutions to manage natural wealth and combat corruption.

The report forecasts Eswatini's development to 2043, noting that while GDP per capita is expected to rise to US$15,162 under the Current Path, poverty will remain high at 47.1%. It evaluates 11 sectoral scenarios, finding that the Free Trade scenario (AfCFTA implementation) offers the most significant potential for poverty reduction and income growth. The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario suggests GDP per capita could reach US$22,901 and poverty could drop to 24.5% if all interventions are implemented.

The document details specific quantitative adjustments (multipliers) across several thematic scenarios—including governance, health, education, agriculture, manufacturing, infrastructure, trade (AfCFTA), and financial flows—designed to shift the DR Congo's development path from a 'Current Path' toward improved outcomes by 2043. These interventions aim to close gaps between the DR Congo and other regions, such as South America and South Asia, in areas like maternal mortality, democracy, and economic freedom.

The report concludes that while Mauritania's macroeconomic indicators are trending upwards, growth remains heavily dependent on the extractive sector and is hindered by poor infrastructure, weak governance, and climate change risks. It recommends a holistic development strategy focusing on climate resilience, public finance efficiency, human capital investment, and economic diversification to leverage the country's resource endowments and youthful population.

The report identifies Kenya as a pivotal East African economic powerhouse with the potential for a 685% GDP increase by 2043 under a Combined scenario. It argues that implementing eight sectoral interventions could raise GDP per capita to US$10,950 and reduce extreme poverty from 64.6% in 2019 to 6.4% by 2043. To ensure sustainable and equitable growth, the document recommends strengthening anti-corruption efforts, expanding education and healthcare, investing in modern irrigation, and accelerating the transition to renewable energy through geothermal, solar, and wind projects.

The report projects that Morocco's GDP could reach US$384 billion by 2043 in a combined scenario of sectoral interventions, making it Africa's sixth-largest economy. Key growth drivers include transitions to high-value manufacturing, improvements in education and health, and the full implementation of the AfCFTA. The document recommends strategic investments in renewable energy, water management, and infrastructure to mitigate challenges like water scarcity and energy dependence.

The report forecasts that Mauritius will maintain steady economic growth and a high income per capita relative to its African peers, while facing challenges from an ageing population and a high dependence on energy imports. It projects a decline in extreme poverty and a gradual increase in carbon emissions as the economy expands, despite the country's high readiness to respond to climate change.

The report analyzes Guinea's 'Current Path' development trajectory to 2043, concluding that the country is not on track to meet the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals. It highlights the severe impact of foreign aid withdrawal due to political instability and recommends strategic interventions in governance, economic diversification, agriculture, human capital, and infrastructure to foster inclusive growth.

The document identifies key constraints to Chad's development, including insecurity, overreliance on oil, and climate change. It recommends a multi-sectoral approach involving governance reform, non-oil revenue mobilization, agricultural productivity increases, infrastructure development, human capital strengthening, demographic transition, climate risk management, and economic diversification.

The report argues that while Ghana has achieved middle-income status, its economic growth has not translated into broad development dividends due to persistent debt, corruption, and an untransformed agrarian structure. It outlines a path to increase GDP to US$365 billion by 2043 through aggressive export-led manufacturing, governance reforms, and targeted investments in health, education, and climate-smart agriculture. Key recommendations include phasing out fossil fuels in favour of solar and hydro energy, addressing energy sector debt, and implementing constitutional reforms to ensure legislative independence.

The briefing warns that Pacific SIDS are facing a convergence of geopolitical and climatic crises. The war in Iran is driving up fuel and food prices due to shipping disruptions and import dependence, leading to states of emergency in Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands. This economic strain is expected to be compounded by a strong El Niño in the second half of 2026, which threatens tuna stocks, freshwater access, and agricultural productivity. The document recommends immediate anticipatory action, such as pre-positioning supplies and expanding early warning systems, alongside long-term investments in regenerative agriculture and regional fisheries management.

The report projects that Cape Verde will experience significant urbanisation and economic growth by 2043, with GDP per capita rising to US$10,839 under the Current Path. While the country has high human development and political stability, it faces challenges including a high dependency on food imports (90% of food consumed is imported) and vulnerability to climate-induced flooding. The analysis explores several scenarios, finding that 'Free Trade' and 'Manufacturing/Transfers' have the highest potential to increase GDP per capita, while a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario could reduce extreme poverty to 3.6% of the population but would increase carbon emissions to 0.47 million tons by 2043. Energy projections suggest a transition toward renewables, with a goal for them to constitute 50% of total energy production by 2043.

The report forecasts Benin's development to 2043, predicting a population increase to 21.2 million and GDP growth to US$66.3 billion under the Current Path. While GDP per capita is expected to rise to US$4,685, absolute poverty is projected to increase to 11 million people. Sectoral scenarios suggest that Free Trade and Leapfrogging have the highest potential for economic growth, while the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario could double the economy to US$117.2 billion but would increase carbon emissions to 10.1 million tons.

The report projects that sub-Saharan Africa's population will grow to 1.976 billion by 2043, with carbon emissions nearly tripling to 650 million tons under the Current Path. While the Current Path sees GDP per capita reach US$5,996, the 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario—integrating improvements in governance, education, health, and infrastructure—could increase GDP per capita to US$9,798 and drastically reduce extreme poverty to 7.3%. Key sectoral findings include the 'Leapfrogging' scenario's potential to raise electricity access to 81.7% and the 'Free Trade' scenario's role as the most carbon-intensive path, contributing 711 million tons of carbon by 2043.

The report forecasts that sub-Saharan Africa's population will grow to 1.962 billion by 2043, with a significant shift toward urbanization. While regional GDP is projected to increase substantially, reaching between US$6.2 trillion and US$6.7 trillion, GDP per capita growth is tempered by rapid population increases. The region is expected to face increasing food insecurity as agricultural demand outstrips production. Energy production is projected to shift toward renewables, yet total carbon emissions are forecast to rise by over 146% by 2043, with Nigeria expected to overtake South Africa as the region's largest emitter.

The report analyzes Angola's economic and social future, highlighting a high risk of increasing extreme poverty and carbon emissions on its current path. While individual sectoral improvements in trade, stability, and manufacturing offer modest gains, a combined 'Agenda 2063' approach is projected to significantly raise GDP per capita and reduce poverty by 2043.