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The report argues that while Ghana has achieved middle-income status, its economic growth has not translated into broad development dividends due to persistent debt, corruption, and an untransformed agrarian structure. It outlines a path to increase GDP to US$365 billion by 2043 through aggressive export-led manufacturing, governance reforms, and targeted investments in health, education, and climate-smart agriculture. Key recommendations include phasing out fossil fuels in favour of solar and hydro energy, addressing energy sector debt, and implementing constitutional reforms to ensure legislative independence.

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  • Ghana's economic growth has not yielded expected development dividends because of high public debt, corruption, low revenue mobilisation, and a failure to reduce unemployment and poverty. The economy remains structurally agrarian and dependent on exporting raw materials like gold and cocoa while importing finished goods.
  • The study projects that with appropriate policy reforms, Ghana could increase its GDP to US$365 billion by 2043, which is 55% higher than its current trajectory. This path could raise GDP per capita to US$12,720 and reduce extreme poverty to 6.3% of the population by 2043.
  • To transform the economy, the report recommends aggressive export-led manufacturing and a transition in the energy sector. This includes relying on solar and hydro power to phase out fossil fuels and addressing the energy sector debt to ensure a sustainable electricity supply.
  • The document identifies critical governance and structural needs, including the need for constitutional reforms to separate the executive and legislative branches (specifically revising Article 78) and the depoliticisation of the Police Council to protect the rule of law.
  • Agricultural improvements should focus on climate-smart technologies and infrastructure. Recommendations include constructing multipurpose dams in northern Ghana for year-round farming and strengthening research via the National Climate-Smart Agriculture and Food Security Action Plan.

Cite the original document

APA
Aikins, E. R. (2026). Ghana: Conclusion. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=GH&topic=05-conclusion
Chicago
Aikins, Enoch Randy. Ghana: Conclusion. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=GH&topic=05-conclusion.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Aikins |first1=Enoch Randy |title=Ghana: Conclusion |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=31 May 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=GH&topic=05-conclusion |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{aikins2026ghana, author = {Aikins, Enoch Randy}, title = {{Ghana: Conclusion}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=GH&topic=05-conclusion}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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