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Climate TRACE Inventory Sept 2026 (Version 5.11.0) Data Licensing, Schema, and Citation Guide
The document outlines the technical structure and legal permissions for the Climate TRACE Inventory (v5.11.0). It defines the metadata for emissions source, country-level, confidence, and ownership files, while specifying that most data is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License. It also provides a comprehensive list of recommended citations for various sectors and identifies third-party data sources used for specific emissions estimates.
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Document type: Guide
From oil dependence to electric security: a resilience roadmap for EU road transport
The executive summary highlights that cars, vans, and trucks account for approximately two-thirds of EU oil demand, leaving the region vulnerable to price shocks and geopolitical volatility. It proposes a five-pillar roadmap—Deploy, Build, Power, Flex, and Protect—to transition to electric vehicles, which would replace imported fuels with domestic renewable electricity. Achieving the EU's original 2030 goals could avoid approximately 190 million barrels of oil extra per year by 2030 at a cost of approximately €12 billion.
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Document type: Executive summary
Dilution doesn't fix pollution: ETS2 must work for people and climate
Carbon Market Watch criticizes the European Commission's proposed reforms to the ETS2 Market Stability Reserve (MSR2), arguing that removing the 'sunset clause' and increasing allowance releases would create a 'carbon bomb' that threatens EU climate goals. While the European Parliament has proposed mitigating some of these risks by reinstating a partial expiry date for allowances and increasing funding for the Social Climate Fund, the author contends that the system still allows for too much pollution. The document urges policymakers to make the earmarking of MSR2 auction revenues for vulnerable households mandatory and to conduct a full impact assessment of the reforms.
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Document type: Statement
Outlook of Future Mobility in India with EV Transition
India's transport sector, the country's third-largest GHG emitter, is shifting toward electrification to meet climate commitments. While the transition supports goals like a 30% EV sales share by 2030 and creates jobs in battery manufacturing and charging infrastructure, it necessitates a coordinated strategy for reskilling the workforce to handle complex electric drivetrains and software integration.
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Document type: Report
ERS Spotlight Transitioning to Electric Vehicles
The document highlights the transition to electric vehicles (EVs) as a method to eliminate tailpipe emissions, citing Shenzhen's replacement of internal combustion engine buses with 16,000 electric buses. While the transition in Shenzhen reduced transportation emissions by an estimated 1.4 million tonnes CO2e annually, it also increased emissions within the electricity sector due to charging demand. The report notes a total project impact of 1 MtCO2e and a global emissions reduction potential for EV transitions of 3 BtCO2e.
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Document type: Fact sheet
ETS2 – early auctioning of allowances
Carbon Market Watch supports the early auctioning of 450 million ETS2 allowances to address a €6.8bn funding gap in the Social Climate Fund for 2027 caused by a one-year delay in the system's start. The organization argues that these revenues should be ringfenced for the Social Climate Fund to help member states implement National Social Climate Plans and protect vulnerable households. Additionally, it supports the requirement that only member states that have transposed the legislation can access auctioning revenues to incentivize timely implementation.
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Document type: Statement
Last chance to shore up EU’s 2040 climate target
Carbon Market Watch criticizes the EU's proposed 2040 climate target for relying on international carbon credits and including 'flexibilities' that weaken domestic ambition. The author calls for a strict domestic emissions reduction target, the exclusion of credits from the EU ETS, and the prevention of delays to the ETS2 system for buildings and road transport. The document also warns against using natural disturbances in forestry as a justification to lower overall climate targets.
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Document type: Statement
Open letter on MSR2 reform and suggestion to postpone ETS2
The letter argues against postponing the ETS2 and opposes changes to the MSR2, specifically the removal of the sunset clause, which the authors claim would increase emissions and jeopardize the Fit for 55 package. It emphasizes the need for robust carbon prices to drive decarbonization investments and calls for the Commission to ensure Member States strengthen national policies to compensate for any reduced effectiveness of a reformed ETS2.
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Document type: Statement
India’s transition to electric mobility
India's electric vehicle (EV) market grew elevenfold between FY2020 and FY2025, driven by central and state government subsidies. The transport sector, particularly road transport, is a critical focus for India's goal to reach net-zero emissions by 2070. Key policy mechanisms include the FAME-I, FAME-II, and PM E-DRIVE schemes, alongside state-level policies in over 25 states.
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Document type: Report
Managing the risk of high ETS2 prices
The document warns that reforming the MSR2 before the ETS2 launches in 2027 could lead to an oversupply of allowances, weakening the price signal and jeopardizing the EU's 2030 climate target of a 42% reduction in covered emissions. It argues that high prices should be managed through 'complementary measures'—such as CO2 standards for vehicles and boiler phase-outs—and the strategic use of the Social Climate Fund and €300 billion in ETS2 revenue. The authors contend that existing safeguards, including a 'soft price cap' of approximately €55 per tonne and the early auctioning of 30% more allowances, are sufficient for the initial phase. They caution that any increase in allowance supply must be 'cap neutral' to avoid exceeding the carbon budget.
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Document type: Statement
Joint letter to establish an EU lending facility for ETS2 revenue for member states
A joint letter calling for an EU lending facility to frontload future ETS2 revenues, allowing Member States to invest in zero-emission alternatives for vulnerable households before the 2027 implementation of carbon pricing for buildings and road transport.
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Document type: Statement
U-turn on EU’s emissions trading system for road transport and buildings carries huge environmental, social and economic price tag
Carbon Market Watch opposes efforts by politicians in countries like Poland and Czechia to reverse or delay the EU's ETS2 carbon pricing system for buildings and road transport. The organization argues that the ETS2 is critical for achieving a 42% emission reduction in these sectors by 2030 and a 55% net reduction overall by 2050. It highlights that the system includes social protections, such as the €86 billion Social Climate Fund and a €45 per tonne soft price cap, to protect vulnerable populations. The document warns that weakening the system would increase future economic costs, exacerbate the climate crisis, and undermine the EU's energy sovereignty.
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Document type: Statement
Financing Transport Projects: Why integrating externalities matters for decision making
The document highlights that conventional financial analysis fails to capture the environmental and social impacts of transport projects, which contribute over 20% of global carbon dioxide emissions. It advocates for a holistic approach that accounts for externalities—such as public health benefits from improved air quality or costs from vehicle emissions—to better determine a project's overall value. The briefing also references several Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) case studies involving electric vehicles in India, non-motorized transport in Coimbatore, wind portfolios in Germany, and bus electrification in Mongolia.
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Document type: Briefing
FAQ: What is the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS)?
The EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) is a cap-and-trade mechanism designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the power, heavy industry, aviation, and maritime sectors by pricing pollution. It operates by setting a decreasing cap on total emissions, divided into EU Allowances (EUAs), which companies can trade or buy at auction. While the system has raised over €152 billion since 2005, its effectiveness has been historically hampered by an oversupply of permits and the extensive use of free allocations to prevent 'carbon leakage'. A separate system, ETS2, will be introduced in 2027 to cover buildings and road transport. The document highlights concerns regarding the environmental integrity of the current cap relative to the EU's carbon budget and the lack of transparency in how member states spend auction revenues.
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Document type: Fact sheet
A Sustainable Asset Valuation of the Tirana–Durres Railway in Albania
The SAVi assessment of the Tirana–Durres railway in Albania indicates the project is highly profitable, with a benefit-cost ratio of 4.79 and cumulative discounted net benefits of EUR 415.51 million between 2023 and 2053. The primary economic drivers are avoided vehicle operating costs resulting from a shift from road to rail, followed by health benefits from reduced air pollution and increased physical activity, as well as time savings.
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Document type: Report
Electrification Data Methodology 2024 Overview
The 2024 Electrification Data Methodology describes how Ember calculates the energy and emissions impacts of electric vehicles (EVs) and residential heat pumps. The methodology focuses on operational energy use, calculating the 'displaced' primary fossil fuel consumption and CO2 emissions by comparing the energy required for electrification technologies against the fossil fuel alternatives they replace. For transport, the model accounts for vehicle stocks, mileage decay, and charging losses. For residential heating, it utilizes final energy consumption data, boiler efficiency factors, and seasonal coefficients of performance (SCOP). The analysis covers the European Union and the United Kingdom, utilizing data from sources such as Eurostat, the IEA, and the UK Department for Transport.
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Document type: Guide
Impacts and risks from climate change on trade infrastructure
The report examines the vulnerability of global trade infrastructure to climate change, highlighting that maritime, land-based, and air transport are all exposed to acute and slow-onset hazards. It identifies critical 'chokepoints' in global supply chains, particularly for food and raw materials, and notes that current adaptation efforts by governments and businesses are insufficient. The document argues for a systemic, global approach to climate-proofing trade infrastructure to prevent catastrophic economic losses and support the low-carbon transition.
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Document type: Report
Can the EU’s expanded emissions trading system ensure a just transition for vulnerable Europeans and the climate?
The European Union is expanding its Emissions Trading System (ETS2) to cover buildings and road transport, starting in 2027 or 2028. While intended to accelerate decarbonisation by applying the 'polluter pays' principle, the system risks disproportionately impacting low-income households. To mitigate this, the EU has established the Social Climate Fund (SCF) to support vulnerable groups and finance energy retrofitting. Carbon Market Watch advocates for increasing the SCF cap, strengthening energy performance standards, banning internal combustion engines by 2035, and ensuring that carbon pricing is complemented by binding national targets under the Effort Sharing Regulation.
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Document type: Statement
DRAFT CORPORATE CLIMATE STOCKTAKE: ROAD TRANSPORT
The report analyzes the global transition of road transport to electric vehicles, noting that while passenger EV adoption is on an exponential growth trajectory, freight and emerging markets face significant hurdles. Key barriers include insufficient charging infrastructure, power grid limitations, and high total cost of ownership (TCO) for heavy-duty trucks. The document emphasizes the need for a shift from demand-side subsidies to supply-side policies, such as prioritized permitting for battery production and direct funding for charging networks, to sustain the transition toward net-zero emissions.
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Document type: Report
Transport policies and air pollution in Kenya
The study developed a detailed inventory model for eleven pollutants in Kenya's road transport sector, which accounts for 93% of all freight and passenger traffic. Projections indicate that emissions could increase exponentially by 2050 under a business-as-usual scenario. The authors identify improving fuel economy, vehicle standards, fuel sources, and public transport investment as the most effective strategies for improving air quality and meeting climate goals.
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Document type: Research paper