Tunisia: Conclusion and Recommendations

The report analyzes Tunisia's economic and social outlook, contrasting a 'Current Path' of moderate growth with a 'Combined scenario' that predicts significant improvements in GDP, poverty, and inequality by 2043. It argues that current gains are insufficient to meet Vision Tunisie 2035 and Agenda 2063 goals without strategic reforms. Key recommendations include diversifying energy sources, integrating climate resilience into planning, and expanding manufacturing and agricultural productivity to overcome constraints like high youth unemployment and energy deficits.

• Under the 'Current Path' scenario, Tunisia is expected to see moderate GDP growth and human development improvements, but these will not be enough to achieve the goals of Vision Tunisie 2035 and Agenda 2063 without strategic investment and policy reform.
• A 'Combined scenario' involving synergistic, cross-sectoral interventions could lead to a GDP (MER) of US$100.88 billion, a GDP per capita (PPP) of US$15,630, a reduction of extreme poverty to 0.7%, and a Gini coefficient of 0.30 by 2043.
• Tunisia faces persistent energy deficits and environmental pressures even in the best-case scenario, necessitating the exploration of geothermal energy and the reconsideration of nuclear energy for long-term baseload supply.
• To enhance food security and agricultural productivity, the report recommends investing in climate-smart technologies, increasing domestic wheat production, and improving irrigation.
• Climate resilience must be integrated into all development planning, specifically regarding urban development, coastal zone protection, and water resource management.

APA

Ngundu, M. (2026). Tunisia: Conclusion and Recommendations. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TN&topic=05-conclusion

Chicago

Ngundu, Marvellous. Tunisia: Conclusion and Recommendations. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TN&topic=05-conclusion.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Ngundu |first1=Marvellous |title=Tunisia: Conclusion and Recommendations |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=15 June 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TN&topic=05-conclusion |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{ngundu2026tunisia, author = {Ngundu, Marvellous}, title = {{Tunisia: Conclusion and Recommendations}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = jun, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=TN&topic=05-conclusion}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }