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This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies explains the concept of the demographic dividend, focusing on the first dividend where the working-age population grows relative to dependants. It details the metrics used to identify this window of opportunity and compares the timing, peak ratios, and durations of this dividend across various global economies, with a specific focus on Africa and Nigeria.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines global 'wildcards' and megatrends—including great-power instability, generative AI, and the biosphere crisis—that could disrupt future scenarios for Africa and the world by 2043.

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the potential economic and social impacts on Africa by 2050 across four global scenarios: Sustainable World, Growth World, Divided World, and World at War. It identifies the success of integration efforts, such as the AfCFTA, as the primary driver of divergent outcomes, noting that the Sustainable World scenario offers the most significant gains in GDP per capita, poverty reduction, and human development, while the World at War scenario presents the worst outcomes.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Morocco's development trajectory toward 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' forecast with eight sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It highlights Morocco's transition toward higher-value manufacturing, its strategic geographic position, and critical challenges including water scarcity, energy import dependence, and regional territorial disputes.

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the Democratic Republic of the Congo's (DR Congo) socio-economic landscape, forecasting development trajectories to 2043. It evaluates a 'Current Path' (business as usual) against eight sectoral scenarios—including agriculture, manufacturing, and governance—and a 'Combined scenario' to identify pathways for inclusive growth and poverty reduction.

This report analyzes Kenya's current development and projects its trajectory to 2043 through eight sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It evaluates progress in demographics, health, education, infrastructure, agriculture, manufacturing, trade, and governance, highlighting the potential for significant GDP growth and poverty reduction if strategic policy interventions are implemented.

This report provides a comprehensive background on Kenya, detailing its political evolution from independence in 1963 to the 2010 constitution, its economic structure as a regional hub, and the strategic framework of Vision 2030 and its subsequent Medium Term Plans.

This introductory research paper provides a geographic, political, and environmental overview of Djibouti, detailing its strategic position as a maritime hub, its extreme climate vulnerability, and its administrative structure.

This conclusion from the Djibouti Development Futures report analyzes the country's economic trajectory toward 2043, contrasting a 'Current Path' of steady growth with a 'Combined scenario' of accelerated, multi-sectoral reform. It argues that Djibouti must shift from a capital-intensive, infrastructure-driven model to one focused on productivity, governance, and inclusion to meet its Vision Djibouti 2035 goals.

This introductory report provides a geographic, political, and demographic overview of the Kingdom of Morocco, detailing its territorial disputes, governance structure, and climate vulnerability.

This introductory research paper provides a geographic and political overview of Ghana, detailing its natural resources, administrative structure, and its transition from a history of military coups to a stable multiparty democracy under the Fourth Republic.

This report provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for Equatorial Guinea extending to 2043, based on the International Futures (IFs) platform. It details the country's trajectory across demographics, economics, poverty, and energy, highlighting a significant misalignment between high GDP per capita driven by oil wealth and poor human development indicators.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a set of policy recommendations for Madagascar to reverse a trajectory of political instability, chronic poverty, and economic crisis. It argues that while economic growth prospects are sound, structural constraints and vulnerabilities prevent the country from achieving inclusive growth and sustainable development.

This research paper conclusion evaluates Egypt's progress toward its 'Sustainable Development Strategy: Egypt Vision 2030' and provides a comprehensive set of policy recommendations across health, education, agriculture, manufacturing, infrastructure, and governance to address structural economic challenges.

Guinea is a lower-middle-income West African nation with vast mineral reserves, including the world's largest bauxite reserves and significant high-grade iron ore. The country has a history of political volatility, including multiple coups and periods of international sanctions, and is currently in a transition toward civilian governance. Geographically, it is well-positioned for hydroelectric power development due to its mountainous terrain and high rainfall.

This report provides conclusions and policy recommendations for Mozambique's development trajectory toward 2043. It argues that the 'Current Path' is non-viable due to governance and structural bottlenecks, and proposes an integrated development approach focusing on governance, agricultural productivity, economic diversification, human capital, and climate resilience.

This conclusion from the 'Ethiopia Development Futures' report identifies the systemic constraints hindering Ethiopia's sustainable growth and provides policy recommendations focused on governance, economic diversification, agricultural productivity, and education.

This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Eritrea, which integrates 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast economic and social development. The scenario projects significant increases in GDP and reductions in extreme poverty by 2043, driven primarily by free trade and leapfrogging, though it also forecasts a substantial increase in carbon emissions.

This introductory document provides a geographic, climatic, and political overview of Madagascar, detailing its vulnerability to extreme weather and its history of political instability and democratic transitions leading up to 2024.

This report provides policy recommendations for Gabon to transition from its current trajectory toward inclusive growth and sustainable development. It emphasizes the need for a successful democratic transition, economic diversification away from oil, and significant investments in human capital and infrastructure to realize the country's potential as an upper-middle-income nation.