Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: A scenario analysis to 2030

The report concludes that the COVID-19 pandemic is likely to reverse recent progress in poverty reduction and hinder the achievement of the 2030 SDGs and Agenda 2063. While health impacts are expected to worsen, the primary driver of suffering in Africa is projected to be the economic consequences of the pandemic. To prevent a 'lost decade', the author recommends strengthening health systems, improving water and sanitation, leveraging digital technologies for economic transformation, and securing substantial debt relief.

• The COVID-19 pandemic is expected to reverse significant progress made in poverty reduction, thereby delaying the achievement of Agenda 2063 and the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals.
• Economic impacts, rather than high mortality rates, are projected to be the primary cause of suffering in Africa resulting from the pandemic.
• To avoid a 'lost decade' similar to the 1980s, the report argues that policymakers must implement measures to mitigate short-term socio-economic damage and promote long-term growth, including strengthening health systems, improving water and sanitation, utilizing digital technologies for structural economic transformation, and obtaining substantial debt relief.

APA

Cilliers, J. (2020). Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: A scenario analysis to 2030. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=other/covid&topic=08-conclusion

Chicago

Cilliers, Jakkie. Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: A scenario analysis to 2030. Institute for Security Studies, 2020. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=other/covid&topic=08-conclusion.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |title=Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: A scenario analysis to 2030 |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=July 2020 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=other/covid&topic=08-conclusion |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{cilliers2020impact, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie}, title = {{Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: A scenario analysis to 2030}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2020}, month = jul, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=other/covid&topic=08-conclusion}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }