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This research paper identifies the structural, social, environmental, and geopolitical drivers shaping the future of health and Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (WaSH) in Africa, highlighting the tension between demographic opportunities and systemic risks.

This research paper describes a 'Gender scenario' model designed to forecast the impact of reducing gender inequalities on Africa's development prospects between 2024 and 2043. The scenario compares a targeted push for gender equality against a 'Current Path' business-as-usual forecast, focusing on four primary clusters of intervention: labour force participation and wages, political representation, education access, and health and reproductive rights.

This research paper describes the 'Combined scenario' for employment and labour market transformation in Africa as part of the Agenda 2063 thematic futures. It contrasts current trends of high informality and low productivity with a projected future of increased formalization, industrial resurgence, and digital transformation.

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the projected economic and social impacts of a 'Manufacturing scenario' for Africa between 2023 and 2043. The scenario forecasts that a strategic push toward industrialization will drive structural economic transformation, increase GDP, generate millions of jobs, and reduce extreme poverty and income inequality across the continent.

This research paper conclusion analyzes the current economic trajectory of Africa, highlighting a shift from subsistence agriculture to low-end informal urban services rather than manufacturing. It identifies systemic barriers to growth, including poor human capital, commodity dependence, and premature deindustrialisation, while proposing strategic investments in renewable energy, digital literacy, and regional integration to foster sustainable development.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the transformation of narratives regarding Africa, moving from colonial-era stereotypes of poverty and conflict toward a more nuanced portrayal of the continent as a hub of innovation, cultural influence, and geopolitical agency.

This research paper analyzes the economic trajectory of Africa on its 'Current Path' through 2043, highlighting a growing divergence in GDP per capita between Africa and the rest of the world despite an increase in the absolute size of the African economy.

This research paper argues that the UN Security Council (UNSC) requires structural reform due to its eroding authority and a global shift in power. Using forecasting data, the author suggests that future legitimacy depends on including the US, China, and India, while proposing a move away from permanent vetoes toward verifiable criteria for global power and the potential inclusion of regional coalitions.

This research paper outlines a forecasting scenario for the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) using the International Futures (IFs) platform. Starting in 2026, the scenario models the impact of tariff reductions and productivity increases across Africa, noting a specific 15-year phase-out period for G6 countries (Ethiopia, Madagascar, Malawi, Sudan, Zambia, and Zimbabwe). The goal is to simulate how the agreement can boost intra-African trade and shift economies toward higher-value production.

This report analyzes global carbon emissions from fossil fuels and land use, providing forecasts through 2063. It highlights the dominance of coal, the climate impact of LNG, and the roles of major emitters like China, the US, and India, while detailing the specific environmental pressures facing Africa, including deforestation and water scarcity.

This report provides an analysis of Colombia's electrical transmission sector as of 2025, highlighting a structural lag in infrastructure relative to the expansion of renewable energy generation and significant execution delays in key projects.

This research paper examines how 'weak signals' of change can act as super-nodes to amplify systemic disruption across socioecological systems. Using a mixed-methods approach involving a global Delphi survey and influence mapping, the study argues that anticipatory governance should prioritize high-centrality signals to mitigate cascading risks to planetary health, economic, and technological systems.

This chapter of the 'Same same but different' series by the Stockholm Environment Institute examines the disparities in mobility and spatial justice in Tallinn and Bangkok, contrasting the experiences of different urban users and the impact of infrastructure and technology on accessibility.

The NewClimate Institute provides feedback on the second draft of the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) Automotive Net-Zero Standard, arguing that while improvements have been made, the standard requires more mandatory, specific targets to ensure transparency and comparability across the automotive sector.

This report by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the risks posed to nuclear safety by military threats, using the occupation of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant as a case study to argue for strengthened regulations and enforcement mechanisms to protect nuclear facilities, particularly within Africa.

The 60th meeting of the Executive Council of the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), held on January 8, 2026, focused on the institutional and financial crisis triggered by the United States' withdrawal from the organization. The Council discussed severe budget reductions, the need for institutional restructuring, and efforts to diversify funding through development banks and philanthropic organizations. The meeting concluded with the decision to convene an Extraordinary Conference of the Parties in March 2026 to address these challenges.

The Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research notifies Parties that the terms of several members of the Scientific Advisory Committee (SAC) and Science-Policy Advisory Committee (SPAC) expire in May 2026. The Directorate recommends the renewal of terms for Dr. Laura Ramajo, Dr. Pedro Laterra, Carlos Joly, Gilma Mantilla, and Inty Arcos. Additionally, the SAC will submit candidates to replace Dr. Alexander Turra by 30 April 2026 for consideration at CoP-34 on 3–4 June 2026.

A notification from the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research regarding the expiration of terms for members of the Scientific Advisory Committee (SAC) and the Science and Policy Advisory Committee (SPAC), with recommendations for renewals ahead of CoP-34.

This briefing from the International Institute for Sustainable Development reviews global and regional carbon pricing trends, focusing on Southeast Asia. It analyzes the impact of the European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), the implementation of Paris Agreement Article 6, and provides updates on carbon pricing developments in Indonesia, the Philippines, and Viet Nam.

This research paper introduces a series of publications exploring the intersection of energy access and public health in low- and middle-income countries, emphasizing the potential for clean energy transitions to improve healthcare delivery and reduce disease.