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EAC DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES Annex
This document is an annex to the 'EAC Development Futures: Geographic Futures' report, providing administrative details regarding the authors, the African Futures & Innovation (AFI) program, and the open-access licensing terms for the research.
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Document type: Report
COMESA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA), integrating 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast GDP per capita, poverty levels, and carbon emissions by 2043. It highlights the synergistic effects of multi-sectoral reform, projecting significant economic growth and poverty reduction, while noting an inevitable increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
NORTH AFRICA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for North Africa, projecting economic growth, poverty reduction, and sectoral shifts by 2043. The scenario integrates 11 sectoral improvements to forecast a significant increase in GDP per capita and a reduction in extreme poverty, while noting an increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
BENIN DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Benin, which integrates 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast economic and social development by 2043. The scenario predicts significant growth in GDP and a reduction in poverty compared to a 'Current Path' forecast, though it also projects a substantial increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
Africa’s Economic Growth Prospects
This research paper by Jakkie Cilliers of the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the relationship between demographic growth and economic prospects in Africa. It highlights that while Africa's overall economic growth is projected to outpace the rest of the world through 2050, rapid population growth limits the gains in GDP per capita, necessitating a demographic dividend and productivity improvements to narrow the global gap.
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Document type: Research paper
Africa: Introduction
This research paper provides a comprehensive geographic, political, and socio-economic introduction to Africa, detailing its physical landscape, colonial history, administrative structures, and immense cultural and linguistic diversity.
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Document type: Research paper
Burundi Combined Agenda 2063: Current Path vs scenario
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies compares Burundi's economic and social trajectory under a 'Current Path' versus a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The Combined scenario, which integrates eight sectoral pushes, projects significant growth in GDP, a reduction in extreme poverty, and structural economic transformation by 2043, albeit with an increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
BURUNDI DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report details a series of scenario interventions for Burundi's development, utilizing the IFs v7.84 model to project outcomes across governance, health, education, agriculture, manufacturing, infrastructure, and trade. It compares potential improvements in Burundi against historical benchmarks from other African nations and forecasts Burundi's relative standing among low-income African peers by 2043.
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Document type: Report
ALGERIA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper presents economic and social scenario comparisons for Algeria from 2019 to 2043. It evaluates a 'Current Path' against a 'Combined scenario'—which integrates eight sectoral improvements including governance, education, and infrastructure—and individual scenarios such as the AfCFTA. The analysis covers GDP per capita, poverty levels, economic structure, inequality, life expectancy, carbon emissions, and energy production.
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Document type: Research paper
Africa: Conclusion
The report concludes that while Africa's baseline trajectory shows steady growth, it is insufficient to meet Agenda 2063 and SDG goals. By 2043, a 'Current Path' would see a population of 2.3 billion with 19.1% in extreme poverty. However, a coordinated approach involving AfCFTA trade integration, governance reforms, and a tripled energy buildout could raise GDP to nearly US$9 trillion and reduce extreme poverty to 10.9%.
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Document type: Report
CABO VERDE DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Cape Verde, forecasting the economic and environmental impacts of integrating 11 sectoral development scenarios by 2043. The analysis compares this integrated path against a 'Current Path' forecast, highlighting significant potential gains in GDP per capita and poverty reduction, alongside an increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
BURUNDI DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This conclusion section of the 'Burundi Development Futures: Geographic Futures' report evaluates Burundi's development trajectory, noting that while progress has been made since the 2000 Arusha Peace Agreement, the country remains hindered by political fragility, poor infrastructure, and low agricultural productivity. The report argues that Burundi is unlikely to meet many Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030 on its current path and recommends a coordinated policy push across governance, agriculture, human capital, infrastructure, and economic diversification to achieve shared prosperity.
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Document type: Report
Legal challenge in the Western Cape High Court, South Africa
A factsheet detailing a legal challenge in the Western Cape High Court, South Africa, where Aukotowa Fisheries Primary Co-operative, The Green Connection, and Natural Justice are contesting a proposed 3D seismic survey for oil and gas reserves on the grounds of good governance.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Hourly matching of scope 2 emissions can further incentivise decarbonisation
This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics examines the transition from annual to hourly matching for accounting scope 2 emissions. It argues that hourly matching—requiring electricity consumption to be matched by renewable generation in the same hour—provides a more accurate reflection of decarbonisation and creates stronger market signals for renewable energy deployment than current annual standards. While 100% matching can be costly, the document suggests that partial matching (e.g., 80-90%) can maintain climate benefits while reducing costs. The briefing notes that the GHG Protocol is updating its Scope 2 Guidance, with a release expected in 2027, and highlights that hourly matching is already being implemented through 45 projects globally and specific regulatory frameworks like the EU's CBAM.
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Document type: Briefing
Public investment in the blue economy has nearly doubled in the past decade, but funding still falls short of global needs
This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics examines the funding landscape of the global ocean economy, noting that while public investment has increased over the last decade, it remains significantly below the estimated USD 550 billion needed annually by 2030. The report highlights a heavy reliance on official development assistance (ODA), which is currently facing cuts from major donors, and emphasizes the economic and climate benefits of closing the sustainable ocean funding gap.
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Document type: Briefing
N O T I F I C A C I Ó N
The Global Environment Facility (GEF) has approved the USD 10.9 million SargMarine project to improve sargassum management in the Caribbean, with execution expected to start in August 2026. The Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI) will lead Component 2, focusing on enhancing prediction models, early warning systems, and the integration of science into decision-making for the tourism, fishing, and coastal management sectors across seven countries, including Colombia, Jamaica, Panama, and the Dominican Republic.
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Document type: Statement
Rethinking insects as alternative protein: emerging environmental and animal welfare considerations
This executive summary from the Stockholm Environment Institute evaluates commercial insect farming in high-income northern hemisphere countries, arguing that the industry often fails to meet its theoretical environmental and sustainability promises.
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Document type: Executive summary
Saving Rands, Costing Lives: It’s Time for Universal Basic Income
A statement by the Institute for Economic Justice criticizing the South African government's approach to social spending and calling for the urgent implementation of a comprehensive universal basic income to combat hunger and a cost-of-living crisis.
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Document type: Statement
Made in Europe public procurement
This report examines the potential for 'Made in Europe' requirements (local content rules) within European Union public procurement to drive climate action, circularity, and industrial resilience, while weighing these benefits against risks to costs and trade relationships.
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Document type: Report
Toward a More Responsible Critical Minerals Supply Chain Supporting Indonesia’s Energy Transition
This report analyzes the adaptation of Chinese critical mineral companies to global sustainability expectations, focusing on nickel processing in Indonesia. It identifies gaps between current Chinese ESG practices and international benchmarks and proposes policy recommendations for the Chinese government to improve sustainability standards and global supply chain alignment.
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Document type: Report