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This technical report by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) uses System Dynamics (SD) modelling to forecast the employment impacts of circular economy (CE) interventions in Finland across six key areas: electronics, textiles, food, mining, forestry, and buildings. The study compares a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario with two levels of CE ambition (CE1 and CE2) from 2020 to 2040, finding that while some sectors like electronics and forestry see net job gains due to the labour intensity of recycling and refurbishment, others like food and textiles face net losses due to reduced primary production and retail demand.

This research paper examines the complex relationship between anthropogenic climate change and forced human migration. It challenges simplistic predictions of mass migration, arguing that displacement is driven by a combination of climate processes (slow-onset changes) and climate events (sudden hazards), mediated by non-climate factors such as governance, poverty, and adaptive capacity. The author outlines three speculative scenarios for future migration based on IPCC emission storylines and discusses the significant development implications for the poorest countries, which are expected to bear the greatest burden of providing for climate migrants.

This briefing paper, published by the International Institute for Sustainable Development on 14 December 2004, presents the collective understanding of an international research collaboration on the future of the global climate regime following the Kyoto Protocol's first commitment period. The authors explore two primary strategies—'Cap First' and 'Empower First'—to reach a long-term global solution consisting of a cap-and-trade scheme, technology development agreements, and assistance for developing countries.

The Integrated Environmental Assessment (IEA) Training Manual is a comprehensive guide developed by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD). It provides a modular framework for conducting forward-looking environmental assessments at subglobal levels, utilizing the Global Environment Outlook (GEO) approach to link environmental data with public policy and human well-being.

This executive summary presents a Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) assessment of the full electrification of the public bus fleet in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, by 2050. The analysis compares a baseline electrification scenario against two scenarios involving a modal shift from private vehicles to public transport, quantifying the socio-economic and environmental benefits over a 25-year period (2025–2050).

This fact sheet describes a Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) assessment conducted by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) for a proposed Public Bicycle Sharing (PBS) system in Dwarka, New Delhi. The analysis evaluates the environmental, social, and economic co-benefits of the system across three demand scenarios to strengthen the business case for public investment in bicycle lanes and safety infrastructure.

This executive summary presents a Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) assessment of three mobility scenarios for Indonesia to achieve net-zero transport by 2050. The analysis compares strategies based on 'avoid, shift, and improve' interventions, concluding that a combined approach of public transport investment and private vehicle electrification yields the highest societal benefits.

This fact sheet presents a Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) assessment of the N’Diaye wind farm in Senegal. The analysis compares the wind project's costs, risks, and externalities against coal-fired and heavy fuel oil (HFO)-fired electricity generation to determine their relative societal value and financial performance under different climate and risk scenarios.

The African Futures website provides forecasts and scenario modeling for African development through 2043, utilizing the International Futures modelling platform to analyze progress toward the AU's Agenda 2063.

This report provides a detailed development forecast for The Gambia up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy transitions, and the potential impacts of interventions in stability, health, education, and trade.

This report provides a detailed development forecast for Benin up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' scenario—based on existing policies—against various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy transition, and the potential impacts of targeted interventions in governance, education, and trade.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies presents economic and social forecasts for Zambia up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' that integrates 11 sectoral improvements.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides development forecasts for sub-Saharan Africa up to 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' scenario—based on existing policies and historical patterns—against eleven sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economic growth, extreme poverty, health, and carbon emissions, highlighting the potential for significant improvements in GDP per capita and poverty reduction if integrated policy goals are achieved.

This report provides a detailed development forecast for Equatorial Guinea up to 2043, utilizing the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform. It contrasts a 'Current Path' scenario—based on existing policies and historical patterns—with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis highlights a severe misalignment between the country's status as an upper middle-income nation, driven by oil wealth, and its poor development indicators, including pervasive extreme poverty and low life expectancy.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a development forecast for Lesotho extending to 2043. It outlines a 'Current Path' based on existing policies and compares it against 11 sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economics, poverty, health, and energy, highlighting Lesotho's heavy economic dependence on South Africa and its vulnerability to food insecurity and political instability.

This report provides a comprehensive development forecast for Liberia up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' scenario (continuing current policies) against various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, infrastructure, and carbon emissions, highlighting that while GDP is expected to grow, significant challenges remain in food security, rural electricity access, and extreme poverty.

This report provides a detailed development forecast for Namibia up to 2043, utilizing the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform. It outlines a 'Current Path' based on existing policies and evaluates several sectoral scenarios—including stability, health, agriculture, and education—to determine their potential impact on GDP per capita and extreme poverty. The report concludes with a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario, which aggregates these interventions to project a significantly higher economic trajectory and a substantial reduction in poverty.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides development forecasts for Eritrea up to 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' scenario—based on existing policies and conditions—against various sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economic growth, poverty reduction, and carbon emissions, highlighting the potential for significant GDP growth and poverty alleviation if comprehensive policy reforms are implemented across sectors such as trade, infrastructure, and governance.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a development forecast for Angola up to 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' scenario, based on existing policies and trends, against various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economics, poverty, health, and carbon emissions, highlighting Angola's vulnerability to oil market volatility and the challenges of rapid population growth.

This report provides a development forecast for the Republic of the Congo up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' (CP) trajectory based on existing policies with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economics, poverty, health, and energy, highlighting the country's heavy reliance on oil and its high levels of urbanization.