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1,858 documents from Institute for Security Studies
The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040
This special report from the Institute for Security Studies examines the agricultural sector and climate change vulnerabilities in Tunisia, highlighting low crop yields, high food dependence, and the projected economic and environmental impacts of rising temperatures and sea levels through 2040 and 2050.
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Document type: Report
The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040
This report section analyzes Tunisia's demographic trends and their socio-economic implications up to 2040, highlighting a transition toward an ageing population and the failure to translate human capital into economic growth.
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Document type: Report
Illicit financial flows from migrant smuggling in West Africa: A policy review
This policy brief examines illicit financial flows (IFFs) resulting from migrant smuggling in Senegal and Sierra Leone. It highlights a systemic failure to employ 'follow the money' investigative techniques, noting that smuggling revenues are frequently laundered through cash-based informal systems and invested in formal sectors like real estate and hospitality. The document identifies significant institutional gaps, including underfunded Financial Intelligence Units (FIUs) and corruption within law enforcement and the judiciary, and provides recommendations for strengthening regulatory frameworks and regional cooperation.
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Document type: Policy brief
Peace & Security Council Report
The May 2023 Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the African Union's (AU) responses to crises in Sudan and Chad, the slow adoption of structural vulnerability assessments, the complexities of the AU-EU partnership, and the challenges facing the 'Silencing the Guns' initiative.
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Document type: Report
Chad two years later: little progress, plenty to worry about
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies evaluates the state of Chad's political transition two years after the death of President Idriss Déby Itno. The authors argue that while the transition aimed to restore constitutional order and civilian rule, progress has been minimal, with the process remaining dominated by transitional authorities and lacking genuine inclusiveness.
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Document type: Research paper
Understanding conflict between locals and migrants in SA
This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the drivers of conflict between local residents and foreign-born migrants in the Atteridgeville and Diepsloot townships of Gauteng, South Africa. The research concludes that tensions are primarily driven by socio-economic pressures—including high unemployment, poor service delivery, and competition for scarce resources—rather than innate xenophobia.
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Document type: Report
Risks of Burkina Faso’s new military approach to terrorism
This research paper analyzes the risks associated with Burkina Faso's decision to recruit 50,000 civilian auxiliaries into the Volunteers for the Defense of the Homeland (VDP) to combat violent extremists. It examines the military reorganization under President Ibrahim Traoré and warns that inadequate training, supervision, and lack of a demobilization plan could lead to increased ethnic violence and uncontrolled armed civilians.
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Document type: Research paper
Scaling violence prevention in South Africa
This policy brief examines the implementation and scaling of violence prevention interventions in South Africa, drawing on mapping projects by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) and the Western Cape Government (WCG). It identifies a tension between the need for evidence-based fidelity and the necessity of adapting programmes to local community contexts. The document highlights challenges in staff training, participant recruitment—particularly for fathers—and the lack of technical monitoring and evaluation (M&E) capacity within NGOs.
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Document type: Policy brief
Murder trends in South Africa’s deadliest provinces
This policy brief by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes provincial murder trends in South Africa from 2011/12 to 2022/23. It argues that national murder statistics are misleading because trends vary significantly by province, with a small number of populous provinces driving the overall increase in the national murder rate.
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Document type: Policy brief
Africa’s climate and development future
This policy brief argues that Africa must avoid high-carbon development pathways, which could see the continent's global emissions contribution rise to 30% by 2063 under Agenda 2063 scenarios. It highlights that climate-driven scarcity combined with poor governance can fuel instability, but suggests that Africa's 30% share of critical minerals for green tech offers a path toward sustainable industrialisation. The authors call for a common African position on climate investments and a reform of the global climate finance architecture to remove artificial boundaries between development and climate adaptation.
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Document type: Policy brief
Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: A scenario analysis to 2030 (July 2020)
This document describes the approach and methodology used for a special report titled "Impact of COVID-19 in Africa: A scenario analysis to 2030 (July 2020)". It outlines the use of the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform to model three scenarios against a pre-pandemic baseline, focusing on economic growth, poverty, and Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) targets through 2030.
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Document type: Report
The African Union and security sector reform partnerships
This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the African Union's (AU) role in supporting security sector reform (SSR) across its member states. It identifies critical gaps in coordination between the AU and other international partners, as well as internal resource constraints, and proposes strategies to enhance political buy-in, civil society engagement, and institutional alignment to ensure SSR processes are sustainable and reflect national priorities.
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Document type: Report
Women’s representation in Ethiopia’s political parties
This report examines women's representation in Ethiopian political parties through an intersectional lens, arguing that current policy and legal frameworks treat women as a homogeneous group. It highlights how factors such as education, age, ethnicity, and marital status intersect to either facilitate or obstruct women's entry into and progress within political parties, while noting that patriarchy remains a significant systemic barrier.
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Document type: Report
Peace & Security Council Report
The November 2022 Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies examines political instability in Tunisia, counter-terrorism strategies in the Sahel, and the security risks posed by acute food insecurity across Africa.
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Document type: Report
Niger: Women’s views on insecurity in the Tillabéri region
This report presents the findings of a consultative study involving 52 women in Niger's Tillabéri region to analyze the gender-specific impacts of a security crisis that has claimed over 2,495 lives in the region between January 2017 and July 2022. The study highlights how insecurity exacerbates gender-based violence, increases poverty through widowhood and economic disruption, and hinders access to essential health and education services.
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Document type: Report
Peace & Security Council Report
The October 2022 Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the resurgence of unconstitutional changes of government (UCGs) in Africa, the expansion of violent extremist groups in the Lake Chad Basin, and the asymmetrical progress between the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and the Free Movement Protocol. It also highlights the urgent need for educational investment in Chad to mitigate population growth and economic instability.
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Document type: Report
Peace & Security Council Report
The September 2022 Peace & Security Council Report examines political deadlock in Sudan, the African Union's (AU) 'Silencing the Guns' initiative, the impact of natural resource management in Mozambique, and the priorities of Ghana during its PSC chairship.
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Document type: Report
Free and fair? Angola’s uneven election playing field
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the electoral landscape in Angola ahead of the August 24, 2022, general elections. It argues that the political environment is highly uneven, favoring the ruling Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) through the control of state resources, media, and judicial institutions, while facing a revitalized opposition coalition.
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Document type: Report
Peace & Security Council Report
The July 2022 Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the complexities of Africa's regional economic communities (RECs), the partnership between the United Nations and the African Union (AU), the identity crisis of the African Standby Force (ASF), and the systemic challenges in eradicating extreme poverty across the continent.
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Document type: Report
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
This special report examines the factors influencing foreign direct investment (FDI) and remittances in Algeria, highlighting significant gaps in investment compared to other middle-income countries and the regulatory hurdles hindering growth.
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Document type: Report