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GAMBIA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
The Combined Agenda 2063 scenario for The Gambia projects a significant increase in GDP per capita to US$7,823 by 2043, nearly doubling the overall economy to US$18.5 billion. While the scenario predicts a drastic reduction in extreme poverty—leaving only 0.15% of the population below the poverty line—it also forecasts a rise in carbon emissions to 1.7 million tons, indicating a high cost of environmental degradation.
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Document type: Research paper
AGENDA 2063: THEMATIC FUTURES
The document outlines a projected shift in Africa's labour market from 2023 to 2043, where a 'Combined scenario' envisions a significant decrease in informal employment from 58% to 40%. This transition is expected to be driven by a resurgence in manufacturing, digital innovation, and targeted investments in infrastructure and skills, leading to improved social protection and government revenue.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Change is Disrupting Air Travel
The document details how climate change disrupts U.S. transportation systems through acute events like hurricanes and chronic stressors like sea level rise. It highlights significant projected costs for asphalt maintenance and railroad delays, the vulnerability of coastal highways and bridges, and the necessity of proactive adaptation, such as using heat-resistant materials and nature-based solutions, to mitigate economic losses.
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Document type: Policy brief
Wired for profit: Grid is the key to unlock ASEAN energy investment
The report argues that ASEAN's transmission grid expansion must roughly double to align with IEA pathways, as current national plans for Indonesia, Viet Nam, the Philippines, and Thailand cover only about 45% of the required expansion. It highlights that 30 GW of solar and wind potential is located along planned interconnection routes in countries like Indonesia, Malaysia, Cambodia, and Brunei. To support this transition, the report proposes a six-pillar framework for future-ready grid planning—including smart modernisation, strategic expansion, and market reforms—and suggests learning from the integrated power systems of Europe and Southern Africa to move from bilateral to multilateral power trade.
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Document type: Report
Renewable Energy Manufacturing: Opportunities for Southeast Asia
The report examines the potential for Southeast Asia to develop manufacturing capabilities in solar PV, batteries, and electric two-wheelers. It highlights the region's high vulnerability to climate change and the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 10% to 25% by 2030 to align with a 1.5°C pathway. The development of local low-carbon mobility and clean power manufacturing could generate USD 90 billion to USD 100 billion in revenues by 2030 and create 6 million jobs by 2050.
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Document type: Report
The Benefit and Urgency of Planned Offshore Transmission: Reducing the Costs of and Barriers to Achieving U.S. Clean Energy Goals
The report emphasizes that immediate proactive planning for long-term offshore wind transmission in the U.S. is necessary to avoid foreclosing effective grid development pathways and to realize significant economic and environmental benefits.
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Document type: Report
Clean growth and energy affordability in the 2023 Federal Budget
The Canadian Climate Institute identifies key priorities for the 2023 Federal Budget to ensure Canada remains competitive in the global race to net zero, specifically focusing on mobilizing investment, leveraging carbon pricing, and upgrading electricity systems to reduce costs for households and businesses.
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Document type: Briefing
The Green Pivot: Cyprus and the regional energy market
Cyprus currently relies heavily on fossil fuels and suffers from energy isolation and high electricity costs. The report proposes a 'green pivot' involving grid interconnectivity via projects like the EuroAsia Interconnector, the liberalisation of the electricity market through the 'Net Pool' model, and increased investment in solar power and energy storage. By comparing Cyprus to the successful Nordic model, the authors suggest that physical interconnectivity and market transparency could reduce CO2 emissions and lower annual electricity bills for the average consumer by approximately €200.
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Document type: Report
Eesti Vesiniku Teekaart
The report outlines a three-stage transition for Estonia to establish a green hydrogen economy by 2050. The first phase (2021-2025) focuses on pilot projects in transport and establishing a regulatory framework. The second phase (2025-2030) aims for scaling production to 300 MW+ and expanding FCEV use in public transport and heavy-duty vehicles. The final phase (2030-2050) envisions large-scale deployment with 5 GW+ of electrolyser capacity, full decarbonisation of the domestic truck fleet, and the establishment of a green chemical industry (ammonia and methanol), potentially reducing national greenhouse gas emissions by 12% by 2050.
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Document type: Report
Climate Jobs
The document reports that there were over 4.1 million climate jobs in the United States in 2020, despite an 8% overall decline due to the COVID-19 pandemic. It breaks down employment by sector, noting that energy efficiency supported the most jobs (2.1 million), followed by energy transmission, distribution, and storage (763,000), and renewable energy (504,600). The report highlights growth in specific areas like electric vehicles and wind energy, and emphasizes the emerging field of climate adaptation and resilience. It concludes that significant further job creation is possible through federal investment and policies targeting renewable energy targets and the plugging of orphaned oil and gas wells.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Too Hot to Work
The report finds that without action to reduce emissions, outdoor workers in the US will face a three- to fourfold increase in exposure to dangerous heat (heat index above 100°F) by midcentury, putting up to $55.4 billion in annual earnings at risk. It highlights that Black/African American and Hispanic/Latino workers are disproportionately represented in outdoor occupations and will bear a heavier burden of these losses. The authors argue that current voluntary heat guidelines are insufficient and call for the enactment of the Asunción Valdivia Heat Illness and Prevention Act of 2021 to establish mandatory, enforceable federal heat safety standards.
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Document type: Report
Bipartisan Support for Carbon Capture Jobs
The briefing outlines bipartisan efforts in the U.S. to enhance 45Q tax credits for carbon capture and storage. It details proposals from the American Jobs Plan and House Republicans to increase credit values and extend eligibility. A CATF analysis suggests that an $85 per tonne incentive, combined with direct pay, could lead 46 power plants to capture 71 million metric tons of CO2 annually by 2035, creating approximately 4,500 construction jobs and 4,900 operational jobs per year.
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Document type: Briefing
Seeds of Opportunity
The document argues that rural American communities can diversify their local economies by engaging with the renewable energy transition. It projects that new wind and solar capacity could generate $220 billion in lifetime value for rural areas by 2030, with annual revenues potentially exceeding $60 billion, comparable to the combined revenues of corn, soy, and beef production.
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Document type: Report
Impactos fiscales de la eliminación gradual de la producción de carbón en Colombia
The document analyzes the economic dependence of Colombia and its producing regions on coal, highlighting the vulnerability of public finances to declining international demand and the COVID-19 pandemic. It examines the General Royalty System (SGR) and projects that despite recent legal reforms to increase direct allocations to producing regions, the downward trend in coal production will lead to significant losses in royalty revenues for departments like Cesar and La Guajira by 2030.
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Document type: Policy brief
OFFSHORE WIND: A BOON TO CLIMATE GOALS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
The document argues that offshore wind is a critical resource for achieving zero-emissions targets due to plummeting costs and high capacity factors. It highlights the transition from fixed subsidies to competitive procurement in Europe as a model for cost reduction and notes that floating turbines could unlock 80 percent of global offshore potential. For the U.S., it recommends establishing procurement targets, creating an interstate transmission backbone, and converting tax credits to direct payments to accelerate deployment.
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Document type: Briefing
HOW FEDERAL DEPARTMENTS, AGENCIES, AND NATIONAL LABS CAN ENSURE PLUMMETING SOLAR, WIND, AND BATTERY COSTS ACCELERATE OUR CLEAN ENERGY FUTURE
The policy brief outlines a pathway for the United States to reach 90 percent zero carbon electricity by 2035, noting that this transition could support 530,000 annual energy sector jobs and reduce economy-wide emissions by 27 percent without increasing electricity bills. It warns that without policy intervention, zero carbon sources would only reach 53 percent by 2035. The authors propose a series of actions for federal entities, including the EPA requiring state decarbonization plans, the DOE expanding low-cost capital for domestic manufacturing, and the DOL creating a Just Transitions Office to support fossil fuel-dependent communities.
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Document type: Policy brief
Africa First!
The document argues that while Africa has seen improvements in health indicators, it is falling further behind the rest of the world in average income and economic productivity. It identifies a 'unproductive structure' of economies dominated by low-end services and a slow demographic transition as primary barriers. To ignite a 'growth revolution' by 2040, the author advocates for a 'bottom-up' approach prioritizing basic infrastructure, a reduction in birth rates to achieve a demographic dividend, and the revitalization of the manufacturing sector to support agriculture and high-value services.
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Document type: Policy brief
Estimating Employment Effects of the Circular Economy
The document examines the transition from a linear to a circular economy, highlighting its potential to create jobs and increase GDP. It synthesizes projections from various international bodies, noting that while Europe has extensive data suggesting net job gains in recycling and services, Canada's 'environmental and clean technology' sector employs approximately 274,000 people as of 2016, though its growth lags behind the broader economy.
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Document type: Briefing
Municipal Snapshot 02/2018
The Swartland Municipality faces significant water scarcity risks by 2040, driven by high population growth and the water-intensive grape industry. Projections indicate a potential water deficit of approximately 50 million m3 per year by 2040, which could cost the local economy R12.8 billion annually and result in the loss of 68,091 jobs.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Municipal Snapshot
The Bergrivier Municipality faces significant economic risks due to high water intensity in its key sectors, particularly agriculture. Projections indicate that changing climatic conditions and population growth will increase water requirements by 2040, potentially leading to a water deficit that could cost the local economy R3.1 billion and 16,229 jobs per annum.
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Document type: Fact sheet