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The document outlines the challenges and opportunities facing Africa's development, emphasizing the need to balance energy access with a low-carbon transition and the potential of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA). It presents the 'Combined scenario' as a pathway to achieve the African Union's Agenda 2063 goals by 2043 through strategic investment and policy coherence.

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  • Africa faces a dual energy challenge: the need to expand electricity access for hundreds of millions of people while simultaneously transitioning to a low-carbon energy system.
  • The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is identified as an ambitious initiative that could unlock growth and opportunity if it is fully implemented.
  • The 'Combined scenario' serves as an integrated vision demonstrating how coordinated efforts across development sectors could transform Africa's path by 2043, marking the end of the third ten-year implementation plan of Agenda 2063.
  • Africa's development is constrained by several interlinked pressures, including mounting debt, volatile aid flows, geopolitical fragmentation, and connectivity gaps in digitalization.

Cite the original document

APA
Cilliers, J. (2026). AFRICA COMBINED SCENARIO. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=17-combined-agenda-2063&topic=01-introduction
Chicago
Cilliers, Jakkie. AFRICA COMBINED SCENARIO. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=17-combined-agenda-2063&topic=01-introduction.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |title=AFRICA COMBINED SCENARIO |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=29 March 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=17-combined-agenda-2063&topic=01-introduction |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{cilliers2026africa, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie}, title = {{AFRICA COMBINED SCENARIO}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = mar, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=17-combined-agenda-2063&topic=01-introduction}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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