Search Climate Insights Directory
124 results
Overwhelming Risk
The report examines the systemic failure of the U.S. coastal insurance market, specifically the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), which provides subsidized rates that encourage risky development and create massive taxpayer liability. It highlights how climate change—manifesting as sea level rise and stronger hurricanes—is exacerbating these risks, particularly along the East and Gulf Coasts. The author advocates for the full implementation of the Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012 and further measures, such as incorporating sea level rise projections into FEMA flood maps and providing targeted support for low-income homeowners.
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Document type: Report
Hoboken’s Post-Sandy Resilience
The document examines how Hoboken, New Jersey, has historically prioritized short-term economic development over flood risk science, leading to significant vulnerabilities. It details the devastating impacts of Superstorm Sandy and the subsequent implementation of the Hoboken Resiliency and Readiness Plan, which aligns local efforts with federal climate and rebuilding strategies to address sea level rise and extreme weather.
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Document type: Case study
Maryland’s Six Climate Change Audiences
The report segments Marylanders into six climate change audiences: Alarmed, Concerned, Cautious, Disengaged, Doubtful, and Dismissive. In spring 2013, 62% of residents fell into the Alarmed (23%) and Concerned (39%) categories. The study finds high polarization regarding local environmental changes and health risks, while identifying broad support for renewable energy and the protection of public water supplies. It details the demographic and behavioral profiles of each segment to inform state climate and energy policy communication.
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Document type: Report
Climate-related migration in Bangladesh
The document analyzes historical census data to demonstrate that areas prone to climate-related hazards in Bangladesh have significantly lower population growth rates, indicating higher out-migration. It projects that an additional 9.6 million people will migrate from affected upazilas by 2050. The authors argue that migration can be an effective adaptation strategy if supported by government interventions, such as employment skills training and sustainable urban planning to prevent migrants from settling in risk-prone city areas.
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Document type: Policy brief
The effects of adaptation and mitigation on coastal flood impacts during the 21st century: an application of the DIVA and IMAGE models
The study finds that while both mitigation and adaptation reduce coastal flood impacts, adaptation (specifically dike upgrades) is significantly more effective at reducing the number of people flooded and overall costs. However, mitigation remains critical for less-wealthy and small island countries where flood costs represent a higher percentage of national GDP.
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Document type: Research paper
Extreme Outcomes: Prospects for major tipping and socially contingent events and associated economic and social costs
The document assesses 'extreme outcomes'—near-catastrophic climate events and socially contingent responses—that are often underrepresented in economic assessments. It identifies key biogeophysical tipping elements, such as the melting of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets, and evaluates their potential to trigger severe economic losses and social instability. A high-end sea level rise scenario of 1.65m by the 2080s is estimated to cost approximately $1 trillion per year and displace millions. The brief also explores the nexus of climate change, state fragility, and forced migration, particularly in South Asia and Bangladesh, arguing that these 'wicked problems' require multiple lines of evidence and a shift toward building resilience rather than simple prediction.
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Document type: Policy brief
les enseignements du rapport SREX rédigé par le GIEC et des catastrophes en Afrique : Gestion des extrêmes climatiques
The document translates the global scientific findings of the IPCC SREX report into a regional context for Africa, emphasizing that disaster risk is increasing due to both climate change and socio-economic factors. It argues for an integrated approach that combines disaster risk management (DRM) with climate change adaptation (CCA) and sustainable development. Key regional findings include projected increases in heatwaves and droughts in Southern Africa and increased heavy precipitation in Eastern Africa. The report highlights the extreme vulnerability of coastal cities and the agricultural sector, while advocating for national legislative frameworks, early warning systems, and international financial mechanisms to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Report
Managing Climate Extremes and Disasters in Africa: Lessons from the SREX report
The document translates the global findings of the IPCC SREX report into an African context, emphasizing that disaster risk is increasing due to both climate extremes and rising human vulnerability and exposure. It details observed and projected temperature and precipitation trends across West, East, and Southern Africa, while arguing for the integration of disaster risk management (DRM) and climate change adaptation (CCA) into national development policies. The report highlights the particular vulnerability of the agricultural sector and coastal cities, and suggests a shift from incremental to transformational changes in governance and partnerships to build long-term resilience.
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Document type: Report
The ClimateCost Project. Final Report. Volume 1: Europe
The ClimateCost project estimates significant health risks for Europe under a medium-to-high emission (A1B) scenario, with heat-related mortality and coastal flooding causing the highest welfare costs. Heat-related deaths are projected to reach 127,000 per year by the 2080s, though this is reduced by acclimatisation and mitigation (E1 scenario). Salmonellosis cases and labour productivity losses are also expected to rise, particularly in Southern Europe. The report highlights that technical adaptation, such as sea dikes, can drastically reduce coastal flood fatalities, while other health adaptation measures remain under-researched.
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Document type: Briefing
Sea-Level Rise The Impacts and Economic Costs of Sea-Level Rise on Coastal Zones in the EU and the Costs and Benefits of Adaptation
The document uses the Dynamic Interactive Vulnerability Assessment (DIVA) Model to project that under a medium-to-high emissions scenario (A1B(I)), annual damage costs in the EU could reach €25 billion by the 2080s, with 250,000 people flooded annually. It argues that a combination of mitigation (to limit long-term rise) and adaptation (such as dikes and beach nourishment) is the most effective response, noting that adaptation can reduce annual damage costs by up to 90% with a high benefit-to-cost ratio.
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Document type: Policy brief
Confronting Climate Change in the U.S. Northeast
The report details how the U.S. Northeast is warming, with winter temperatures rising faster than summer ones, leading to reduced snowpack, rising sea levels, and shifting species habitats. It compares a higher-emissions scenario with a lower-emissions scenario, finding that while some warming is inevitable, aggressive emissions reductions can significantly mitigate severe risks to the region's economy, ecosystems, and public health.
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Document type: Report
Building capacity for risk management in a changing climate
The Raising Risk Awareness (RRA) project focused on applying extreme event attribution to understand the role of climate change in specific weather events in Ethiopia, India, and Kenya, while using the Surging Seas tool to assess coastal flooding risk in Bangladesh. The project sought to bridge the gap between science, communication, and policy to improve disaster risk management in developing countries.
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Document type: Report
The consultation process The adaptation and resilience plans
The document uses a fictional scenario in Krishna Nagar, a low-income coastal neighbourhood in India, to demonstrate the process of climate vulnerability assessment and the subsequent creation of resilience plans. It highlights the challenges of community consultation and proposes a multi-sectoral approach to adaptation, including the establishment of disaster risk reduction networks, the use of green infrastructure like mangroves, and the improvement of early warning systems through partnerships with technical universities and mobile operators.
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Document type: Guide
TURNING THE TIDE: How flood risk transparency can drive equitable outcomes in Canada
The report examines the intersection of flood risk transparency and social equity in Canada, arguing that current practices in mapping, disclosure, and pricing often disproportionately disadvantage marginalized communities. It highlights gaps in map availability for rural and remote areas, ambiguities in real estate disclosure, and the risk of 'bluelining' or 'degentrification' where equity-deserving groups are trapped in high-risk areas due to financial constraints. The authors recommend accelerating co-developed flood mapping, standardizing disclosure requirements for rentals and real estate, and implementing affordability assessments in the forthcoming national public flood insurance program to support just climate adaptation.
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Document type: Research paper
FloodVision: Visuals for coastal flooding events
FloodVision provides photorealistic, street-level visuals of projected coastal flooding to help the public understand storm surge risks. The tool uses stereoscopic video, LiDAR, and GPS data combined with generative AI to model flood depths above road level, aligning with National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecasts. Beyond immediate storm response, these visuals are intended for long-term resilience planning, such as securing funding and improving zoning decisions. The guide outlines a process for requesting curated visuals and establishes ethical guidelines to protect private property and ensure the tool supplements, rather than replaces, official government guidance.
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Document type: Guide
IMAGINANDO NUESTRO FUTURO
The report warns that under a 3°C warming scenario, approximately 800 million people (10% of the global population) would live on land below the projected high-tide line. It highlights that Asia is the most exposed region, with China, India, Vietnam, and Indonesia facing significant risks. The document argues that adhering to the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C target could reduce this exposure by approximately half, potentially saving many coastal megacities from abandonment or the need for unprecedented flood defenses.
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Document type: Report
Toxic Tides: Public report DRAFT
The report identifies 5,500 hazardous facilities along U.S. coasts at risk of 100-year coastal flooding by 2100 under a high-emissions scenario. It highlights a significant environmental justice gap, finding that poorer and marginalized communities are 15-41% more likely to live near these at-risk sites. The analysis emphasizes the danger of 'NaTech' disasters, where natural events trigger technological failures, leading to toxic contamination of floodwaters.
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Document type: Report
Hurricane Perceptions of Coastal Connecticut Residents
The report finds that most coastal Connecticut residents are ill-prepared for severe storms, often underestimating storm surge risks and lacking awareness of their specific evacuation zones. While many residents feel confident in their ability to stay safe, a significant portion would only evacuate if officially advised, and many cite financial or health barriers to doing so.
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Document type: Report
Microsoft Word - northeast.doc
Since 1970, the Northeast has seen an average temperature increase of 2°F, leading to longer growing seasons and reduced snowpack. Future high-emissions scenarios project further warming, significant reductions in winter snow seasons, and increased frequency of extreme heat and flooding. These changes threaten the dairy and fruit industries, particularly cranberries, and risk substantial damage to coastal infrastructure in cities like New York and Boston. Additionally, the region's $7.6 billion winter recreation industry and specific fisheries, such as cod and lobster, face disruption due to warming waters and reduced snow cover.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Nature-Based Solutions in Sub-Saharan Africa for Climate and Water Resilience
The document outlines a methodology for tracking nature-based solutions (NBS) investments in sub-Saharan Africa by scanning multilateral development bank portfolios. Between 2012 and 2021, the World Bank and African Development Bank led 85 NBS-related projects with combined total budgets of $12.1 billion, of which $4.5 billion was specifically for NBS components. The research identifies Ethiopia, Ghana, Malawi, Tanzania, Uganda, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo as the countries with the highest project counts and notes that NBS are being used to address urban flooding, coastal flooding, and water security while providing co-benefits for biodiversity and carbon sequestration.
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Document type: Report