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This report by FSD Africa and McKinsey Sustainability presents a nature stress test for the banking systems of Ghana, Mauritius, Morocco, Rwanda, and Zambia. It evaluates how nature-related physical and transition risks impact real economy profits and subsequent credit losses for financial institutions across three scenarios: current policies, a disorderly transition, and an orderly transition aligned with the Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF). The findings highlight that while portfolio-level risks may appear moderate, they are heavily concentrated in priority sectors like agriculture and mining, where unweighted losses can be severe. The report argues that a coordinated, orderly transition can significantly mitigate these financial risks and provide macroeconomic benefits.

This executive summary, based on a report by Aeby et al. (2023), analyzes four decarbonization pathways for the gas sectors of Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Finland to achieve full decarbonization by 2050. The study evaluates scenarios including Business-as-Usual (BAU), Renewable Methane (REN-Methane), Renewable Hydrogen (REN-Hydrogen), and a Cost-Minimizing (CM) scenario, emphasizing the need for regional coordination to reduce dependence on Russian gas and meet EU sustainability goals.

This briefing by Zero Carbon Analytics, produced with Strategic Perspectives, proposes principles and frameworks for a just and equitable global phase-out of oil and gas production. It argues that current production trajectories are incompatible with the 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement and calls for leadership from the G7 and G20 to coordinate a managed decline of fossil fuels to avoid stranded assets and minimize social costs.

A briefing by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) discussing a collaboration with University College London that argues for a global norm against new fossil fuel projects to align with 1.5°C climate goals.

This conclusion to a special report on the Democratic Republic of Congo (RD Congo) identifies systemic barriers to development and proposes priority policy interventions in agriculture, industrialization, infrastructure, education, and health to achieve inclusive and sustainable growth.

This special report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a scenario-based economic and social forecast for the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) up to 2043. It compares a 'base trajectory' (current path) against various sectoral interventions and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario, analyzing impacts on GDP per capita, extreme poverty, the informal economy, life expectancy, inequality, carbon emissions, and energy production.

This report by Ember analyzes Singapore's path to a net-zero power sector by 2045, emphasizing that the city-state's limited land and renewable potential necessitate a heavy reliance on regional grid interconnections and renewable energy imports from neighboring countries to replace natural gas.

This report is a country study on Zambia, part of a broader series titled "From Climate Risk to Resilience" produced by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) for the African Climate Foundation (ACF). It outlines a framework for analyzing climate change impacts across four areas: climate profile projections, economic sector implications, existing government adaptation measures, and strategic recommendations for funding and resilience.

This report on Mozambique is part of the "From Climate Risk to Resilience" series commissioned by the African Climate Foundation and produced by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). It analyzes the economic and social impacts of climate change across four areas: climate profile changes and scenario modelling, implications for key economic sectors and macroeconomics, existing government adaptation measures and challenges, and strategic suggestions for funding mobilization.

A briefing by the NewClimate Institute reporting that global warming projections have not improved since 2021, with current government 2030 targets projected to lead to 2.5°C of warming by the end of the century.

This background note from the Institute for Security Studies projects that Africa, following its current development trajectory, will eventually become the primary global source of carbon emissions from fossil fuels, surpassing the emissions of the EU, USA, India, and China by 2061.

This research paper analyzes mitigation scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Sixth Assessment Report to evaluate the speed, trajectory, and feasibility of fossil fuel reduction pathways necessary to limit global warming to 2 °C or below.

A research paper by the Stockholm Environment Institute that develops a detailed road transport inventory for greenhouse gases and air pollutants in Kenya to analyze policy scenarios and project emissions from 2010 to 2050.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative and the Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro (CPI/PUC-Rio) examines how deforestation in the Amazon Rainforest triggers a 'domino effect' of degradation in distant areas by disrupting the water cycle and 'flying rivers'. Using a climate-forest model, the authors demonstrate that deforestation reduces rainfall downwind, leading to further tree death and potentially pushing the forest toward a tipping point and climate collapse.

This report outlines the projected outcomes of the 'Algerian Dream' scenario for Algeria by 2040, a simulation where holistic reforms in governance, economic diversification, and policy interventions lead to significant growth compared to a 'Current Path' projection.

This report analyzes the human and economic development prospects of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo) up to 2050. It contrasts a 'Current Path' scenario, characterized by persistent poverty, poor governance, and infrastructure deficits, with a 'comprehensive scenario' involving targeted interventions in governance, infrastructure, human capital, agriculture, and economic diversification.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Tunisia's development trajectory toward 2040. It examines the country's current economic stagnation, demographic shifts, and vulnerabilities to climate change, while proposing three alternative policy pathways—Going for Growth, Leapfrogging, and Sustainability & Equality—to unlock the nation's human capital and improve governance.

This report compares three potential development scenarios for Tunisia leading up to 2040—Going for Growth, Leapfrogging, and Sustainability & Equality—against a 'Current Path' baseline. It evaluates their impacts on GDP, poverty, inequality, food security, and carbon emissions, highlighting that while all scenarios improve economic outcomes, they present different trade-offs regarding environmental sustainability and food independence.

This briefing by Ember argues that the European Union's Fit-for-55 renewable energy target of 40% for 2030 is outdated due to the rapid acceleration of clean technology deployment. Based on industry forecasts for solar, heat pumps, and electric vehicles, the analysis suggests the EU is currently on course to reach a 45% renewable energy share by 2030, with the potential to reach 50% if policy and financial support are strengthened.

The Genesee-Finger Lakes Emissions Scenario report, produced by the Stockholm Environment Institute and the Climate Solutions Accelerator of the Genesee-Finger Lakes Region, outlines a project to assess the region's climate footprint and identify emission reduction pathways to guide a future Climate Action Strategy.