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MOROCCO DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The report projects that Morocco's GDP could reach US$384 billion by 2043 in a combined scenario of sectoral interventions, making it Africa's sixth-largest economy. Key growth drivers include transitions to high-value manufacturing, improvements in education and health, and the full implementation of the AfCFTA. The document recommends strategic investments in renewable energy, water management, and infrastructure to mitigate challenges like water scarcity and energy dependence.
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Document type: Report
Guinea: Conclusion
The report analyzes Guinea's 'Current Path' development trajectory to 2043, concluding that the country is not on track to meet the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals. It highlights the severe impact of foreign aid withdrawal due to political instability and recommends strategic interventions in governance, economic diversification, agriculture, human capital, and infrastructure to foster inclusive growth.
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Document type: Report
The Pacific Under Pressure: War, El Niño, and Implications for Pacific Islands in the Coming Months
The briefing warns that Pacific SIDS are facing a convergence of geopolitical and climatic crises. The war in Iran is driving up fuel and food prices due to shipping disruptions and import dependence, leading to states of emergency in Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands. This economic strain is expected to be compounded by a strong El Niño in the second half of 2026, which threatens tuna stocks, freshwater access, and agricultural productivity. The document recommends immediate anticipatory action, such as pre-positioning supplies and expanding early warning systems, alongside long-term investments in regenerative agriculture and regional fisheries management.
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Document type: Briefing
How the Philippines ' rooftop solar surge can flip the energy emergency script
Rooftop solar capacity in the Philippines has likely doubled between April 2025 and April 2026, reaching approximately 1,300 MW. This growth is driven by surging electricity prices, which have reduced payback periods for residential, commercial, and industrial users to between 2.3 and 3.1 years. The report highlights a massive influx of solar panel imports from China and the emergence of domestic manufacturing. To further scale rooftop solar to a target of 3,500 MW with 4,500 MWh of battery storage within 24 months, the author recommends expanding low-interest loan schemes, legalising 'plug-and-play' solar kits under 800 watts, and implementing a distributed grid-battery project.
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Document type: Report
ECOWAS: Conclusion
The document concludes that while ECOWAS has made progress, its current path is insufficient to address structural challenges such as insecurity, corruption, and economic dependence on commodities. It argues that without aggressive interventions in governance, security, and economic diversification, the region will fail to meet its 2050 sustainability targets. Key recommendations include operationalising the ECOWAS Standby Force Unit, transitioning to renewable energy sources like solar and wind, and implementing the West African Power Pool white paper to create a regional electricity market.
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Document type: Research paper
Botswana: Conclusion
The report evaluates Botswana's potential development paths up to 2043. It concludes that while the 'Current Path' provides incremental progress, it is insufficient to meet Vision 2036 goals due to persistent energy deficits and modest governance improvements. A 'Combined' scenario of integrated reforms—focusing on manufacturing, green energy, and human capital—is proposed to accelerate growth, reduce inequality, and transition the country into a high-income, inclusive society.
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Document type: Report
Africa: Conclusion
The report concludes that Africa's current development trajectory is insufficient to meet Agenda 2063 and SDG goals, with 19.1% of the population projected to remain in extreme poverty by 2043. It argues that a 'Combined scenario' of coordinated reforms—including the full implementation of the AfCFTA, improved governance, and an accelerated energy transition—could lift GDP to nearly US$9 trillion and reduce extreme poverty to 10.9% by 2043. Key recommendations include doubling or tripling annual energy buildout through renewables and regional power pools, and prioritizing industrialization in agro-processing and mineral beneficiation.
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Document type: Report
North American carbon credit markets
The report identifies North American carbon credit markets as fragmented, confusing, and unreliable, overseen by a mix of state regulatory bodies and non-profit programs. It advocates for increased integration and the establishment of government-administered voluntary programs, buyer coalitions, and recognition for responsible credit use to attract private investment and align current markets with future policies.
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Document type: Report
A Turning Point for Europe's Seas: How Sustainable Ocean Plans Can Help the EU Ocean Act Succeed
The briefing advocates for the adoption of Sustainable Ocean Plans (SOPs) as a central mechanism within the EU Ocean Act to replace siloed marine governance with an integrated framework. It suggests that SOPs can align fisheries, offshore energy, and conservation efforts across EU member states, citing the success of 29 countries globally and the potential for better sea-basin coordination in the North Sea, Baltic Sea, and Mediterranean Sea.
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Document type: Briefing
The Multi-Family Housing Tracker
The Multi-Family Housing Tracker documents the significant increase in private equity ownership of U.S. apartment complexes, noting that 228 identified firms own nearly 3 million units, or approximately 13% of the national total. The report highlights a heavy concentration in Sunbelt states and metropolitan areas, correlating these regions with sharp increases in 'cost-burdened' renters. It details a business model focused on rapid value increases through rent hikes and additional fees, while documenting widespread tenant complaints regarding poor maintenance, aggressive evictions, and the use of algorithmic pricing software like RealPage. The document concludes with recommendations for landlords, public officials, and institutional investors to implement rent caps, just-cause eviction protections, and responsible investment standards.
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Document type: Report
Global Shock, Local Pain: What the Strait of Hormuz Disruption Means for Food Security in Nigeria
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a global fertiliser supply shock that threatens Nigerian food security by increasing agricultural production costs and food prices. Despite record domestic urea production in 2024, Nigeria remains vulnerable due to the export of most urea and a continued reliance on imported blending materials from Russia, Morocco, and China. These external shocks compound existing internal strains, including regional insecurity and infrastructure gaps, disproportionately affecting smallholder farmers who cannot absorb rising costs. The document argues for a pivot toward emergency procurement, improved trade finance, and expanded domestic blending capacity to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Briefing
Pour des retraites durables : mettre fin au soutien à l’expansion fossile
Eleven civil society organizations, including Reclaim Finance, have called on Agirc-Arrco, ERAFP, and the Fonds de réserve pour les retraites to cease supporting fossil fuel expansion. The signatories argue that continued investments, particularly through bonds and external managers like BlackRock, exacerbate climate change and expose portfolios to financial risks. They specifically highlight TotalEnergies' recent climate setbacks, including the abandonment of its 2050 carbon neutrality goal in March 2026, as evidence that shareholder dialogue is insufficient. The letter demands an immediate end to new investments in oil and gas projects, systematic voting against directors of expanding fossil fuel companies, and the implementation of science-based climate criteria for selecting external asset managers.
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Document type: Statement
A Fast-Path to Affordability: Understanding the Benefits of Energy-Only Resources in PJM
The briefing examines the potential of Energy Resource Interconnection Service (ERIS) to address load growth and high energy prices in the PJM region. Based on analysis by Aurora Energy Research, the document asserts that wind and solar resources electing ERIS are financially viable and could save ratepayers nearly $11 billion over a decade if 10 GW are deployed by 2028. It calls for PJM to decouple ERIS studies from Network Resource Interconnection Service (NRIS) tracks and minimize network upgrade requirements to accelerate deployment.
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Document type: Briefing
Electrification with Equity 2 | Union of Concerned Scientists
The executive summary advocates for local 'behind-the-meter' solar and storage in Massachusetts as a means to protect environmental justice (EJ) communities from the health and financial burdens of gas-fired power plants and extreme weather. It notes that over 80 percent of the state's polluting power plants are located in or near EJ neighborhoods and proposes 18 recommendations to scale these clean energy solutions.
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Document type: Executive summary
Orbits of Influence: Emerging Threats to U.S. Space Security and Foreign Policy Implications
Mallory Stewart testifies that the U.S. must lead the development of international guardrails and rules of responsible behavior in outer space to avoid unintentional escalation and prevent China and Russia from defining future space security policy. Stewart emphasizes the need for the State Department to lead a unified space diplomacy policy, improve interagency coordination, and restart bilateral and multilateral space security dialogues to strengthen alliances and protect U.S. national security and commercial interests.
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Document type: Statement
Build Here: How Targeted State Investment in Geothermal Can Fill California’s Clean Firm Gap
The report argues that next-generation geothermal, specifically enhanced geothermal systems (EGS), can provide the 'clean firm' power California needs to reach its 2045 goals affordably. Modeling shows that EGS could reduce annual electricity supply costs by $10-44 billion and decrease the required pace of solar installation from 10 GW/year to 3 GW/year. While projects are currently being developed in other western states, the authors argue that in-state development would further save $3.5-5.5 billion annually and reduce interregional transmission needs by 28-53%. To overcome the 'missing middle' of financing for high-risk exploration wells, the report recommends California establish a public subsurface mapping and testbed program similar to the DOE's FORGE project in Utah.
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Document type: Report
Induced Seismicity and Next-Generation Geothermal
The document discusses induced seismicity in next-generation geothermal systems, specifically Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS), closed-loop systems, and superhot rock (SHR) geothermal. It identifies three primary triggers for seismicity in EGS: volume and pressure changes, temperature changes, and chemical changes. While closed-loop systems have lower risk, they may still induce seismicity through temperature-driven rock contraction. The text highlights historical failures in Basel, Switzerland (2006) and Pohang, South Korea (2017) as reasons for implementing modern mitigation protocols. Recommended safeguards include early geologic mapping, real-time seismic monitoring, and the adoption of regulatory frameworks such as the U.S. DOE's Induced Seismicity Protocol and Switzerland's Good-Practice Guide, which utilize 'traffic light systems' and GRID scores to manage risk based on geologic and social sensitivity.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Legal Pathways to Lowering Transmission Costs in New England Through Public Transmission Financing
The report argues that substituting tax-exempt public debt for investor-owned utility (IOU) equity and taxable debt can significantly lower transmission costs for ratepayers in New England. It identifies two primary paths: strengthening existing quasi-public entities or creating a new purpose-built transmission authority. The author emphasizes that any such vehicle must have a clear statutory mandate for FERC-jurisdictional transmission, non-recourse revenue-bond authority, the ability to form public-private partnerships, and governance structures that ensure state accountability and risk control.
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Document type: Report
Recomendações para o Plano Safra 2026/2027
The report argues that Brazil's primary agricultural policy instrument must be reoriented to align with national climate goals, specifically by restricting credit for illegal deforestation, expanding access for vulnerable family farmers, and reforming risk management programs like Proagro and PSR to ensure fiscal sustainability and environmental integrity.
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Document type: Report
Beyond net: a guide on separate permanent removal targets in the EU
Carbon Market Watch proposes that the EU replace 'net' climate targets with three distinct targets for emissions reductions, land-based sequestration, and permanent carbon dioxide removals (CDR). The guide argues that current EU governance is inadequate, noting that the Carbon Removal and Carbon Farming (CRCF) Regulation lacks rigour and the Net-Zero Industry Act's goal of 50 Mt of geological CO2 storage does not specify the volume for permanent removals. To implement this, the author suggests integrating permanent removal targets into the Effort Sharing Regulation and strengthening the Governance Regulation to require credible feasibility and sustainability assessments by March 2027. Proposed target designs include a 'floor' for minimum delivery and a 'ceiling' to prevent over-reliance on CDR, with targets expressed in absolute volume (MtCO2) and as a percentage of 1990 gross emissions. Financing should be shared between the public sector and high-polluting companies through progressive taxation or direct removal obligations.
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Document type: Guide