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ISS African Futures
This report provides a detailed development forecast for Togo up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy transitions, and the potential impacts of targeted interventions in agriculture, education, and governance.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for Mauritius up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' baseline with various sectoral improvement scenarios. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, and carbon emissions, highlighting Mauritius's position as a high-income, stable island nation facing challenges such as an aging population, skilled labor shortages, and climate vulnerability.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
The document argues that reforming the UN Security Council is essential for the overall functionality and legitimacy of the United Nations. It highlights the failure of the current veto-wielding permanent members to prevent conflicts and advocates for a transition toward a Council based on electoral mechanisms and current global power and population dynamics to ensure its decisions carry greater force and legitimacy.
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Document type: Research paper
ISS African Futures
This research paper by Jakkie Cilliers for the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Africa's demographic transition, focusing on the 'demographic window of opportunity' defined by a worker-to-dependant ratio of 1.7:1. It details the varying timelines for different African regions to reach this threshold and the systemic requirements needed to convert population growth into economic dividends.
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Document type: Research paper
ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for Sierra Leone up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory based on existing policies with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy transition, and the potential impacts of targeted interventions in agriculture, education, and governance.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report forecasts the development of Guinea-Bissau through 2043. While the 'Current Path' predicts economic growth and urbanization, it also projects persistent poverty. Various sectoral scenarios suggest that improvements in agriculture, trade, and stability could significantly boost GDP per capita and reduce extreme poverty, culminating in a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario where GDP reaches US$16.4 billion and poverty drops to 14.9%.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) up to 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' trajectory—based on existing policies—against various sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario, analyzing impacts on GDP, poverty, demographics, and carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This document is the acknowledgment and introductory front matter for a special report titled "Development pathways for the DRC to 2050," authored by Dr Kouassi Yeboua and published by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) as part of the African Futures & Innovation (AFI) program.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a development forecast for Eswatini up to 2043. It outlines a 'Current Path' (CP) based on existing policies and evaluates 11 sectoral intervention scenarios, culminating in a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis focuses on demographics, economic growth, poverty reduction, health, and energy transition, highlighting Eswatini's high per capita income relative to its peers despite endemic poverty and a high HIV/AIDS burden.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides a development forecast for São Tomé and Príncipe up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, and energy transitions for the island nation.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for the Central African Republic (CAR) up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' (CP) baseline with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The report highlights CAR's status as one of the world's least developed countries, characterized by extreme poverty, low life expectancy, and high levels of violent conflict. While the CP predicts modest economic growth, the Combined Agenda 2063 scenario suggests that intersectoral policy pushes could significantly increase GDP per capita and drastically reduce extreme poverty.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the infrastructure investment gap in Africa, detailing the financial shortfalls, the role of continental frameworks like PIDA, and the challenges of mobilising both domestic and private capital to support sustainable growth.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report conclusion by the Institute for Security Studies evaluates the development trajectory of Algeria, identifying systemic barriers to prosperity and proposing a multi-sectoral policy framework to leverage the country's natural resources and human capital for sustainable growth.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides development forecasts for Cape Verde up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy production, and the potential impacts of improvements in stability, health, education, and trade.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report analyzes the state of education in Tunisia, highlighting a history of strong investment and high enrollment rates contrasted with current challenges in quality, curriculum relevance, and regional disparities. It projects educational attainment trends toward 2040 and identifies systemic bottlenecks in secondary and tertiary transitions.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This report provides a development forecast for Seychelles up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' scenario based on existing policies with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty, energy, and carbon emissions, highlighting the country's high-income status in Africa but persistent challenges with poverty and food security.
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Document type: Report
ISS African Futures
This document provides a concluding analysis and a set of policy recommendations for the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS), highlighting structural challenges in agriculture, energy, and manufacturing that may prevent the region from achieving sustainable development targets by 2043.
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Document type: Report
What America's demographic future means for Africa and Europe
This report analyzes how a potential shift toward absolute demographic decline in the United States, driven by falling net migration and negative natural population growth, could reshape the global balance of power and increase the strategic importance of Africa.
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Document type: Report
Controlling Small Arms Proliferation and Reversing Cultures of Violence in Africa and the Indian Ocean
This document is an introductory summary of a conference titled "Controlling small arms proliferation and reversing cultures of violence in Africa and the Indian Ocean," organized by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS), the Institut Français d’Afrique du Sud (IFAS), and the Université de La Réunion (ULR). The conference aimed to address the proliferation of illicit small arms and improve strategic interactions between anglophone, francophone, and lusophone participants.
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Document type: Report
The Mo Ibrahim Prize and its Implications for Africa`s Leadership and Democracy
This briefing discusses the implications of the Mo Ibrahim Foundation's decision not to award the Mo Ibrahim Prize for good governance in Africa for a specific year, examining the prize's criteria and its role in promoting democratisation on the continent.
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Document type: Briefing