LESOTHO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES

The document evaluates the 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario for Lesotho, which integrates 11 sectoral interventions to drive economic growth. By 2043, this scenario is projected to increase GDP per capita to US$7,375 and reduce poverty from 59.5% (2019) to 27.7%, though it is expected to increase carbon emissions to 1.4 million tons due to ambitious growth.

• The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, which integrates 11 sectoral interventions, could increase Lesotho's GDP per capita to US$7,375 by 2043, which is US$2,135 higher than the Current Path forecast.
• Among the sectoral interventions, improving intra-Africa trade is projected to have the largest positive impact on GDP per capita by 2043, adding US$413 over the Current Path, followed by infrastructure (US$253) and stability (US$154). The least impact is expected from Financial Flows (US$58.9) and Health/WaSH (US$53.4).
• Implementation of the Combined Agenda 2063 measures could reduce Lesotho's poverty rate from 59.5% in 2019 to 27.7% by 2043, representing a 17.5 percentage point decrease compared to the Current Path and lifting an additional 360,000 people out of extreme poverty.
• The total GDP of Lesotho is forecast to reach US$12.3 billion by 2043 under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, a 62% increase over the Current Path forecast of US$7.6 billion.
• Economic growth under the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario is expected to increase carbon emissions from 0.7 million tons in 2019 to 1.4 million tons by 2043, which is 0.2 million tons higher than the Current Path forecast.

APA

le Roux, A. (2026). LESOTHO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=LS&topic=combined-agenda-2063

Chicago

le Roux, Alize. LESOTHO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=LS&topic=combined-agenda-2063.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=le Roux |first1=Alize |title=LESOTHO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=31 May 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=LS&topic=combined-agenda-2063 |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{leroux2026lesotho, author = {le Roux, Alize}, title = {{LESOTHO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=LS&topic=combined-agenda-2063}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }