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This report provides a detailed development forecast for Togo up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy transitions, and the potential impacts of targeted interventions in agriculture, education, and governance.

This report provides development forecasts for Mauritius up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' baseline with various sectoral improvement scenarios. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, and carbon emissions, highlighting Mauritius's position as a high-income, stable island nation facing challenges such as an aging population, skilled labor shortages, and climate vulnerability.

This report provides development forecasts for Sierra Leone up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory based on existing policies with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy transition, and the potential impacts of targeted interventions in agriculture, education, and governance.

This report provides development forecasts for the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) up to 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' trajectory—based on existing policies—against various sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario, analyzing impacts on GDP, poverty, demographics, and carbon emissions.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a development forecast for Eswatini up to 2043. It outlines a 'Current Path' (CP) based on existing policies and evaluates 11 sectoral intervention scenarios, culminating in a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economic growth, poverty reduction, health, and energy transition, highlighting Eswatini's high per capita income relative to its peers despite endemic poverty and a high HIV/AIDS burden.

This report provides a development forecast for São Tomé and Príncipe up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, and energy transitions for the island nation.

This report provides development forecasts for the Central African Republic (CAR) up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' (CP) baseline with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The report highlights CAR's status as one of the world's least developed countries, characterized by extreme poverty, low life expectancy, and high levels of violent conflict. While the CP predicts modest economic growth, the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario suggests that intersectoral policy pushes could significantly increase GDP per capita and drastically reduce extreme poverty.

This report conclusion by the Institute for Security Studies evaluates the development trajectory of Algeria, identifying systemic barriers to prosperity and proposing a multi-sectoral policy framework to leverage the country's natural resources and human capital for sustainable growth.

This report provides development forecasts for Cape Verde up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy production, and the potential impacts of improvements in stability, health, education, and trade.

This report provides a development forecast for Seychelles up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' scenario based on existing policies with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty, energy, and carbon emissions, highlighting the country's high-income status in Africa but persistent challenges with poverty and food security.

This research paper examines the potential economic and environmental implications of hydraulic fracturing (fracking) for shale gas in South Africa, presenting three distinct scenarios to evaluate the trade-offs between economic growth and ecological preservation.

This policy brief examines the impact of small-scale photovoltaic (PV) adoption on municipal revenue in South Africa's Western Cape and proposes a sequential policy approach involving advanced metering infrastructure, smart grid investment, and local PV manufacturing to mitigate financial losses.

This policy brief, produced by the Institute for Security Studies as part of the African Futures Project, uses the International Futures (IFs) model to analyze the impact of improving water and sanitation access across Africa. It argues that an aggressive annual improvement rate of just under 2 percentage points could significantly reduce child malnutrition and infant mortality, increase GDP, and lower the probability of state failure by 2050.

This policy brief by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the economic development of the Western Cape, focusing on its struggle with the 'middle-income trap.' Using the International Futures (IFs) forecasting model, the document compares a Base Case scenario with three alternative policy paths—Inclusive Economy, Vibrant Economy, and Enterprising Cape—to determine how the province can achieve high-income status and reduce social inequality by 2040.

This technical supplement describes the methodology used by RMI to analyze how state-level land use reform in the United States could reduce vehicle miles traveled (VMT) and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2033. The analysis compares a 'business as usual' scenario against a 'low VMT' scenario where new housing is concentrated in dense, walkable, and transit-oriented areas.

This document details the electricity sector methodology used in the 'Reinventing Fire' analysis, focusing on the application of the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL) Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) and RMI's internal electricity dispatch model to evaluate four future scenarios for the U.S. electricity system from 2010 to 2050.

This fact sheet from the South African Institute of International Affairs outlines the 'key certainties' and 'key uncertainties' regarding the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) in Southern Africa, highlighting trends in urbanisation, energy costs, and climate vulnerability.

The Global Tracking Framework, coordinated by the World Bank/ESMAP and the IEA, establishes a system of indicators to monitor progress toward three 2030 goals: universal access to modern energy services, doubling the rate of energy efficiency improvement, and doubling the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix.

This guide explains the role and functionality of scenario analysis within the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP), detailing how scenarios are used to model future energy systems and how data is managed through expression inheritance.

This guide describes how to use the Demand Costs data tab in the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) to specify non-fuel costs—including capital, O&M, and administrative expenses—for demand scenarios to support cost-benefit calculations.