Recomendações para o Plano Safra 2026/2027

The report argues that Brazil's primary agricultural policy instrument must be reoriented to align with national climate goals, specifically by restricting credit for illegal deforestation, expanding access for vulnerable family farmers, and reforming risk management programs like Proagro and PSR to ensure fiscal sustainability and environmental integrity.

• The report proposes that all rural credit access be restricted for properties associated with illegal deforestation and that credit for authorized deforestation be conditioned on clear environmental counterparts, such as emission mitigation and low-carbon practices.
• There is a significant structural exclusion in family farming credit; only 21% of family farming properties access rural credit, with a heavy concentration of Pronaf resources (68%) in the South and Southeast regions.
• Gender disparities persist in rural credit, where women receive only 23% of the total Pronaf credit volume, and their average contract value is less than half that of men.
• The report identifies a critical lack of funding for Technical Assistance and Rural Extension (ATER); in the 2025/26 Family Farming Harvest Plan, ATER was allocated only R$ 240 million, representing less than 0.3% of the R$ 89 billion total for the sector.
• The current design of Proagro creates moral hazard by concentrating risk in the Union while operations are handled by financial institutions, leading to excessive loss rates and fiscal pressure.
• The report warns that Resolution CMN 5.193/2024 created a loophole by increasing the limit for financing occupations in non-destined Public Forests Type B from 4 to 15 fiscal modules and removing the requirement for land regularization proof.
• Pasture recovery credit is currently inefficient because the Harvest Plan may simultaneously finance the purchase of cattle and the recovery of degraded pastures in the same property, potentially aggravating degradation.
• The Rural Insurance Premium Subsidy Program (PSR) faces severe budget instability, with 42% of its approximately R$ 1 billion budget blocked in 2025, causing insured areas to drop to levels seen 10-15 years ago.
• The 'fiscal module' used to define family farming is outdated by four decades, creating territorial inequalities where access to subsidized credit depends more on the municipality than on productive characteristics.
• The report recommends integrating the Rural Credit Operations System (Sicor) with environmental databases such as PRODES, SICAR, MapBiomas, and Ibama to ensure transparency and effective monitoring of public resources.

APA

Souza, P., Afflalo, L., Leal, A., & Zangiski, G. (2026). Recomendações para o Plano Safra 2026/2027. Climate Policy Initiative. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Recomendacoes-Plano-Safra-26-27.pdf

Chicago

Souza, Priscila, Lucas Afflalo, Alan Leal, and Gabriela Zangiski. Recomendações para o Plano Safra 2026/2027. Climate Policy Initiative, 2026. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Recomendacoes-Plano-Safra-26-27.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Souza |first1=Priscila |last2=Afflalo |first2=Lucas |last3=Leal |first3=Alan |last4=Zangiski |first4=Gabriela |title=Recomendações para o Plano Safra 2026/2027 |publisher=Climate Policy Initiative |date=May 2026 |url=https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Recomendacoes-Plano-Safra-26-27.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{souza2026recomendaes, author = {Souza, Priscila and Afflalo, Lucas and Leal, Alan and Zangiski, Gabriela}, title = {{Recomendações para o Plano Safra 2026/2027}}, institution = {Climate Policy Initiative}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Recomendacoes-Plano-Safra-26-27.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }