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22,506 documents
Burkina Faso: Introduction
This research paper provides an introductory overview of Burkina Faso, detailing its political instability, the severe impact of terrorism and jihadi violence, its shifting international alliances, and its economic challenges as a low-income, landlocked nation.
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Document type: Research paper
The Financial Flows Scenario
This research paper presents the 'Financial Flows scenario', a model using the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform to assess the impact of increased aid, foreign direct investment (FDI), and remittances, alongside reduced illicit financial flows (IFFs), on Africa's development indicators through 2043.
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Document type: Research paper
Cameroon: Introduction
This fact sheet provides a geographic, demographic, and political overview of Cameroon, detailing its administrative structure, climatic diversity, and the long-term presidency of Paul Biya.
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Document type: Fact sheet
BURKINA FASO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES Annex
This document is an annex to the 'Burkina Faso Development Futures: Geographic Futures' research paper, providing administrative details, licensing information, and author biographies.
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Document type: Research paper
Sub-Saharan Africa Development Futures: Current Path
This report provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for sub-Saharan Africa from 2019 to 2043, utilizing the International Futures (IFs) platform. It analyzes demographic shifts, economic growth, poverty trends, and energy transitions, projecting a region with significant population growth, increasing urbanization, and a shift toward manufacturing and renewable energy, despite persistent challenges with food insecurity and carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
EAC: Conclusion
This report provides policy recommendations for the East African Community (EAC) to address development shortfalls, regional instability, and socio-economic inequalities. It emphasizes the need for harmonized national development plans, increased investment in infrastructure and education, and the implementation of regional frameworks for trade, governance, and security to ensure growth keeps pace with a rapidly expanding population.
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Document type: Report
The Demographics and Health Scenario
The Demographics and Health Scenario is a research paper that models the potential impact of accelerated fertility decline and health infrastructure improvements across Africa. It outlines a series of ambitious but empirically grounded interventions starting in 2027 to enhance human development and economic growth relative to a 'Current Path' forecast.
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Document type: Research paper
EAC: Introduction
This introductory report provides an overview of the East African Community (EAC), detailing its membership, economic profile, and the progress and challenges associated with its regional integration goals.
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Document type: Report
ECOWAS: Conclusion
This research paper concludes that while ECOWAS has made progress in regional integration, its current development trajectory is not transformative enough to address structural challenges such as insecurity, corruption, and economic instability. The author argues that without aggressive socio-economic policy interventions, the region will fail to achieve inclusive and sustainable development by 2050.
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Document type: Research paper
Burundi Impact of sectoral scenarios on key indicators
This report analyzes the impact of various sectoral scenarios on Burundi's economy, poverty levels, and carbon emissions from 2019 to 2043. It finds that while all scenarios improve GDP per capita over the 'Current Path', the Agriculture and Governance scenarios are most effective at reducing extreme poverty, whereas the full implementation of the AfCFTA could potentially increase poverty if not supported by complementary domestic policies.
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Document type: Report
Remittances to Africa
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the scale, impact, and future projections of remittance flows to Africa. It examines how these funds support households and macroeconomic stability, while also warning of potential 'remittance traps' and 'Dutch disease' that can hinder long-term economic growth and government accountability.
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Document type: Research paper
ECCAS: Introduction
The Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS), established in 1983 and revised in 2019, comprises 11 member states in Central Africa. While its mandate expanded in 1998 to include peace and security alongside economic cooperation, the region continues to face challenges including low regional integration, currency diversity, and significant economic disparities, with member states ranging from low-income to nominally upper-middle-income.
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Document type: Report
Introduction: Prospects and Challenges of ECOWAS
This research paper provides an introduction to the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), detailing its founding mandate, member state composition, natural resource endowments, and the current geopolitical and developmental challenges facing the region.
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Document type: Research paper
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The report forecasts that a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' would nearly double sub-Saharan Africa's economy by 2043 compared to the current path, increasing GDP per capita to US$9,798 and significantly reducing extreme poverty to 7.3%. While services and manufacturing are expected to drive the most GDP growth, the scenario also predicts an increase in carbon emissions to 892 million tons by 2043.
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Document type: Research paper
Botswana: Conclusion
This report provides a scenario-based analysis of Botswana's development trajectory from 2023 to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' of historical trends against a 'Combined scenario' of coordinated cross-sectoral reforms. While the Current Path shows moderate improvements, it is deemed insufficient to meet the goals of Vision 2036. The Combined scenario suggests that targeted investments in manufacturing, green energy, human capital, and regional trade integration can accelerate growth, reduce inequality, and transition the country into a high-income, inclusive, and knowledge-based society.
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Document type: Report
Cameroon: Conclusion and Recommendations
This report provides a forward-looking analysis of Cameroon's development trajectory through 2043, concluding that while the country has strong potential, current momentum is insufficient for rapid structural transformation. It outlines specific policy recommendations across governance, trade, manufacturing, and climate resilience to accelerate economic growth and reduce poverty.
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Document type: Report
Africa’s Population Momentum
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Africa's rapid population growth and its implications for the global labor market. It forecasts that Africa's population will reach 3.850 billion by 2100, driven by high fertility rates and population momentum, potentially making the continent the world's largest labor force by 2040.
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Document type: Research paper
Central African Republic Combined Agenda 2063 scenario
This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for the Central African Republic, comparing it to a 'Current Path' forecast. The scenario integrates 11 sectoral interventions to project improvements in GDP per capita, poverty reduction, and sectoral economic contributions by 2043, while noting an increase in carbon emissions as a result of higher economic growth.
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Document type: Research paper
ANGOLA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report analyzes the projected economic and social outcomes for Angola under a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' compared to a 'Current Path' forecast. The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario, which integrates 11 sectoral improvements, predicts a dramatic increase in GDP per capita and a significant reduction in extreme poverty by 2043, though it also forecasts a substantial increase in carbon emissions due to industrial and demographic growth.
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Document type: Report
Illicit Financial Flows
This research paper analyzes illicit financial flows (IFFs) in Africa, estimating that approximately US$89 billion leaves the continent annually. It identifies multinational commercial activities (65%) and criminal/corrupt activities (35%) as the primary drivers. The document highlights the resulting deficits in health and education spending and critiques the US as a secrecy jurisdiction. It evaluates efforts to combat IFFs through the African Tax Administration Forum (ATAF), the EITI, and the OECD/G20 BEPS framework, noting that African nations seek a higher global minimum corporate tax rate of 20%.
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Document type: Research paper