IMAGINANDO NUESTRO FUTURO

The report warns that under a 3°C warming scenario, approximately 800 million people (10% of the global population) would live on land below the projected high-tide line. It highlights that Asia is the most exposed region, with China, India, Vietnam, and Indonesia facing significant risks. The document argues that adhering to the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C target could reduce this exposure by approximately half, potentially saving many coastal megacities from abandonment or the need for unprecedented flood defenses.

• Under a 3°C warming scenario, the high-tide line is projected to encroach upon land occupied by more than 800 million people, representing approximately 10% of the current global population.
• Asia faces the highest overall exposure; eight of the ten largest nations at risk are Asian, with at least 600 million people exposed under a 3°C scenario. China is particularly vulnerable, with 43 million people currently on land expected to be below high tide by the end of this century, and 200 million at long-term risk.
• Small island nations are at extreme risk; under 3°C of warming, over 90% of the current population in the Cocos Islands, Maldives, Marshall Islands, Kiribati, Cayman Islands, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and the Bahamas would live below the projected median multi-century high-tide line.
• Limiting global warming to 1.5°C through the Paris Agreement would significantly reduce risk, affecting 510 million people compared to the 810 million affected at 3°C.
• Current carbon emissions have already committed the planet to a global mean sea level rise of approximately 1.9 meters over the coming centuries, even if net global emissions cease after 2020.

APA

Climate Central (n.d.). IMAGINANDO NUESTRO FUTURO. https://assets.ctfassets.net/cxgxgstp8r5d/5RjeTjJD2Mye54fgvcbjm4/1acd547a84cbd661c1bef2ec3b83f91c/PoF_Spanish_Report.pdf

Chicago

Climate Central. IMAGINANDO NUESTRO FUTURO. n.d. https://assets.ctfassets.net/cxgxgstp8r5d/5RjeTjJD2Mye54fgvcbjm4/1acd547a84cbd661c1bef2ec3b83f91c/PoF_Spanish_Report.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Climate Central |title=IMAGINANDO NUESTRO FUTURO |url=https://assets.ctfassets.net/cxgxgstp8r5d/5RjeTjJD2Mye54fgvcbjm4/1acd547a84cbd661c1bef2ec3b83f91c/PoF_Spanish_Report.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{climatecentralndimaginando, author = {{Climate Central}}, title = {{IMAGINANDO NUESTRO FUTURO}}, institution = {Climate Central}, url = {https://assets.ctfassets.net/cxgxgstp8r5d/5RjeTjJD2Mye54fgvcbjm4/1acd547a84cbd661c1bef2ec3b83f91c/PoF_Spanish_Report.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }