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The study uses the CARiDRO tool and the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) to analyze the 2009-2010 drought in the Eastern Caribbean and project future risks. It finds that the 2009-2010 event was a 1 in 40 years occurrence, but future droughts are projected to be more frequent, with an average recurrence of 1 in 5 years. The report suggests that the area affected by drought will increase after the middle of the 21st century, necessitating improved planning in water management and agriculture.

The study finds that drought events in Las Tunas province, similar to the severe 2003-2005 event, are projected to become more frequent and intense through 2050, driven by reduced precipitation and increased evaporation from rising temperatures.

The study finds that the SPEI 12 drought index correlates with forest fire occurrence, particularly during severe and extreme drought events, though 'Milpa' farming remains the primary cause of fire escapes. Projections indicate that future drought events in the region will become more frequent, with an average recurrence time of 1 in 5 years, increasing the risk of escaped agricultural fires.

The document warns that Namibia is expected to experience temperature increases exceeding the global average if global warming reaches 1.5°C. Projected impacts include increased heat, drought, and water scarcity, which threaten crops, livestock, and human health. It recommends diversifying agriculture, improving soil and water conservation, and strengthening community support systems to build resilience.

The document outlines several climate data tools for the Caribbean, including the CARIWIG portal for historical data and projections, the CARIDRO drought tool, and the Tropical Storm Model (TSM). It highlights specific research applications in Belize, Jamaica, and Cuba, and introduces the Caribbean Climate Online Risk and Adaptation tool (CCORAL) to help decision-makers integrate climate change into policy despite inherent projection uncertainties.

The document outlines the CARIWIG online data portal, which provides historical climate data and future projections at a 25km resolution for the Caribbean. It highlights four specific tools: a Weather Generator used in Belize to link rising minimum temperatures to dengue fever risks; a Tropical Storm Model used in Jamaica to predict river discharge timing during category 5 hurricanes; the CARIDRO drought tool used in Cuba to project 12-18 moderate to extreme droughts in Las Tunas province by 2050; and the CCORAL tool for integrating climate change into policy. The research emphasizes implementing adaptation actions that perform well across a wide range of uncertain future conditions.

The document describes CCORAL, a Caribbean-specific tool used to screen policies, legislation, plans, budgets, and projects for climate risks. It outlines a three-step process involving basic screening questions, a detailed vulnerability workbook, and risk management analyses. The briefing specifically details how CCORAL applies to the water sector, including water policies, legislation, supply plans, financial budgeting, and infrastructure projects, noting that the tool is designed for use by both climate specialists and non-specialists.

The document highlights the critical need for climate-resilient investment in the Caribbean water sector to mitigate high economic losses from hazards like hurricanes and droughts. Between 2010 and 2012, USD 8.3 billion in ODA was disbursed to the Caribbean, with USD 172 million allocated to the water sector; of this, only USD 12 million was tagged as climate change relevant. In contrast, global climate funds provided USD 14 million to the water sector during the same period, showing a stronger focus on strategy development and technical studies compared to the infrastructure focus of traditional ODA. The brief identifies five key global climate funds that disbursed a total of USD 44 million to the Caribbean, with 32% targeted at water. It recommends that water sector planners use online platforms like Climate Finance Options to identify funding and suggests matching specialist climate finance with traditional sources to leverage larger investments.

The document presents a persona-based exercise featuring a 35-year-old indigenous woman experiencing domestic violence. It explores how controlling domestic environments and lack of education prevent vulnerable women from participating in climate change meetings and how climate-related disasters, such as flooding and drought, exacerbate domestic burdens and tensions.

The Raising Risk Awareness (RRA) project focused on applying extreme event attribution to understand the role of climate change in specific weather events in Ethiopia, India, and Kenya, while using the Surging Seas tool to assess coastal flooding risk in Bangladesh. The project sought to bridge the gap between science, communication, and policy to improve disaster risk management in developing countries.

The document outlines a simulation exercise where a participant adopts the persona of Semir, an Ethiopian pastoralist. The scenario explores the challenges of managing livestock during droughts, specifically the risks associated with a lack of advance information on water, vegetation, and weather forecasts. It also presents a scenario where the character is offered new information and community initiatives, such as vegetable gardening and credit for women, to prompt discussion on how such options might be received.

The document outlines a character profile for 'Ishmael', a 35-year-old university-educated grain trader in Kul-Bayne. As a persona for a simulation, Ishmael is described as IT-savvy and financially stable, though he notes that drought has led to increasing prices for food and bottled water. The persona is prompted to consider business opportunities arising from the drought and the possibility of his family joining a volunteer network to support residents during the crisis, while maintaining a social distinction from manual farm labor.

The document is a character profile for a simulation game featuring an elderly woman in Ethiopia. It outlines her vulnerabilities to drought, specifically the loss of rental income from tenant farmers and unreliable family remittances, while highlighting her interest in climate information for agricultural productivity and heatwave health protection.

The document outlines a framework for water security and climate resilient development, identifying climate-related risks such as flooding and drought, and mapping the necessary water services, supporting activities, and organizational stakeholders required to address them.

The document assesses climate change impacts on Uganda's agricultural sector, projecting significant losses for export crops like coffee and certain food crops by 2050, while identifying droughts and floods as the most immediate adaptation priorities.

The document assesses the economic risks climate change poses to Uganda's agricultural sector by 2050. It finds that while overall food crop losses may be limited to US$1.5 billion (less than 0.2% of GDP), specific crops like cassava and sweet potato could see 40% production reductions. Agricultural exports, particularly coffee and tea, face significant risks, with combined losses potentially reaching US$2.1 billion in a 75% reduction scenario. The report highlights that immediate threats from droughts and floods are more critical than gradual yield decreases, citing US$470 million in losses from the 2010-11 drought. To address these risks, the Government of Uganda has proposed a US$297 million budget over 15 years for eight adaptation priorities, including irrigation, crop diversification, and micro-insurance.

The document estimates that water demand in Uganda will increase from 408 million cubic meters per year in 2010 to 3,963 million cubic meters per year by 2050, with unmet demand rising to 1,651 million cubic meters per year. The expected economic cost of this unmet demand in 2050 is estimated at 14,558 billion shillings (US$5.5 billion), with the highest losses anticipated in the Lake Victoria, Albert Nile, and Lake Kyoga watersheds. Historical drought data shows significant losses, specifically $250 million in 2005-6 and $1,174 million in 2010-11. Analysis of the Government of Uganda's Costed Adaptation Strategy suggests that investments in water use efficiency, supply for agriculture and industry, and Integrated Water Resources Management would likely generate a 10% rate of return.

The document examines climate-related agricultural losses in the Karamoja region of Uganda, highlighting that recent droughts have caused production losses of 50% to 100% for some households. It projects future losses of 9% to 32% of total production by 2050 and identifies significant yield reductions for maize and beans. The study recommends prioritizing water availability, crop diversification, and livestock support to build resilience.

The document examines the vulnerability of Arabica coffee in Uganda's Bududa District to climate variability and projected climate change. It compares 'Business as Usual' (BAU) with 'Climate Smart Agriculture' (CSA) scenarios, finding that CSA—which includes tree planting, mulching, and trench construction—offers a higher Internal Rate of Return (IRR) than BAU under both current and future conditions. The study suggests that combining CSA with institutional support could sustain coffee cultivation, though it notes that estimates are preliminary and require further research and piloting.

The document estimates that water demand in Uganda will increase from 408 million cubic meters per year in 2010 to 3,963 million cubic meters per year by 2050. Under climate change scenarios and assuming no new investments beyond current plans, unmet demand is projected to rise to 1,651 million cubic meters per year, with an expected annual cost of approximately US$5.5 billion by 2050. The analysis highlights that the Lake Victoria, Albert Nile, and Lake Kyoga watersheds will face the largest economic losses. Historical drought data shows significant impacts, with events in 2005-6 and 2010-11 causing losses of US$250 million and US$1,174 million respectively. The report concludes that priority adaptation programmes focusing on water use efficiency, supply for agriculture and industry, and Integrated Water Resources Management are likely to generate high returns on investment.