Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040

This report section analyzes the health trajectory of Algeria leading up to 2040, highlighting a transition from communicable diseases to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and the challenges of an ageing population.

• Algeria has seen a significant reduction in infant mortality, falling from 106 per 1,000 live births in 1970 to an estimated 22 in 2020, with a further forecast drop to 17 by 2040.
• Despite progress, current policies are insufficient for Algeria to meet the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) target to end preventable deaths of newborns and children under five by 2030.
• Life expectancy at birth is estimated at 77.6 years and is projected to reach 80 by 2040, which is significantly higher than the figures for Africa, Lower-Middle Income Countries (OLMICs), and Upper-Middle Income Countries (UMICs).
• The health system faces increasing pressure from an ageing population requiring expensive care for non-communicable diseases (NCDs), a shortage of healthcare professionals, and social inequalities.
• Algeria's maternal mortality ratio is estimated at 129.7 per 100,000 live births, and the country is projected to reach the SDG target of fewer than 70 deaths per 100,000 live births around 2033.

APA

Cilliers, J., & Kwasi, S. (2023). Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=07-health

Chicago

Cilliers, Jakkie, and Stellah Kwasi. Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040. Institute for Security Studies, 2023. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=07-health.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |last2=Kwasi |first2=Stellah |title=Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040 |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=12 May 2023 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=07-health |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{cilliers2023stagnation, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie and Kwasi, Stellah}, title = {{Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2023}, month = may, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=07-health}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }