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The report outlines a three-stage transition for Estonia to establish a green hydrogen economy by 2050. The first phase (2021-2025) focuses on pilot projects in transport and establishing a regulatory framework. The second phase (2025-2030) aims for scaling production to 300 MW+ and expanding FCEV use in public transport and heavy-duty vehicles. The final phase (2030-2050) envisions large-scale deployment with 5 GW+ of electrolyser capacity, full decarbonisation of the domestic truck fleet, and the establishment of a green chemical industry (ammonia and methanol), potentially reducing national greenhouse gas emissions by 12% by 2050.

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  • Estonia's current hydrogen capacity is marginal, with production limited to small amounts in Tartu and Narva primarily for research and development, and a lack of large-scale chemical industries or underground storage capabilities.
  • The roadmap is divided into three phases: immediate piloting (2021-2025), scaling (2025-2030), and wide-scale adoption (2030-2050). The first phase prioritises transport pilots and the creation of a legal framework for production, transport, and taxation.
  • By 2030, the scaling phase targets the installation of medium to large electrolysers (10-50+ MW) with a total capacity of 300 MW+, supported by over 1 TWh of renewable energy.
  • For the 2025-2030 period, specific transport targets include 9% of municipal refuse collection trucks using fuel cells, 4% of public service buses being FCEVs, and 50% of rail transport being decarbonised through a mix of electrification and fuel cells.
  • The long-term vision for 2050 includes installing 5 GW+ of electrolyser capacity and increasing dedicated renewable energy production to 16 TWh+.
  • By 2050, the roadmap envisions a significant shift in transport: up to 50% of cars being FCEVs (approx. 300,000 vehicles), 90% of PSO buses being FCEVs, and the full decarbonisation of the domestic truck fleet.
  • The roadmap proposes establishing a domestic green chemical industry by 2050, including small to medium factories for green ammonia (500-2000 tpd) and methanol (10-100 tpd), as well as expanded synthetic aviation fuel (SAF) production.
  • The adoption of green hydrogen is estimated to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by over 2.267 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent by 2050, with 93% of these reductions coming from the transport sector.
  • The transition is expected to create up to 34,000 new jobs by 2050 across the hydrogen value chain, including 18,000+ jobs in the local production of electrolysers and fuel cell modules after 2030.
  • Hydrogen costs in Estonia are projected to drop from 4.5-5.2 €/kg currently to approximately 1.9 €/kg by 2030, and further to 1.16 €/kg by 2050.

Cite the original document

APA
Aslam, A., Butt, T. E., Kirsimaa, K., Rehema, M., Suik, K., & Tammiste, L. (2021). Eesti Vesiniku Teekaart. Stockholm Environment Institute. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/vesiniku-teekaart.pdf
Chicago
Aslam, Adil, Tayyab Ehsan Butt, Kerli Kirsimaa, Merlin Rehema, Karina Suik, and Lauri Tammiste. Eesti Vesiniku Teekaart. Stockholm Environment Institute, 2021. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/vesiniku-teekaart.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Aslam |first1=Adil |last2=Butt |first2=Tayyab Ehsan |last3=Kirsimaa |first3=Kerli |last4=Rehema |first4=Merlin |last5=Suik |first5=Karina |last6=Tammiste |first6=Lauri |title=Eesti Vesiniku Teekaart |publisher=Stockholm Environment Institute |date=November 2021 |url=https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/vesiniku-teekaart.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{aslam2021eesti, author = {Aslam, Adil and Butt, Tayyab Ehsan and Kirsimaa, Kerli and Rehema, Merlin and Suik, Karina and Tammiste, Lauri}, title = {{Eesti Vesiniku Teekaart}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2021}, month = nov, url = {https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/vesiniku-teekaart.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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