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GUINEA-BISSAU DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper presents the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Guinea-Bissau, an integrated forecast combining 11 sectoral scenarios to estimate economic and social outcomes by 2043. The scenario projects significant increases in GDP per capita and overall economic size, alongside a reduction in extreme poverty, though it also forecasts a substantial increase in carbon emissions compared to a 'Current Path' forecast.
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Document type: Research paper
Mozambique: SCENARIO COMPARISONS
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies compares various development scenarios for Mozambique from 2020 to 2043. It evaluates the impact of sectoral interventions—such as agriculture, governance, and infrastructure—on GDP, poverty rates, and life expectancy, while highlighting a 'Combined scenario' that integrates these efforts to accelerate structural economic transformation.
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Document type: Research paper
GAMBIA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper analyzes a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for The Gambia, forecasting the economic and environmental impacts of integrating 11 sectoral development scenarios by 2043. The scenario predicts significant growth in GDP per capita and a sharp reduction in extreme poverty, though it also forecasts a substantial increase in carbon emissions compared to a 'Current Path' forecast.
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Document type: Research paper
ESWATINI DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report outlines the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Eswatini, a forecasting model that integrates 11 sectoral interventions to remove constraints to growth. The scenario projects significant increases in GDP per capita and overall economic size by 2043, alongside a substantial reduction in poverty, though it also forecasts an increase in carbon emissions due to ambitious economic growth.
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Document type: Report
Mauritius Development Futures: Current Path
This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for Mauritius from 2019 to 2043. It analyzes demographic shifts toward an aging population, steady economic growth driven by services, the reduction of extreme poverty, and the country's energy dependence and climate vulnerability.
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Document type: Report
MAURITIUS DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Mauritius, evaluating the cumulative impact of 11 sectoral scenarios on the country's GDP, poverty levels, and economic structure by 2043 compared to a 'Current Path' forecast.
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Document type: Report
LIBERIA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Liberia, forecasting the economic and social impacts of integrating 11 sectoral policy interventions by 2043. The scenario predicts significant growth in GDP per capita, a substantial reduction in extreme poverty, and a shift in the economy's sectoral composition, though it also forecasts an increase in carbon emissions due to heightened economic activity.
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Document type: Research paper
Cabo Verde Development Futures
This report provides a comprehensive set of economic, demographic, and social projections for Cape Verde through 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' forecast with several thematic scenarios—including Stability, Agriculture, Education, and Free Trade—to assess their impact on GDP per capita, poverty levels, and carbon emissions. The analysis highlights the country's heavy reliance on tourism and imports, its successful rural electrification efforts, and the potential for significant growth under a combined policy agenda (Agenda 2063).
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Document type: Report
Sub-Saharan Africa Development Futures: Current Path
This report provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for sub-Saharan Africa from 2019 to 2043, utilizing the International Futures (IFs) platform. It analyzes demographic shifts, economic growth, poverty trends, and energy transitions, projecting a region with significant population growth, increasing urbanization, and a shift toward manufacturing and renewable energy, despite persistent challenges with food insecurity and carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
Burundi Impact of sectoral scenarios on key indicators
This report analyzes the impact of various sectoral scenarios on Burundi's economy, poverty levels, and carbon emissions from 2019 to 2043. It finds that while all scenarios improve GDP per capita over the 'Current Path', the Agriculture and Governance scenarios are most effective at reducing extreme poverty, whereas the full implementation of the AfCFTA could potentially increase poverty if not supported by complementary domestic policies.
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Document type: Report
Botswana: Conclusion
This report provides a scenario-based analysis of Botswana's development trajectory from 2023 to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' of historical trends against a 'Combined scenario' of coordinated cross-sectoral reforms. While the Current Path shows moderate improvements, it is deemed insufficient to meet the goals of Vision 2036. The Combined scenario suggests that targeted investments in manufacturing, green energy, human capital, and regional trade integration can accelerate growth, reduce inequality, and transition the country into a high-income, inclusive, and knowledge-based society.
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Document type: Report
Central African Republic Combined Agenda 2063 scenario
This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for the Central African Republic, comparing it to a 'Current Path' forecast. The scenario integrates 11 sectoral interventions to project improvements in GDP per capita, poverty reduction, and sectoral economic contributions by 2043, while noting an increase in carbon emissions as a result of higher economic growth.
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Document type: Research paper
ANGOLA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report analyzes the projected economic and social outcomes for Angola under a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' compared to a 'Current Path' forecast. The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, which integrates 11 sectoral improvements, predicts a dramatic increase in GDP per capita and a significant reduction in extreme poverty by 2043, though it also forecasts a substantial increase in carbon emissions due to industrial and demographic growth.
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Document type: Report
COMESA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA), integrating 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast GDP per capita, poverty levels, and carbon emissions by 2043. It highlights the synergistic effects of multi-sectoral reform, projecting significant economic growth and poverty reduction, while noting an inevitable increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
NORTH AFRICA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for North Africa, projecting economic growth, poverty reduction, and sectoral shifts by 2043. The scenario integrates 11 sectoral improvements to forecast a significant increase in GDP per capita and a reduction in extreme poverty, while noting an increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
BENIN DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Benin, which integrates 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast economic and social development by 2043. The scenario predicts significant growth in GDP and a reduction in poverty compared to a 'Current Path' forecast, though it also projects a substantial increase in carbon emissions.
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This summary is written by a language model reading the source document. It is not the publisher's words and is not a substitute for the original.
Document type: Report
Burundi Combined Agenda 2063: Current Path vs scenario
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies compares Burundi's economic and social trajectory under a 'Current Path' versus a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The Combined scenario, which integrates eight sectoral pushes, projects significant growth in GDP, a reduction in extreme poverty, and structural economic transformation by 2043, albeit with an increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
ALGERIA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper presents economic and social scenario comparisons for Algeria from 2019 to 2043. It evaluates a 'Current Path' against a 'Combined scenario'—which integrates eight sectoral improvements including governance, education, and infrastructure—and individual scenarios such as the AfCFTA. The analysis covers GDP per capita, poverty levels, economic structure, inequality, life expectancy, carbon emissions, and energy production.
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Document type: Research paper
CABO VERDE DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Cape Verde, forecasting the economic and environmental impacts of integrating 11 sectoral development scenarios by 2043. The analysis compares this integrated path against a 'Current Path' forecast, highlighting significant potential gains in GDP per capita and poverty reduction, alongside an increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
BURUNDI DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This conclusion section of the 'Burundi Development Futures: Geographic Futures' report evaluates Burundi's development trajectory, noting that while progress has been made since the 2000 Arusha Peace Agreement, the country remains hindered by political fragility, poor infrastructure, and low agricultural productivity. The report argues that Burundi is unlikely to meet many Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030 on its current path and recommends a coordinated policy push across governance, agriculture, human capital, infrastructure, and economic diversification to achieve shared prosperity.
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Document type: Report