DR CONGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES

The document details specific quantitative adjustments (multipliers) across several thematic scenarios—including governance, health, education, agriculture, manufacturing, infrastructure, trade (AfCFTA), and financial flows—designed to shift the DR Congo's development path from a 'Current Path' toward improved outcomes by 2043. These interventions aim to close gaps between the DR Congo and other regions, such as South America and South Asia, in areas like maternal mortality, democracy, and economic freedom.

• The governance scenario aims to improve democracy, economic freedom, and government transparency by 2043. Specifically, it targets an 18.6% improvement in average democracy and a 14.5% improvement in economic freedom above the Current Path forecast.
• Health interventions focus on reducing mortality and increasing contraceptive use. The scenario projects that maternal mortality in the DR Congo will drop to 19.3 per 100,000 live births by 2043, compared to 27.1 in the Current Path forecast.
• The agriculture scenario includes multipliers to increase yields (1.6) and land equipped for irrigation (1.5), while reducing crop production loss rates (0.8) and losses during transport from producer to consumer (0.8).
• The Large Infrastructure/Leapfrogging scenario targets energy and digital connectivity, including a 1.2 multiplier for other renewables energy production and a 3x multiplier for ICT mobile broadband.
• Under the AfCFTA scenario, the document projects an increase in multifactor productivity growth by approximately 20 percentage points relative to the Current Path forecast for the 2026-2035 period.
• The financial flows scenario proposes increasing foreign aid receipts (1.15 multiplier) and portfolio investment stocks (1.5 multiplier), noting a need for increased aid from China and OECD countries.

APA

Chipanda, B. (2026). DR CONGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=CD&topic=06-interventions

Chicago

Chipanda, Blessing. DR CONGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=CD&topic=06-interventions.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Chipanda |first1=Blessing |title=DR CONGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=31 May 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=CD&topic=06-interventions |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{chipanda2026congo, author = {Chipanda, Blessing}, title = {{DR CONGO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=CD&topic=06-interventions}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }