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Infographics: The Economic, Consumer Cost, and Pollution Impacts of Recent Federal Energy Policy Changes
The report uses Energy Policy Simulator modeling to analyze seven major federal policy shifts occurring between January 2025 and May 2026. The findings indicate that these changes will lead to increased energy costs, diminished public health outcomes, constraints on new power generation, and greater financial pressure on utilities and households through 2040.
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Document type: Report
Driving economic growth: How the UK’s climate targets unlock business action and investment
The UK has reduced emissions by 50.4% since 1990 while growing its economy by nearly 80%, with the net zero economy contributing £83.1 billion to GDP in 2024. However, the report identifies a 'policy implementation gap,' noting that as of June 2025, credible plans existed for only 38% of the reductions needed for the 2030 NDC. The document calls for a holistic approach to electrification, the creation of lead markets for green technologies, a national retrofit strategy for housing, and a comprehensive plan to close a green skills gap of up to 400,000 workers. It also emphasizes the need to align climate goals with nature recovery and to overcome political polarization by communicating the economic benefits of the transition to the public.
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Document type: Report
Heat pumps pay off: Unlocking lower-cost heating and cooling in Canada
The document details the technical framework of the HEAT™ model used to assess the economics of heat pump adoption in Canada. It specifies the building archetypes, equipment configurations, and future-shifted climate data for Vancouver, Edmonton, Toronto, Montréal, and Halifax. The report outlines the financial inputs, including energy price forecasts, carbon pricing based on the federal backstop, and a comprehensive list of federal, provincial, and municipal incentives available at the time of analysis.
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Document type: Report
Why the Biden Administration’s Shift on Gas Exports is a Big Deal
The Biden administration has announced a shift in how it determines if gas export projects are in the public interest, effectively halting the Calcasieu Pass 2 (CP2) project and at least 13 other pending facilities. Earthjustice asserts that this move prevents the lock-in of decades of fossil fuel use and protects low-income communities of color from further pollution. The briefing highlights that CP2 alone would produce emissions equivalent to over 47 new coal-fired power plants and 20 times the annual carbon emissions of the Willow drilling project. Additionally, the document argues that increasing gas exports raises domestic energy and heating prices for U.S. households and contradicts Europe's transition to clean energy, as European gas storage is nearly full.
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Document type: Briefing
Consequences of the Invasion of Ukraine for Migration from the Global South
The document argues that predictions of a dramatic wave of migration to Europe driven by food insecurity following the invasion of Ukraine are not supported by data from the first eight months of 2022. It explains that migration drivers are complex and that severe food insecurity can actually decrease the ability of the poorest people to migrate due to the high costs of travel. While the invasion has directly displaced foreign students in Ukraine and may indirectly shift migration patterns toward oil-rich economies in the Global South, it is unlikely to have significantly increased irregular migration to Europe or decreased global remittance flows.
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Document type: Policy brief
From purchasing power to the power to live with dignity
In Belgium, Green parties in government are addressing a social crisis driven by soaring electricity and gas prices through a three-pronged approach: emergency support for vulnerable households and companies, structural income protections, and investments in the energy transition. Key measures include a 'social rate' price cap for the lowest 20% of the population, a ban on energy disconnections, and the use of windfall taxes on energy companies to fund offshore wind developments and building renovations. The strategy aims to reduce dependence on Russian gas and achieve carbon neutrality while ensuring social justice and the 'power to live with dignity'.
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Document type: Research paper
Hooked on Hydrocarbons: The UK’s Risky Addiction to North Sea Oil and Gas
The report finds that new oil and gas developments in the North Sea could produce up to 984 megatonnes of CO2 equivalent, potentially causing the UK to exceed its 2023-2037 carbon budget by a factor of two. It argues that the development of the 21 largest undeveloped fields is incompatible with limiting warming to 1.5°C and that the government's Climate Compatibility Checkpoint system fails to account for all climate risks. Additionally, the report states that these developments would not lower energy prices for UK consumers.
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Document type: Report
The Anatomy of Kenya’s 2022 Election
The 2022 Kenyan election occurs amidst severe economic instability driven by global food, energy, and climate crises, with cooking oil prices rising 47% and millions requiring food aid. The contest primarily features Raila Odinga and William Ruto, with the winner facing the urgent need to stabilize fuel and food prices without increasing national debt. While the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission has seen few reforms since 2017, there are signs of a peaceful democratic transition and increased female candidacy.
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Document type: Research paper
4 Quick and Sustainable Solutions to High Gas Prices in the US
The author argues that a gas tax holiday is an ineffective, short-term response to high fuel prices and instead proposes four 'quick wins': discounting public transit fares, creating pre-tax sustainable transport savings accounts, improving electric vehicle incentives via point-of-sale rebates, and incentivizing remote work. These measures are intended to provide immediate financial relief while supporting the long-term 'Avoid-Shift-Improve' framework to reduce oil dependence through electrification, reduced trip distances, and improved shared mobility.
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Document type: Policy brief
Misinformation Alert: Fracking
The document identifies a misinformation trend where fracking is promoted as a solution for UK energy independence and price reduction, targeting right-leaning and working-class demographics. It provides a framework for organisations to understand the narratives, identify at-risk audiences, access factual counter-arguments, and develop effective communication strategies to combat these claims.
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Document type: Briefing
Targeting Agricultural Electricity Subsidies in Haryana
The report finds that agricultural electricity subsidies in Haryana are regressive, with the wealthiest farmers receiving a disproportionate share of benefits. It suggests transitioning to solar-powered irrigation via the PM-KUSUM scheme, introducing slab-based tariffs, and improving the identification of poor farmers through inter-agency coordination.
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Document type: Report
Getting to 23 Per Cent: Strategies to scale up renewables in Indonesia
The report assesses Indonesia's progress toward its goal of a 23 per cent renewable energy share in the national energy mix, noting that the country is currently off pace. It highlights that total renewable installed capacity was 9.4 GW at the end of 2018, failing to meet the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources' target of 15.5 GW for the second quarter of 2018. The document proposes solutions including increasing solar and biomass power, reducing coal reliance, and reforming energy pricing to align with Paris Agreement commitments and electrification goals.
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Document type: Report
THE DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY’S GRID RESILIENCE PRICING PROPOSAL: A COST ANALYSIS
The research note analyzes four implementation scenarios for the DOE's Grid Resilience Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NOPR), which would compensate coal and nuclear plants for costs not recovered in wholesale markets. The analysis finds that annual customer costs could range from $311 million to $10.6 billion, with a high concentration of benefits accruing to a small number of companies, particularly in the PJM region.
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Document type: Research paper
One Fuel, Two Prices: International experiences with dual pricing of fuel
The document argues that dual pricing of fuel is generally difficult to implement due to high levels of leakage, illegal diversion, and shortages. It highlights that fuels easy to adulterate or smuggle, such as diesel, gasoline, and kerosene, are the hardest to dual price. The briefing examines various delivery mechanisms, noting that 'one-brand' systems using electronic transfers are generally more robust than 'two-brand' systems. Case studies from India, the Philippines, and El Salvador illustrate these challenges and potential technological solutions, such as smart cards and mobile phone-based subsidy transfers.
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Document type: Briefing
International Experiences with LPG Subsidy Reform: Options for Indonesia
The document outlines strategies for Indonesia to reform its regressive LPG subsidies, which currently allow high-income households to capture a disproportionate share of benefits. It identifies four international pricing mechanisms—deregulated, automatic adjustment, pre-determined increases, and stabilization mechanisms—and argues that the ideal goal is market pricing achieved through gradual transitions. The report emphasizes that reforms must be paired with targeted social protections to ensure low-income households maintain access to clean cooking fuels. It details various international targeting models, including El Salvador's mobile-phone based vendor payments, India's Direct Benefits Transfer (DBTL) and voluntary 'Give it Up!' campaign, Peru's FISE voucher system, and Thailand's electricity-consumption based eligibility. Finally, it highlights the critical role of communication and the demonstrable effectiveness of alternative subsidy delivery systems in securing public approval for reform.
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Document type: Executive summary
Pengalaman Internasional dalam Reformasi Subsidi LPG: Pilihan bagi Indonesia
The report analyzes global LPG pricing mechanisms and subsidy reform strategies, highlighting the need for targeted assistance to protect vulnerable populations. It details specific case studies from El Salvador, India, Mexico, Peru, and Thailand, emphasizing that successful reform requires a combination of gradual price adjustments, effective targeting technologies, and comprehensive communication strategies to maintain public support.
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Document type: Executive summary
South Africa is bringing down the class average ‐ IMF Regional Economic Outlook for Sub‐Saharan Africa, October 2015
The IMF's October 2015 Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa describes a 'gloomy picture' for the region driven by falling commodity and oil prices, high energy costs, and a weak global financial environment. South Africa is highlighted as having the worst growth projection among its middle-income peers, with its economic performance hindered by critical electricity supply failures, poor export growth despite currency depreciation, and social unrest. The IMF recommends fiscal adjustments, currency depreciation, and long-term investments in productivity-enhancing infrastructure and education to counter these trends.
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Document type: Briefing
INDONESIA ENERGY SUBSIDY BRIEFING
The document reports that the Indonesian economy remained resilient following fuel subsidy reforms in late 2014, including a shift to a 'managed floating rate' pricing system. While these reforms improved Indonesia's credit outlook and shifted consumption toward non-subsidized fuels, the briefing warns that political intervention in pricing continues to cause financial losses for PT Pertamina and risks undermining the new system's stability.
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Document type: Briefing
Diesel Subsidy Reform in India: Lessons learned
The report analyzes India's transition from a system of 'under-recoveries' for diesel to formal price decontrol in October 2014. It details a gradualist approach involving an initial price hike in September 2012 followed by monthly incremental increases. This strategy successfully reduced diesel demand and stabilized external sector deficits, though it incurred political costs for the UPA government. The document highlights that while diesel reform was achieved, other fuels like kerosene remained subsidized, and the government retained the ability to intervene in pricing through state-owned oil marketing companies.
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Document type: Report
Energy Pricing, Energy Supply and FDI Competitiveness in Viet Nam: An assessment of foreign investor sentiment
The document examines how energy market conditions, specifically supply and pricing, influence the ability of Viet Nam to attract high-quality foreign direct investment (FDI) to support its economic development goals.
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Document type: Report