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Peeling away a banana republic: lessons from Latin America
The document examines El Salvador's recovery from civil war and its efforts to modernize its economy through market reforms, education, and diversification. While the country has successfully reduced its dependence on agriculture and attracted high-tech investment, it continues to face challenges such as low economic growth, high crime, and debt. The author suggests that El Salvador's experience highlights the importance of political consensus, targeted foreign direct investment, and education in achieving sustainable development.
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Document type: Case study
Rethinking Investments in Natural Resources: China’s Emerging Role in the Mekong Region
The document analyzes China's strategic drive to secure natural resources in the Mekong region to support its rapid economic growth. It details the role of state-backed financing through entities like China Exim Bank and Sinosure in facilitating investments in mining, hydropower, and agriculture. The brief highlights a pattern of resource extraction where raw materials are exported to China while finished goods are sold back to the region. It also notes the environmental and social risks associated with these projects, such as deforestation and displacement, and the lack of adherence to international sustainability standards like the Equator Principles.
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Document type: Policy brief
Identifying resource productivity for five key economic sectors in the South West region
The study uses the Triple Bottom Line (BL3) software tool to analyze the environmental pressures of the Transport Equipment, Motor Vehicle, Hotels and Catering, Food and Drink, and Business Services sectors in South West England. It finds that for all five sectors, the largest source of CO2 emissions is associated with direct on-site operations. The Food and Drink sector has the highest overall emissions, while the Motor Vehicle sector is the most efficient per £ spent compared to UK averages. The report highlights that efficiency gains in industrial sectors could be outweighed by increased final demand for resources driven by regional growth and infrastructure projects.
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Document type: Research paper
Watering Scarcity
The report highlights that global water demand exceeds renewable supplies, with agriculture accounting for over 70% of withdrawals. It argues that increasing crop water productivity through mature technologies and improving policy incentives creates a significant opportunity for private capital investment, despite potential disruptions from the 2008 financial crisis.
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Document type: Report
TOWARD PRACTICAL GUIDANCE FOR ADAPTIVE POLICIES
The document outlines a four-year research project aimed at creating a pragmatic set of tools for adaptive policy-making, specifically focusing on sectors like agriculture and water resources management. It presents a preliminary framework for adaptive policies that distinguishes between mechanisms for adapting to anticipated conditions—such as integrated assessments and automatic adjustments—and those for unanticipated conditions, including the promotion of variation, subsidiarity, and self-organization. The project utilizes community-level case studies in Canada and India to identify policy mechanisms that facilitate short-term coping and long-term adaptation.
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Document type: Fact sheet
FLORIDA AND CLIMATE CHANGE
The report argues that the cost of inaction regarding climate change for Florida is immense, projecting annual costs of $345 billion by 2100 across four major categories: tourism, hurricane damages, residential real estate, and electricity. Under a 'business-as-usual' scenario, Florida faces a 10°F temperature increase and 45 inches of sea-level rise by 2100, which would inundate 9% of its land area and severely disrupt key industries like agriculture and fisheries. The authors contrast this with a 'rapid stabilization' case, where immediate global emissions reductions limit warming to 2°F and sea-level rise to 7 inches by 2100.
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Document type: Report
Confronting Climate Change in the U.S. Northeast
The report details how the U.S. Northeast is warming, with winter temperatures rising faster than summer ones, leading to reduced snowpack, rising sea levels, and shifting species habitats. It compares a higher-emissions scenario with a lower-emissions scenario, finding that while some warming is inevitable, aggressive emissions reductions can significantly mitigate severe risks to the region's economy, ecosystems, and public health.
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Document type: Report
Indicators of Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change for Agriculture in the Prairie Region of Canada
The research establishes a methodology to measure the adaptive capacity of 53 Census Divisions in the Canadian Prairies, organizing 20 indicators into six determinants: economic resources, technology, information/skills/management, infrastructure, institutions/networks, and equity. The analysis reveals that adaptive capacity is strongly correlated with proximity to major urban centres, with the highest capacity clustered around Winnipeg, Saskatoon, Regina, and Calgary, while the lowest capacity is found along the northern boundaries of the agricultural region. The study argues that while some low-capacity areas are currently north of historic drought zones, future climate projections suggest moisture deficits may extend into these vulnerable regions. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for interventions in remote rural areas, such as improving high-speed Internet access, promoting sustainable soil management, and ensuring fair commodity prices.
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Document type: Research paper
Policy Integration for Sustainability
The document examines the 'policy integration puzzle,' specifically why political intentions for environmental policy integration (EPI) often fail to translate into practice. Drawing on the 'Policy Integration for Sustainability' (PIntS) project, it analyses the Swedish energy and agriculture sectors, identifying a lack of strategic thinking and a gap between agency-level learning and ministerial-level decision-making. It proposes a 10-point action plan based on trust, ownership, capacity, and knowledge. Additionally, it provides an international perspective on OECD trends, noting a peak in EPI interest in the mid-1990s followed by a decline due to concerns over economic competitiveness. The report concludes that while 'easy wins' in pollution control have been achieved, systemic challenges like climate change require deeper 'double-loop learning' and stronger political leadership.
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Document type: Report
Our Changing Climate
The report warns that California faces significant risks from global warming, with projected temperature increases between 3°F and 10.5°F by the end of the century. These changes threaten to severely reduce Sierra Nevada snowpack, increase the frequency of large wildfires, degrade air quality, and disrupt the state's $30 billion agriculture industry. The document emphasizes that while some changes are unavoidable, the most severe consequences can be avoided by reducing heat-trapping emissions to levels that keep warming within the lower range of 3 to 5.5°F.
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Document type: Report
Nuestro Clima Cambiante
The report analyzes how varying levels of greenhouse gas emissions will lead to temperature increases in California, ranging from 3 to 10.5 °F by the end of the century. It details severe risks including a 70-90% reduction in Sierra Nevada snowpack, increased frequency of extreme heat and wildfires, and rising sea levels that threaten coastal infrastructure. The document emphasizes that while some changes are inevitable, the most severe outcomes can be avoided through aggressive emission reductions, aligned with California's executive goals to return to 1990 emission levels by 2020.
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Document type: Executive summary
The New Partnership for Africa’s Development
The paper examines NEPAD as a holistic development initiative for Africa, contrasting it with earlier plans like the Lagos Plan of Action and the Abuja Treaty. It highlights NEPAD's focus on globalisation, good governance via the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM), and its specific administrative structures. While the author notes progress in policy development and some specific projects, such as the West Africa Gas Pipeline and e-School Initiative, the report concludes that overall implementation is hindered by inadequate capacity in regional economic communities and a lack of sufficient funding from developed partners.
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Document type: Research paper
Designing policies in a world of uncertainty, change, and surprise
The report examines adaptive policy-making in the agriculture and water sectors of India and Canada. It proposes a conceptual framework distinguishing between adaptability to anticipated conditions (using 'no-regrets' policies and automatic triggers) and unanticipated conditions (using structured learning and complex adaptive systems principles). Through case studies—including weather-indexed insurance and price policies in India, and the Crow Rate and Conservation Districts in Canada—the authors argue that devolved decision-making and alignment with ecological boundaries (such as watersheds) enhance a policy's ability to respond to unforeseen changes.
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Document type: Report
A Nation in Turmoil
The report details the precarious environment for South African businesses in Zimbabwe, characterized by hyperinflation, erratic government policy, and a collapsing agricultural sector. While many South African firms maintain a presence by 'ringfencing' operations, they face critical shortages of foreign currency, fuel, and skilled labor. The document argues that the economic crisis is driven by the authoritarian policies of President Robert Mugabe and suggests that political reform and the restoration of the rule of law are prerequisites for economic recovery.
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Document type: Report
Success rate of Beijing's plans to alleviate poverty is unprecedented
The document highlights China's significant reduction in poverty from 500 million people in 1980 to under 90 million in 2000, driven by economic growth averaging over 8 percent annually since 1978. While growth is concentrated in eastern coastal cities, the government has implemented preferential policies and infrastructure projects in the west to address regional disparities. In Ningxia province, poverty levels dropped from approximately 70 percent in the early 1980s to about 30 percent through agricultural subsidies, urbanization, and infrastructure development.
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Document type: Research paper
ZIMBABWE: A Pre-election Overview and Recovery Scenarios
The document describes a Zimbabwean economy in collapse, characterized by a GDP drop of over 30% in three years, hyperinflation, and a breakdown of the agricultural sector due to land seizures. It details a political environment of repression and a skewed electoral process ahead of the 2005 polls. The report argues that recovery requires a return to the rule of law, macroeconomic restructuring, and a comprehensive resolution of the land issue, while noting that the removal of President Robert Mugabe is a necessary but not sufficient condition for stability.
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Document type: Report
Vulnerability Profile of Burkina Faso
The report identifies Burkina Faso as highly vulnerable to climatic shocks, epidemics, and environmental degradation, with 44.5% of the population living below the absolute poverty line. It highlights the critical role of agriculture, particularly cotton, and the risks associated with rainfall variability and drought. The document details the sensitivity of vulnerable groups—especially women, children, and nomadic pastoralists—and examines migration as a key coping strategy. It concludes that reducing vulnerability requires integrated environmental management, improved food security, and targeted support for marginalized populations.
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Document type: Report
Tread lightly around China trade treaties
The author argues that the South African government should proceed with caution regarding a free-trade area with China. While there are opportunities in agriculture and commodities, the author warns of potential economic dislocation in labour-intensive industries like textiles and footwear. The document also highlights a significant discrepancy between South African and Chinese trade data and questions whether a free-trade area is necessary given China's existing WTO commitments.
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Document type: Research paper
A Nordic Research Agenda On Environment and Trade
The document outlines a proposed Nordic research agenda on environment and trade, based on a survey of 315 publications from 2002 to 2003. It identifies a significant lack of research on specific Doha Round negotiating options, southern perspectives, and the environmental impacts of bilateral trade agreements. The proposed agenda emphasizes six key areas: Doha negotiations, developing country research, regional and bilateral developments, regulatory reform, WTO policy research, and 'bigger picture' issues like international investment agreements and commodity markets.
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Document type: Research paper
Towards A Southern Agenda on Investment
The document analyzes the investment regimes of Argentina, Brazil, South Africa, Malaysia, and Thailand, highlighting that bilateral investment treaties (BITs) are not always necessary to attract FDI. It identifies systemic challenges, including the 'disorder' of overlapping international obligations, the lack of data on FDI's impact on poverty and sustainable development, and the tension between investor-state arbitration and domestic policy goals like Black Economic Empowerment in South Africa.
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Document type: Executive summary