AFRICA COMBINED SCENARIO
Summary
The document outlines the challenges and opportunities facing Africa's development, emphasizing the need to balance energy access with a low-carbon transition and the potential of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA). It presents the 'Combined scenario' as a pathway to achieve the African Union's Agenda 2063 goals by 2043 through strategic investment and policy coherence.
Key insights
- Africa faces a dual energy challenge: the need to expand electricity access for hundreds of millions of people while simultaneously transitioning to a low-carbon energy system.
- The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is identified as an ambitious initiative that could unlock growth and opportunity if it is fully implemented.
- The 'Combined scenario' serves as an integrated vision demonstrating how coordinated efforts across development sectors could transform Africa's path by 2043, marking the end of the third ten-year implementation plan of Agenda 2063.
- Africa's development is constrained by several interlinked pressures, including mounting debt, volatile aid flows, geopolitical fragmentation, and connectivity gaps in digitalization.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Cilliers, J. (2026). AFRICA COMBINED SCENARIO. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=17-combined-agenda-2063&topic=01-introduction
- Chicago
- Cilliers, Jakkie. AFRICA COMBINED SCENARIO. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=17-combined-agenda-2063&topic=01-introduction.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |title=AFRICA COMBINED SCENARIO |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=29 March 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=17-combined-agenda-2063&topic=01-introduction |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{cilliers2026africa, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie}, title = {{AFRICA COMBINED SCENARIO}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = mar, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/thematic/guide.pdf?thematic=17-combined-agenda-2063&topic=01-introduction}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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