Recomendações para o Plano Safra 2026/2027

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI/PUC-Rio) provides 33 recommendations to reorient the Brazilian Harvest Plan (Plano Safra) 2026/2027 toward higher social, environmental, and productive returns. The authors argue that public resources should be prioritized for sustainable, low-carbon agriculture and the most vulnerable producers, while strengthening socio-environmental safeguards to prevent the financing of illegal deforestation and land grabbing.

• The report proposes that the Harvest Plan should reward environmental compliance by offering differentiated credit conditions for producers who adhere to environmental legislation and those with surplus Legal Reserves.
• CPI recommends restricting all rural credit for properties associated with illegal deforestation and calls for the immediate re-establishment of verification for native vegetation suppression after July 31, 2019, which was delayed by Resolution CMN 5.303/2026.
• The report identifies a critical gap in Resolution CMN 5.193/2024, which increased the exception for financing occupations in non-designated Public Forests (Type B) from 4 to 15 fiscal modules and removed the requirement for land regularization proof, potentially stimulating land grabbing (grilagem).
• Structural exclusion persists in the National Program for Strengthening Family Agriculture (Pronaf), where only 21% of family farming properties access credit. The report notes that 68% of Pronaf resources are concentrated in the South and Southeast regions.
• Gender and social disparities are evident in credit access: women receive only 23% of the total Pronaf credit volume, and their average contract value is less than half that of men (R$ 20,950). Indigenous, quilombola, and extractivist communities are also systematically excluded due to collective land titling and documentation barriers.
• The report argues that the 'fiscal module' (módulo fiscal), used to define family farming eligibility, is outdated by four decades and creates territorial inequalities, as it varies from 5 to 110 hectares across Brazilian municipalities.
• Technical assistance and rural extension (ATER) are severely underfunded; in the 2025/26 Family Farming Harvest Plan, ATER was allocated only R$ 240 million, representing less than 0.3% of the total R$ 89 billion announced for the sector.
• Regarding sustainable livestock, the report warns that the Harvest Plan currently finances both the recovery of degraded pastures and the purchase of cattle for properties with inadequate pasture quality, creating a contradictory cycle of degradation and recovery.
• The report calls for complete transparency in the Rural Credit Operations System (Sicor), demanding that all operations include the municipality, CAR identifier, and georeferencing of the property to ensure public accountability of resources.
• The Proagro program is criticized for creating 'moral hazard' by concentrating risk in the Union while operations are managed by financial institutions, leading to excessive loss rates and fiscal pressure.
• The Rural Insurance Premium Subsidy Program (PSR) faces severe budget instability; in 2025, R$ 445 million (42% of the budget) was blocked, causing insured areas to drop to levels seen 10-15 years ago.

APA

Souza, P., Afflalo, L., Leal, A., & Zangiski, G. (2026). Recomendações para o Plano Safra 2026/2027. Climate Policy Initiative. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Recomendacoes-Plano-Safra-26-27.pdf

Chicago

Souza, Priscila, Lucas Afflalo, Alan Leal, and Gabriela Zangiski. Recomendações para o Plano Safra 2026/2027. Climate Policy Initiative, 2026. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Recomendacoes-Plano-Safra-26-27.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Souza |first1=Priscila |last2=Afflalo |first2=Lucas |last3=Leal |first3=Alan |last4=Zangiski |first4=Gabriela |title=Recomendações para o Plano Safra 2026/2027 |publisher=Climate Policy Initiative |date=May 2026 |url=https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Recomendacoes-Plano-Safra-26-27.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{souza2026recomendaes, author = {Souza, Priscila and Afflalo, Lucas and Leal, Alan and Zangiski, Gabriela}, title = {{Recomendações para o Plano Safra 2026/2027}}, institution = {Climate Policy Initiative}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Recomendacoes-Plano-Safra-26-27.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }