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DR CONGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The document details specific quantitative adjustments (multipliers) across several thematic scenarios—including governance, health, education, agriculture, manufacturing, infrastructure, trade (AfCFTA), and financial flows—designed to shift the DR Congo's development path from a 'Current Path' toward improved outcomes by 2043. These interventions aim to close gaps between the DR Congo and other regions, such as South America and South Asia, in areas like maternal mortality, democracy, and economic freedom.
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Document type: Research paper
Malawi: Conclusion
The report analyzes Malawi's development futures, noting that while a 'Combined scenario' shows GDP per capita 35% higher than the 'Current Path' by 2043, this is insufficient to reach lower-middle-income status by 2030. It highlights persistent gaps in urbanization, industrialization, and healthcare, while emphasizing the critical impact of climate variability on rain-fed agriculture. Key recommendations include expanding Special Economic Zones, adopting climate-smart agriculture, and implementing nature-based solutions for flood prevention.
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Document type: Report
ECCAS: Conclusion
The report concludes that ECCAS faces deep-rooted structural challenges in agriculture, manufacturing, and electrification that hinder its development. It argues that without aggressive interventions in sectors like renewable energy, infrastructure, and economic diversification, the region will fail to meet its 2043 inclusive development targets.
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Document type: Report
Burundi Development Futures
The report analyzes Burundi's development prospects, highlighting a 'Current Path' characterized by slow growth, high poverty, and governance challenges. It models eight sectoral scenarios—Governance, Demographics and Health, Education, Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging, Agriculture, Manufacturing, AfCFTA, and Financial Flows—to demonstrate how targeted interventions could improve GDP per capita and reduce extreme poverty. A 'Combined scenario' suggests that an integrated policy push could dramatically increase GDP to US$17.2 billion by 2043 and reduce the extreme poverty rate by 49 percentage points compared to the Current Path, though this would result in higher carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
Climate change exposes hundreds of millions to longer and deadlier pre-monsoon heat in South Asia
The study finds that anthropogenic climate change approximately tripled the probability of the April 2026 heatwave in northwestern India and Pakistan, making it about 1°C hotter than it would have been in a preindustrial climate. Analysis indicates that extreme heat is occurring earlier in the season, with the likelihood and intensity of April events increasing more rapidly than those in May. This trend extends the period of dangerous heat exposure for hundreds of millions of people, compounding risks to health, agriculture, and the economy. The report also highlights systemic vulnerabilities, noting that heatwaves are not officially declared disasters in India and Pakistan, which limits access to relief funding.
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Document type: Research paper
Agriculture
The document analyzes the stagnation of African agricultural productivity, attributing it to historical factors like slavery, colonialism, and a lack of tenure reform. It contrasts a 'Current Path' forecast—characterized by increasing food import dependence and low yields—with an 'Agriculture scenario' where targeted interventions in AgTech, irrigation, and soil health lead to significant poverty reduction and GDP growth. The report emphasizes the need for food self-sufficiency and value addition within Africa over a reliance on raw commodity exports.
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Document type: Report
Agriculture After independence
Since independence, African agriculture has lagged behind global productivity due to a lack of resource allocation, tenure reform, and infrastructure. Despite possessing 45% of the world's land suitable for sustainable production expansion, the continent remains the most food-insecure region globally, with yields remaining roughly half of the global average. Productivity is further hampered by conflict in states like Angola and DR Congo, extreme weather events, and significant deforestation, with 4 million hectares of forest lost annually. While the African Union's CAADP initiative aims to drive growth, most national budgets allocate only 5-7% to agriculture, leaving smallholder farmers—who provide 80% of sub-Saharan production—without essential inputs and market access.
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Document type: Research paper
AGRICULTURE
The document argues that Africa has failed to achieve a modern agricultural revolution due to a combination of historical, environmental, and policy-related factors. It highlights how poor soil quality, a high disease burden, and the late adoption of high-yield cereal grains contributed to lower population densities and slower technological advancement compared to other global regions. Despite efforts by organizations like the World Bank and the African Union, the sector remains constrained by low investment, ineffective policies, and a reliance on traditional methods among smallholder farmers.
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Document type: Research paper
The Agriculture scenario
The document outlines a simulated agricultural revolution in Africa based on eight interventions: increasing crop yields, expanding irrigation, increasing water withdrawal, protecting forests, improving supply chains, enhancing rural road access, and increasing per capita calories. The scenario predicts that by 2043, average crop yields will reach 7 tons per hectare (a 37% increase over the 'Current Path') and irrigated land will grow to 17.4 million hectares. It emphasizes the role of these interventions in reducing food loss and waste—projected to drop to 19.4% by 2033—and improving rural accessibility to 69%. The model balances agricultural expansion with forest protection, aiming to save 30 million hectares of forest land by 2043 compared to the Current Path forecast.
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Document type: Research paper
Agricultural reform elsewhere in the world: Lessons for Africa?
The research paper analyzes historical agricultural transformations in China, Brazil, and Egypt, highlighting the roles of institutional incentives, genetic seed tailoring, and targeted infrastructure investments in increasing yields and food security.
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Document type: Research paper
Transforming agriculture in Africa
The report identifies the lack of formal land documentation as a primary barrier to agricultural productivity in Africa, preventing smallholder farmers from accessing the credit needed for technological advancements like irrigation and mechanisation. It highlights the risks of 'land grabbing', particularly in the Nile River Basin, and advocates for a policy shift that prioritises domestic food production and the cultivation of indigenous crops over cash crops for export to ensure national food security.
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Document type: Report
Boost flood resilience with modular water-saving barriers
SLAMDAM has developed 'SLAMDAM SMART' mobile flood barriers integrated with AI-driven IT tools to address the increasing frequency and severity of floods and droughts. These solutions aim to protect communities, farms, and infrastructure while converting flood hazards into opportunities for water storage and irrigation to enhance long-term resilience.
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Document type: Case study
Africa’s Water Crisis Exposes the Cost of a Broken Global Financial System
The African Forum and Network on Debt and Development (AFRODAD) asserts that Africa's water insecurity is driven by a global financial architecture that imposes high borrowing costs and austerity on African nations. The statement highlights a significant annual funding gap of at least $30 billion for water infrastructure and links this shortfall to a debt crisis where African governments spend an average of 18.7% of public revenue on repayments. AFRODAD calls for systemic reforms, including a UN Framework Convention on Sovereign Debt and the recognition of historical injustices through the Africa Decade of Reparations (2026–2036), to enable sustainable investment in water and sanitation.
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Document type: Statement
Assessment of Indicators, Baseline Data, and Targets for MEL in Rwanda’s Water: A GESI-enhanced perspective
The report evaluates Rwanda's water sector adaptation targets under NDC 3.0, finding that while technical goals for water storage, flood protection, and catchment restoration are robust, they lack GESI-disaggregated data and inclusive metrics. It recommends reforming the 2018 Water Resources Law to mandate social inclusion plans, establishing a Joint GESI Coordination Unit, and implementing ring-fenced budgets for women's and youth cooperatives to ensure equitable adaptation outcomes.
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Document type: Report
Request to Rescind and Correct Chair Chang’s Correspondence Allowing Use of Groundwater for Irrigation Purposes on the Kapalua Bay and Plantation Golf Courses
Earthjustice is challenging a decision by Chair Dawn N.S. Chang of the Commission on Water Resource Management (CWRM) to allow the use of potable groundwater for irrigating the Kapalua Bay and Plantation Golf Courses. Earthjustice argues that this action was unilateral, unlawful, and violates the State Water Code, as the golf courses are not listed as existing groundwater users in the relevant permit applications. The document highlights that this water use continues despite a severe drought in West Maui and strict water restrictions for community members. Earthjustice cites a memorandum from CWRM Deputy Director Ciara W.K. Kahahane stating that groundwater should not be used for golf course irrigation and that such use was not occurring at the time of the area's designation as a Water Management Area in August 2022.
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Document type: Statement
Climate Adaptation Plan for the Kassena Nankana Municipality: Ghana
The Climate Adaptation Plan for the Kassena Nankana Municipality provides a roadmap for addressing climate vulnerabilities in Northern Ghana. It identifies key risks—including temperature rises of 1.5C to 2.5C and erratic rainfall—and proposes prioritized interventions across agriculture, water, health, gender, and infrastructure. The plan emphasizes a blended financing approach and a participatory monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL) framework to ensure sustainable and inclusive implementation.
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Document type: Report
Resilience Building Through Climate-Smart Agriculture in Malawi
The document examines the role of climate-smart agriculture (CSA) in Malawi's economic transformation and climate adaptation. While CSA is central to national policies like Malawi Vision 2063, widespread adoption is hindered by insecure land tenure, limited finance, and under-resourced extension services. The brief argues for a shift from short-term input subsidies toward long-term resilience investments, improved digital advisory services, and the institutionalization of participatory learning models like Farmer Field Schools.
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Document type: Policy brief
Electricity for groundwater use: constraints and opportunities for adaptive response to climate change
The document analyzes the role of electricity supply as a climate adaptation tool for groundwater pumping, specifically highlighting how low night-time tariffs in Mexico have led to increased pumping and higher emissions, threatening aquifer sustainability and riparian ecosystems.
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Document type: Research paper
Eletricidade para o bombeamento de água subterrânea: limitações e oportunidades para respostas adaptativas às mudanças climáticas
The document analyzes the nexus of energy, water, and climate in Mexico, arguing that subsidized nighttime electricity tariffs have incentivized indiscriminate groundwater pumping, undermining water conservation efforts and threatening aquifer sustainability. It estimates that emissions from agricultural groundwater extraction in Mexico account for 3.6% of total national emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
Impacto del subsidio a la tarifa eléctrica sobre la extracción de agua para uso agrícola en el municipio de Hermosillo, Sonora
The text details the increase in overexploited aquifers in Mexico from 35 in 1975 to 123 in 2009, with a total deficit of 5,490 million cubic meters. In Hermosillo, the Costa de Hermosillo and Mesa del Seri-La Victoria aquifers support a population of over 700,000 and 65,000 hectares of irrigation. Despite the 2013 opening of the Acueducto Independencia to transport 75 million cubic meters from the Yaqui river basin, agricultural consumption in the municipality exceeds 570 million cubic meters annually, driven largely by subsidies.
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Document type: Research paper