Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040

Algeria has seen significant improvements in infant mortality since 1970 and is projected to reach a life expectancy of 80 years by 2040. However, the health system faces pressure from an ageing population, a rise in non-communicable diseases (NCDs), and shortages of healthcare professionals. While maternal mortality is on track to meet SDG targets by 2033, the country is not expected to meet the 2030 SDG goal to end preventable deaths of newborns and children under five under current policies.

• Algeria's infant mortality rate has declined significantly from 106 per 1,000 live births in 1970 to an estimated 22 in 2020, with a further forecast drop to 17 deaths per 1,000 live births by 2040.
• Under current policies, Algeria is projected to fail in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) target to end preventable deaths of newborns and children under five by 2030, although it is expected to meet the maternal mortality SDG target of fewer than 70 deaths per 100,000 live births around 2033.
• Life expectancy at birth is estimated at 77.6 years and is projected to reach 80 by 2040, which is significantly higher than the figures for Africa, Lower-Middle Income Countries (OLMICs), and Upper-Middle Income Countries (UMICs).
• The Algerian health system is under pressure due to an ageing population requiring expensive care for non-communicable diseases (NCDs), a shortage of healthcare professionals, and social inequalities.
• Road traffic accidents resulted in an estimated 3,275 deaths in 2019, with these injuries being more common among males aged 15–39.

APA

Cilliers, J., & Kwasi, S. (2023). Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=07-health

Chicago

Cilliers, Jakkie, and Stellah Kwasi. Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040. Institute for Security Studies, 2023. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=07-health.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |last2=Kwasi |first2=Stellah |title=Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040 |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=12 May 2023 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=07-health |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{cilliers2023stagnation, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie and Kwasi, Stellah}, title = {{Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2023}, month = may, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/algeria&topic=07-health}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }