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A national analysis comparing two futures for U.S. electricity demand growth through 2030 finds that a clean energy approach is significantly cheaper than a fossil fuel-heavy one. Relying on fossil fuels would add $29.7 billion annually to customer bills by 2030, whereas a clean energy scenario would reduce overall costs by $5.1 billion annually compared to the high fossil scenario. Furthermore, clean energy provides a hedge against price shocks; in a scenario similar to the 2022 price spike, clean energy would yield total savings of $13.5 billion per year compared to fossil fuel reliance.

The report evaluates Senegal's development prospects to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' forecast with eight sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. Key findings indicate that while GDP is projected to grow, significant challenges remain in poverty, education, and infrastructure. The most impactful scenarios for improving GDP per capita and reducing extreme poverty are the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), Manufacturing, and Governance scenarios. A combined holistic approach could increase GDP by 86% over the current path and reduce extreme poverty to 3.2% of the population by 2043, though this would be accompanied by a 46.2% increase in carbon emissions compared to the current path.

The report evaluates Uganda's path toward middle-income status by 2040, analyzing scenarios across demographics, health, education, infrastructure, agriculture, manufacturing, trade, and governance. It finds that while the 'Current Path' falls short of Vision 2040 targets, a combined implementation of strategic interventions could lift 11.03 million more people out of poverty and raise GDP per capita to US$6,925 by 2040, reaching the US$9,500 target by 2045. Key drivers for growth include large-scale infrastructure and leapfrogging, which is identified as having the greatest impact on GDP per capita and poverty reduction. However, these gains are accompanied by a projected 30% increase in carbon emissions above the Current Path, primarily driven by manufacturing and governance improvements.

The report forecasts that the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario would increase Seychelles' GDP per capita to US$40,319 by 2043, a 21% increase over the Current Path. The most significant drivers of this growth are Free Trade and Manufacturing/Transfers, while the service sector is expected to see the largest sectoral increase. The scenario is projected to reduce extreme poverty by 10 percentage points and increase the overall economy size to US$3.1 billion. However, the report notes continued vulnerability to climate change and shocks due to reliance on tourism and fishing, and projects carbon emissions will rise to 241,000 tons by 2043.

The report projects that Zambia's GDP per capita will rise to US$5,467 by 2043 under the Current Path, though extreme poverty remains high at 67.3%. It identifies the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and 'leapfrogging' through renewable energy and ICT as the most impactful drivers for economic growth. While carbon emissions are forecast to peak in 2036 and then decline due to increased hydroelectricity, the report highlights critical vulnerabilities in food security, secondary education, and rural electricity access.

The report forecasts that Zambia's GDP per capita would increase by 51% by 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario compared to the Current Path, potentially lifting an additional 9.4 million people out of extreme poverty. While the economy would grow to US$157.5 billion, the services sector would continue to dominate, and carbon emissions are projected to rise to 6 million tons due to economic expansion.

The report identifies key challenges for Senegal, including undiversified exports and climatic hazards, while highlighting the potential of manufacturing, education, and governance to raise incomes. It argues that a holistic development strategy aligned with Agenda 2063 could increase GDP by 86% by 2043 compared to the current path. Specific recommendations include diversifying cash crops, managing emerging oil and gas revenues, leveraging wind power for rural electricity, and implementing constitutional reforms to strengthen the judiciary and legislature.

The report identifies structural constraints in Tanzania, such as extreme informality and infrastructure gaps, and proposes a 'Combined scenario' of coordinated reforms. This integrated pathway could increase GDP by US$80.4 billion and reduce poverty from 71% to 24% by 2043. Key recommendations include deepening AfCFTA integration, modernising agriculture, diversifying energy sources, and mainstreaming climate adaptation.

The report projects Namibia's economic and social future to 2043. While GDP per capita is expected to rise on the Current Path, the country faces persistent extreme poverty and food insecurity. Sectoral scenarios suggest that manufacturing, free trade, and agriculture offer the highest potential for economic growth, while a combined 'Agenda 2063' approach could significantly lift millions out of poverty, albeit at the cost of increased carbon emissions.

The report projects that Namibia's GDP per capita will increase from US$10,419 in 2019 to US$23,261 by 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, a 152% increase. This scenario is expected to lift an additional 700,000 people out of poverty compared to the Current Path. While the service, manufacturing, and ICT sectors are identified as the largest GDP contributors, the report notes that this economic growth will lead to a 267% increase in carbon emissions from 2019 levels, reaching 4.4 million tons by 2043.

The report analyzes the Republic of the Congo's economic and social outlook to 2043. It highlights a heavy dependence on oil, high poverty rates, and vulnerability to climate change. It evaluates 11 sectoral scenarios—including free trade, leapfrogging, and manufacturing—demonstrating that an integrated approach (Combined Agenda 2063) could significantly increase GDP per capita and reduce poverty, though it would lead to higher carbon emissions.

The report projects Togo's development to 2043, highlighting a transition toward solar energy and urbanisation, while noting that population growth may outpace poverty reduction on the current path. It assesses how targeted improvements in agriculture, trade, and governance could significantly boost GDP per capita and reduce extreme poverty, though such growth is linked to increased carbon emissions.

The report concludes that piecemeal reform is insufficient for Somalia's development, advocating for an integrated approach. It identifies state capacity and human capital as the most critical levers for growth, noting that a 'Combined scenario' of improvements could increase GDP (MER) by US$18.9 billion and lift 6.1 million people out of extreme poverty by 2043. Key recommendations include strengthening public institutions, expanding the manufacturing and agro-processing sectors to reduce reliance on live animal exports, and adopting pragmatic urban governance to manage displacement-driven urbanization.

The report projects that Sierra Leone's population will grow to 13.1 million by 2043, with GDP increasing to US$12.8 billion under the Current Path. However, extreme poverty is expected to persist, with 42.2% of the population living below US$1.90 per day. Energy production is forecast to be dominated by gas (92.7%), and carbon emissions are projected to rise to 2 million tons. The report evaluates 11 sectoral scenarios, finding that agriculture and free trade have the highest potential to increase GDP per capita. In a Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, GDP per capita could reach US$4,304 and extreme poverty could drop to 10.3%, though carbon emissions would increase to 3.3 million tons.

The report concludes that while Rwanda has made significant development strides, it may not reach its Vision 2050 targets under current trends due to structural economic issues. However, a 'Combined' scenario involving integrated policies across governance, energy, and education could see GDP reach US$267.1 billion and extreme poverty drop to 0.04% by 2050. Key recommendations include transitioning to renewable energy, formalising the informal sector, and adopting climate-smart agriculture.

The report concludes that Uganda is unlikely to reach middle-income status by 2040 on its current path, but could significantly improve GDP per capita and reduce extreme poverty through targeted interventions. Key recommendations focus on STEM education, rural infrastructure, climate-resilient agriculture, and a transition to renewable energies to support sustainable growth and the Vision 2040 goals.

The report projects that São Tomé and Príncipe will see population growth to 351,000 and a GDP per capita increase to US$4,910 by 2043 under its Current Path. While the nation remains a low carbon emitter, it faces systemic poverty and food insecurity. The 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario, integrating improvements in trade, manufacturing, and infrastructure, could significantly boost GDP per capita to US$7,082 and reduce the poverty rate to 39.8%, though this growth would increase carbon emissions to 130,000 tons.

The report analyzes Tunisia's economic and social outlook, contrasting a 'Current Path' of moderate growth with a 'Combined scenario' that predicts significant improvements in GDP, poverty, and inequality by 2043. It argues that current gains are insufficient to meet Vision Tunisie 2035 and Agenda 2063 goals without strategic reforms. Key recommendations include diversifying energy sources, integrating climate resilience into planning, and expanding manufacturing and agricultural productivity to overcome constraints like high youth unemployment and energy deficits.

The report projects that Seychelles' GDP per capita will rise to US$33,409 by 2043 under the Current Path, though poverty remains high at 49.7%. While the economy is dominated by services and tourism, it faces food insecurity and an ageing population. Sectoral interventions in free trade and manufacturing offer the highest potential for GDP growth, while a 'Leapfrogging' scenario is the only one to reduce carbon emissions. The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario could increase GDP per capita to US$42,695 and reduce extreme poverty to 40.44%, albeit with a rise in carbon emissions to 241,380 tons.

The report analyzes Rwanda's development trajectories, finding that a 'Combined scenario' of sectoral improvements would significantly boost GDP and GDP per capita, potentially making Rwanda a high-income country by 2050. While this scenario drastically reduces extreme poverty and improves life expectancy, it also leads to higher carbon emissions than the Current Path and fails to meet Vision 2050's specific inequality targets. The economic structure would shift from service-led to manufacturing-led by 2050.