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6,465 results

  • This research paper outlines a series of scenario interventions for the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo) using the IFs (Integrated Futures System) model. It details specific multipliers and targets across governance, health, education, agriculture, manufacturing, infrastructure, trade (AfCFTA), and financial flows to project development trajectories from 2024 to 2043, culminating in a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario'.

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    Document type: Research paper

  • This introductory report provides a geographic, demographic, and socio-economic overview of Libya, detailing its status as an upper-middle-income country heavily dependent on oil reserves and currently experiencing political fragmentation and institutional instability.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Libya
  • This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies compares various development scenarios for Mozambique from 2020 to 2043. It evaluates the impact of sectoral interventions—such as agriculture, governance, and infrastructure—on GDP, poverty rates, and life expectancy, while highlighting a 'Combined scenario' that integrates these efforts to accelerate structural economic transformation.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Mozambique
  • This research paper concludes that while Ghana achieved middle-income status in 2010, its economic growth has not translated into broad development dividends due to structural weaknesses, high public debt, and corruption. The author argues that by implementing targeted policy reforms in governance, manufacturing, education, and infrastructure, Ghana could potentially increase its GDP to US$365 billion and reduce extreme poverty to 6.3% by 2043.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Ghana
  • The Boom and Bust Coal 2026 report by Global Energy Monitor analyzes global coal power capacity trends in 2025, noting a decoupling where new capacity additions increased while overall electricity generation declined. The report highlights that coal commissioning is increasingly concentrated in China and India, while other nations see a shrinking pipeline of new projects.

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    Document type: Report

  • This report provides a comprehensive set of economic, demographic, and social projections for Cape Verde through 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' forecast with several thematic scenarios—including Stability, Agriculture, Education, and Free Trade—to assess their impact on GDP per capita, poverty levels, and carbon emissions. The analysis highlights the country's heavy reliance on tourism and imports, its successful rural electrification efforts, and the potential for significant growth under a combined policy agenda (Agenda 2063).

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Cape Verde
  • This report provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for sub-Saharan Africa from 2019 to 2043, utilizing the International Futures (IFs) platform. It analyzes demographic shifts, economic growth, poverty trends, and energy transitions, projecting a region with significant population growth, increasing urbanization, and a shift toward manufacturing and renewable energy, despite persistent challenges with food insecurity and carbon emissions.

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    Document type: Report

  • This introductory report provides an overview of the East African Community (EAC), detailing its membership, economic profile, and the progress and challenges associated with its regional integration goals.

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    Document type: Report

  • This research paper concludes that while ECOWAS has made progress in regional integration, its current development trajectory is not transformative enough to address structural challenges such as insecurity, corruption, and economic instability. The author argues that without aggressive socio-economic policy interventions, the region will fail to achieve inclusive and sustainable development by 2050.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: ECOWAS
  • This report provides a scenario-based analysis of Botswana's development trajectory from 2023 to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' of historical trends against a 'Combined scenario' of coordinated cross-sectoral reforms. While the Current Path shows moderate improvements, it is deemed insufficient to meet the goals of Vision 2036. The Combined scenario suggests that targeted investments in manufacturing, green energy, human capital, and regional trade integration can accelerate growth, reduce inequality, and transition the country into a high-income, inclusive, and knowledge-based society.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Botswana
  • This report provides a forward-looking analysis of Cameroon's development trajectory through 2043, concluding that while the country has strong potential, current momentum is insufficient for rapid structural transformation. It outlines specific policy recommendations across governance, trade, manufacturing, and climate resilience to accelerate economic growth and reduce poverty.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Cameroon
  • This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Benin, which integrates 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast economic and social development by 2043. The scenario predicts significant growth in GDP and a reduction in poverty compared to a 'Current Path' forecast, though it also projects a substantial increase in carbon emissions.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Benin
  • This research paper by Jakkie Cilliers of the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the relationship between demographic growth and economic prospects in Africa. It highlights that while Africa's overall economic growth is projected to outpace the rest of the world through 2050, rapid population growth limits the gains in GDP per capita, necessitating a demographic dividend and productivity improvements to narrow the global gap.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Africa
  • This research paper presents economic and social scenario comparisons for Algeria from 2019 to 2043. It evaluates a 'Current Path' against a 'Combined scenario'—which integrates eight sectoral improvements including governance, education, and infrastructure—and individual scenarios such as the AfCFTA. The analysis covers GDP per capita, poverty levels, economic structure, inequality, life expectancy, carbon emissions, and energy production.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Algeria
  • This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Cape Verde, forecasting the economic and environmental impacts of integrating 11 sectoral development scenarios by 2043. The analysis compares this integrated path against a 'Current Path' forecast, highlighting significant potential gains in GDP per capita and poverty reduction, alongside an increase in carbon emissions.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Cape Verde
  • A factsheet detailing a legal challenge in the Western Cape High Court, South Africa, where Aukotowa Fisheries Primary Co-operative, The Green Connection, and Natural Justice are contesting a proposed 3D seismic survey for oil and gas reserves on the grounds of good governance.

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    Document type: Fact sheet

  • This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics examines the transition from annual to hourly matching for accounting scope 2 emissions. It argues that hourly matching—requiring electricity consumption to be matched by renewable generation in the same hour—provides a more accurate reflection of decarbonisation and creates stronger market signals for renewable energy deployment than current annual standards. While 100% matching can be costly, the document suggests that partial matching (e.g., 80-90%) can maintain climate benefits while reducing costs. The briefing notes that the GHG Protocol is updating its Scope 2 Guidance, with a release expected in 2027, and highlights that hourly matching is already being implemented through 45 projects globally and specific regulatory frameworks like the EU's CBAM.

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    Document type: Briefing

  • This report analyzes the adaptation of Chinese critical mineral companies to global sustainability expectations, focusing on nickel processing in Indonesia. It identifies gaps between current Chinese ESG practices and international benchmarks and proposes policy recommendations for the Chinese government to improve sustainability standards and global supply chain alignment.

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    Regions: Indonesia
  • The research paper describes the 'Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging' scenario for Africa, an optimistic development pathway benchmarked against South Asia and South America. The scenario models the impact of strategic investments in renewable energy and digital infrastructure to accelerate human development and economic productivity by 2050.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Africa
  • This introductory report from the Institute for Security Studies examines the critical role of large-scale infrastructure in Africa's economic development. It highlights a persistent infrastructure deficit that hinders GDP growth and productivity, while positioning the closing of this gap as a catalyst for structural transformation and poverty reduction, particularly in the context of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Africa
Showing 81–100 of 6,465 documents