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This briefing by Ember analyzes energy scenarios from the UK, EU, and US, identifying a consensus that achieving zero-carbon electricity by the 2030s is a critical milestone for meeting 2050 net-zero targets. The report details the necessary phase-out of coal and gas, the required acceleration of wind and solar deployment, and the role of system flexibility and low-carbon firm power.

This report presents a Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) assessment of three stormwater infrastructure options in the Paterson Park Precinct of Johannesburg, South Africa: a grey concrete culvert, a nature-based stream renaturalization, and a hybrid solution. Using data from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), the study compares these options through an integrated cost-benefit analysis (CBA) and climate change scenario analysis over 20- and 40-year horizons. The findings demonstrate that nature-based infrastructure is the most cost-efficient and climate-resilient choice, providing significant co-benefits in flood mitigation and water supply.

This research paper by the NewClimate Institute analyzes decarbonisation pathways for the EU cement sector, comparing a capture-heavy scenario (HIC-S) against a process-innovation scenario (HIP-S) to achieve near-zero emissions by 2050.

This research paper provides estimates of the potential supply of Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) issued under the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) for emission reductions occurring between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2020, specifically to inform Article 6 negotiations at the UNFCCC regarding their transition toward Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs).

This report by the NewClimate Institute examines how the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent recovery efforts influence global greenhouse gas emission projections through 2030. It evaluates various 'what-if' scenarios based on IMF, IEA, and Global Carbon Project data, and introduces a classification framework ('green', 'grey', and 'colourless') to analyze the environmental impact of government stimulus packages, applying this framework to a case study of Germany.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a scenario analysis of the long-term impacts of COVID-19 on Africa through 2030. Using the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform, it examines three economic recovery paths (V, U, and L-shaped) and their effects on GDP, poverty, health expenditure, and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The analysis concludes that the pandemic is likely to undo several years of development progress, increase extreme poverty, and exacerbate debt sustainability issues across the continent.

This special report analyzes the initial response to COVID-19 in Africa, examining the vulnerabilities of the continent's health systems, the various mitigation strategies adopted by different nations, and the challenges of implementing lockdowns in contexts of high poverty and informality.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the systemic human development crisis caused by COVID-19 in Africa as of July 2020. It examines the tension between economic mitigation and health risks, the specific vulnerabilities of energy-exporting nations, the potential for digital and green energy leapfrogging, and the risk of a debt crisis compounded by falling tax revenues and remittances.

This conclusion section of a report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the potential socio-economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on Africa through 2030, focusing on income, debt, poverty, and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

This report by the NewClimate Institute synthesizes support provided to Mongolia's NDC process from September 2018 to March 2020, focusing on scenario analysis for the electricity sector aligned with the Paris Agreement and the socio-economic and health impacts of coal power plant expansion.

This report synthesizes the results of the "Ambition to Action" (A2A) project, which provided analytical support to Argentina's energy supply sector and NDC process from March 2017 to December 2019. It focuses on scenario analysis for long-term temperature goals, the socio-economic impacts of the energy transition, and the technical challenges of integrating renewable energy into the power grid.

This executive summary from Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) outlines a roadmap for increasing electricity system flexibility in India to support the deployment of renewable energy and reduce overall system costs. The report argues that flexibility needs are growing faster than energy demand and that a balanced portfolio of demand-side flexibility, powerplant upgrades, and energy storage can reduce system costs by 5% to 8% and carbon emissions by 8% to 12% by 2030.

This report by Energy Innovation outlines an illustrative policy pathway to achieve net zero emissions in the United States by 2050 using the Energy Policy Simulator (EPS). The proposed pathway aims to abate over 6 Gt of emissions annually and save more than 120,000 lives per year by reducing particulate pollution, focusing on the industrial, transportation, electricity, and buildings sectors.

This report analyses the development trajectories of the G5 Sahel countries (Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania, and Niger) to 2040 using the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system. It identifies critical challenges in agriculture, demographics, infrastructure, and governance, while comparing a 'Current Path' forecast against a positive 'Desert Flower' scenario and a dystopian 'Sahelistan' scenario.

This briefing by the Stockholm Environment Institute examines the potential for biogas to help Indonesia meet its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement, analyzing two development pathways and the policy barriers hindering their implementation.

A collaborative project between Svemin and the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) used exploratory scenarios to develop a sustainability roadmap for the Swedish mining sector, identifying 31 key action points to navigate the sector toward a sustainable future by 2050.

This report presents a Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) assessment of the Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) project in Dakar, Senegal. The analysis compares a 'Business as Usual' scenario against three BRT implementation scenarios (baseline, low demand, and high demand) to evaluate the project's financial viability and its broader environmental, social, and economic externalities.

This report presents a Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) assessment of the Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) project in Dakar, Senegal. The analysis compares a 'Business as Usual' (BAU) scenario against three BRT implementation scenarios (default, low demand, and high demand) to evaluate the project's financial viability and its broader socio-economic and environmental externalities. While the project is found to be financially unviable under conventional accounting, the integration of positive externalities—particularly avoided transport costs and time savings—demonstrates significant overall economic and social profitability.

This report uses a system dynamics model to quantify the economic, social, and environmental impacts of Green Public Procurement (GPP) in Canada from 2016 to 2035. It analyzes four spending categories—buildings, cement, steel, and vehicles—comparing business-as-usual (BAU) scenarios against sustainable and domestic-production scenarios. The findings generally indicate that GPP reduces long-term operating costs and greenhouse gas emissions while potentially increasing domestic employment and revenue.

This briefing by the NewClimate Institute analyzes potential emission reduction paths for Germany to align with the 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement, concluding that current government targets are insufficient.