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Madagascar: Conclusion and Recommendations
This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a set of policy recommendations for Madagascar to reverse a trajectory of political instability, chronic poverty, and economic crisis. It argues that while economic growth prospects are sound, structural constraints and vulnerabilities prevent the country from achieving inclusive growth and sustainable development.
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Document type: Report
Gabon: Conclusion
This report provides policy recommendations for Gabon to transition from its current trajectory toward inclusive growth and sustainable development. It emphasizes the need for a successful democratic transition, economic diversification away from oil, and significant investments in human capital and infrastructure to realize the country's potential as an upper-middle-income nation.
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Document type: Report
DR Congo: Conclusion
This report conclusion outlines the development challenges and strategic policy recommendations for the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo) to achieve inclusive and sustainable growth, warning that the country is currently on a path to fail most 2030 SDG targets.
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Document type: Report
Libya: Conclusion and Recommendations
This report provides policy recommendations for Libya to transition from fragility to stability, focusing on governance reform, security sector restructuring, economic diversification away from oil, and decentralization of power.
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Document type: Report
Kenya Development Futures: Geographic Futures
This research paper conclusion outlines the economic trajectory of Kenya, highlighting its potential for significant GDP growth by 2043 through strategic sectoral interventions and a transition to renewable energy, while identifying critical governance and infrastructure barriers.
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Document type: Research paper
MOROCCO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report conclusion outlines development projections for Morocco up to 2043, detailing demographic shifts, economic forecasts across various sectoral scenarios, and policy recommendations to achieve sustainable growth and stability.
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Document type: Report
Mauritius Development Futures: Current Path
This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for Mauritius from 2019 to 2043. It analyzes demographic shifts toward an aging population, steady economic growth driven by services, the reduction of extreme poverty, and the country's energy dependence and climate vulnerability.
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Document type: Report
Guinea: Conclusion
This report provides a conclusion to a study on Guinea's development trajectories to 2043, outlining policy recommendations across eight sectors to accelerate economic and human development. It highlights the critical impact of foreign aid on poverty levels and the need to diversify an economy heavily reliant on mining.
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Document type: Report
Chad: Conclusion
This document provides a set of policy recommendations for Chad to address economic fragility and achieve inclusive, sustainable growth. It identifies key constraints such as insecurity, oil dependency, and weak governance, proposing strategic interventions across governance, revenue mobilisation, agriculture, infrastructure, human capital, demographics, climate risk, and economic diversification.
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Document type: Report
Ghana: Conclusion
This research paper concludes that while Ghana achieved middle-income status in 2010, its economic growth has not translated into broad development dividends due to structural weaknesses, high public debt, and corruption. The author argues that by implementing targeted policy reforms in governance, manufacturing, education, and infrastructure, Ghana could potentially increase its GDP to US$365 billion and reduce extreme poverty to 6.3% by 2043.
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Document type: Research paper
Cabo Verde Development Futures
This report provides a comprehensive set of economic, demographic, and social projections for Cape Verde through 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' forecast with several thematic scenarios—including Stability, Agriculture, Education, and Free Trade—to assess their impact on GDP per capita, poverty levels, and carbon emissions. The analysis highlights the country's heavy reliance on tourism and imports, its successful rural electrification efforts, and the potential for significant growth under a combined policy agenda (Agenda 2063).
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Document type: Report
Sub-Saharan Africa Development Futures: Current Path
This report provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for sub-Saharan Africa from 2019 to 2043, utilizing the International Futures (IFs) platform. It analyzes demographic shifts, economic growth, poverty trends, and energy transitions, projecting a region with significant population growth, increasing urbanization, and a shift toward manufacturing and renewable energy, despite persistent challenges with food insecurity and carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
ECOWAS: Conclusion
This research paper concludes that while ECOWAS has made progress in regional integration, its current development trajectory is not transformative enough to address structural challenges such as insecurity, corruption, and economic instability. The author argues that without aggressive socio-economic policy interventions, the region will fail to achieve inclusive and sustainable development by 2050.
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Document type: Research paper
ANGOLA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report analyzes the projected economic and social outcomes for Angola under a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' compared to a 'Current Path' forecast. The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, which integrates 11 sectoral improvements, predicts a dramatic increase in GDP per capita and a significant reduction in extreme poverty by 2043, though it also forecasts a substantial increase in carbon emissions due to industrial and demographic growth.
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Document type: Report
ALGERIA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper presents economic and social scenario comparisons for Algeria from 2019 to 2043. It evaluates a 'Current Path' against a 'Combined scenario'—which integrates eight sectoral improvements including governance, education, and infrastructure—and individual scenarios such as the AfCFTA. The analysis covers GDP per capita, poverty levels, economic structure, inequality, life expectancy, carbon emissions, and energy production.
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Document type: Research paper
Hourly matching of scope 2 emissions can further incentivise decarbonisation
This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics examines the transition from annual to hourly matching for accounting scope 2 emissions. It argues that hourly matching—requiring electricity consumption to be matched by renewable generation in the same hour—provides a more accurate reflection of decarbonisation and creates stronger market signals for renewable energy deployment than current annual standards. While 100% matching can be costly, the document suggests that partial matching (e.g., 80-90%) can maintain climate benefits while reducing costs. The briefing notes that the GHG Protocol is updating its Scope 2 Guidance, with a release expected in 2027, and highlights that hourly matching is already being implemented through 45 projects globally and specific regulatory frameworks like the EU's CBAM.
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Document type: Briefing
The Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging Scenario
The research paper describes the 'Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging' scenario for Africa, an optimistic development pathway benchmarked against South Asia and South America. The scenario models the impact of strategic investments in renewable energy and digital infrastructure to accelerate human development and economic productivity by 2050.
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Document type: Research paper
Large Infrastructure
This report describes the 'Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging' scenario, a model designed to analyze the impact of increased infrastructure investment on Africa's development through 2050. The scenario emphasizes the synergy between large-scale renewable energy, off-grid solutions, and ICT to drive economic transformation and human welfare.
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Document type: Report
Leapfrogging in Africa’s Energy Sector: The Transformative Potential of Renewables
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines the energy access gap in Africa and the potential for 'leapfrogging' traditional fossil-fuel grids in favor of decentralized renewable energy systems, specifically solar-based mini-grids and off-grid solutions.
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Document type: Research paper
AFRICA LEAPFROGGING FUTURES: THEMATIC FUTURES
This research paper introduces the concept of development leapfrogging within the African context, exploring how the continent can bypass intermediate stages of industrial development by adopting advanced technologies in sectors such as energy, finance, and agriculture.
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Document type: Research paper