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The report examines 'the Alliance,' a coalition formed in April 2026 within the 'Com Network' that coordinates fragmented groups of nihilistic violence. The Alliance is characterized by an emphasis on offline violence, operational sophistication, and a shared goal of creating 'Chaos.' The author identifies several indicators of possible Russian state sponsorship, including financial incentives for violence, advanced technical infrastructure, and coordinated propaganda. While the broader Com remains an organic youth ecosystem, the Alliance represents a shift toward professionalized, potentially state-linked hybrid warfare using 'disposable agents' for arson and sabotage globally.

A coalition of organisations calls on the European Commission's DG AGRI to operationalise the EU Protein Plan through CAP national recommendations. The authors argue that reducing reliance on imported protein feed and fertilisers is essential for geopolitical security and climate resilience. They propose specific measures, including support for legume production, investment in processing infrastructure, and the promotion of agroecological farming systems to improve feed autonomy and circular nutrient management.

The briefing estimates that fossil fuels sold by Equinor in 2025 will cause between 34,000 and 58,000 additional deaths, while products sold since 2018 will result in 260,000 to 450,000 deaths. It contrasts these human costs with Norway's record fossil fuel export revenues, which reached 7,093,099 million NOK between January 2020 and July 2026. The document argues that the 'social cost of carbon' is significantly higher when including mortality, suggesting that Equinor's 2025 net operating income of $5 billion incurred a social cost of $66 billion.

The report argues that AI-enhanced ISR creates "precarious transparency," where sensing advances are unevenly distributed across different tasks and scenarios. While these tools improve the detection of static objects and peacetime verification, they remain fragile when applied to tracking mobile missiles or operating under wartime countermeasures. The authors conclude that these capabilities asymmetrically favor the United States, which may provoke China to expand its nuclear forces or employ counterspace capabilities more aggressively, thereby increasing the risk of instability.

The 2026 wildfire season has seen record-breaking burn areas, with roughly 579,000 square miles burned globally in the first four months. This trend is driven by a powerful El Niño, hydroclimate 'whiplash', and the expansion of fires into previously immune regions. These conditions have led to over 110 military deployments across 49 countries between January and July 2026, straining defense priorities and threatening critical infrastructure. The document analyzes different military response models—ranging from Spain's dedicated standing unit (UME) to Indonesia's integrated civilian-military approach—and recommends expanding collaborative models, investing in joint training, and building international interoperability to manage wildfires as a standing security challenge.

The author analyzes the shift from a period of 'climate cultural hegemony' following the 2015 Paris Agreement to a current phase of 'ecological backlash' driven by fossil capital and reactionary politics. To counter this, the text proposes a strategic shift where the energy transition is viewed not only as an ethical necessity but as a matter of national and continental sovereignty. Key recommendations include accelerating large-scale renewable projects, relocalizing the extraction of critical raw materials within Europe to reduce dependence on third countries like China, and diversifying strategic alliances through multilateralism.

The European Climate Neutrality Observatory (ECNO) reports that while the EU's transition to climate neutrality is accelerating overall, none of its 13 key building blocks are progressing at the required pace. Positive trends are noted in zero-emission vehicle registrations, heat pump sales, and poverty reduction in vulnerable regions. However, the report highlights critical failures in cleantech investment, financial flows, and nature-based carbon removal, while noting that some key policies, such as the 2035 zero emissions target for new cars and vans, have been weakened.

The paper outlines a comprehensive framework to prevent conflict-related sexual violence (CRSV) by integrating survivor-centric and trauma-informed approaches. It advocates for a multisectoral strategy that spans primary prevention (stopping occurrence), secondary prevention (preventing escalation), and tertiary prevention (addressing long-term harm and accountability). The author emphasizes the need for intersectional analysis, local community engagement, and the alignment of policies with the lived realities of survivors across diverse identities.

In the first five months of 2026, Türkiye's renewable electricity generation reached a record 87 TWh, accounting for 61% of total generation. This surge, driven largely by exceptionally high rainfall boosting hydropower, pushed wholesale electricity prices to historic lows, particularly in May 2026. Consequently, the gap between market prices and regulated residential tariffs narrowed, resulting in a $746 million reduction in government electricity subsidies compared to the previous year. The report argues that to sustain these low prices and mitigate the risk of drought-induced price spikes, Türkiye must streamline permitting for storage-integrated wind and solar, hybrid plants, and rooftop solar installations.

The report identifies several disruptive factors that could alter global trajectories, including the potential implosion of major powers like the US or China, the risks of generative AI, and the accelerating biosphere crisis. It highlights Africa's extreme vulnerability to climate change and warns that AI may exacerbate economic inequality and state surveillance. The text also notes a growing divide between the West and the Global South, driven by perceived self-centeredness during the COVID-19 pandemic and differing geopolitical responses to conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza.

The report warns that climate change is increasing the probability of simultaneous crop failures in major global breadbaskets, which could trigger food price spikes, social unrest, and geopolitical instability. Using France, Germany, and India as examples, it projects significant increases in crop failure risks by 2040 and highlights how extreme heat undermines both agricultural yields and the labor and infrastructure necessary for food security. For Europe, these failures could be exploited by Russia through hybrid warfare and disinformation, while destabilizing import-dependent NATO and EU partners. The authors recommend that NATO and the EU integrate food security into resilience frameworks, protect agricultural aid, coordinate trade responses to avoid export bans, and increase investment in climate-smart agricultural R&D.

The paper argues that the armed organization to which a person belongs is the most powerful predictor of whether they become a perpetrator of conflict-related sexual violence. Using datasets like SVAC and ACLED, it finds that while state forces have historically been more frequent perpetrators, there is a recent trend of increasing reports involving rebel groups. The author identifies key organizational risk factors, such as forced recruitment and child soldiering, which use sexual violence as a socialization tool for group cohesion. Conversely, restraint is linked to strong internal governance, such as electoral leader selection and ideological norms. The paper suggests that policy interventions should target organizational structures and use risk factors as early warning indicators rather than focusing solely on individual perpetrators.

The 17th edition of the Banking on Climate Chaos report finds that the world's largest banks committed $906 billion to fossil fuel companies in 2025, an 8% increase from 2024. Financing for fossil fuel expansion rose by over 27% to $508 billion. The report highlights a high concentration of finance, with a 'Dirty Dozen' of banks providing nearly 39% of global fossil deals. It also notes a trend of policy backsliding, where banks are weakening climate commitments and abandoning net-zero targets, particularly in the US. The report argues that this financing amplifies energy instability and inequality, especially during geopolitical crises like the 2026 US-Israel war on Iran.

European agriculture's heavy reliance on synthetic nitrogen fertiliser, produced primarily from natural gas, creates a direct link between energy price shocks and food costs. Analysis of 17 EU member states from 2019-2024 reveals that EUR 16.4 billion was spent on fertiliser that was never taken up by crops, with EUR 6.1 billion spent on the embedded natural gas for that wasted input. Environmental damage from synthetic nitrogen application during this period is estimated at EUR 233.7 billion, dominated by water pollution. The report argues that reducing synthetic nitrogen use by up to 43% through precision management and legume integration could save farmers up to EUR 5.08 billion annually and significantly reduce gas dependency. Modeling shows that the post-Ukraine invasion energy crisis pushed wheat prices up by approximately 22%, establishing a lasting structural link between energy and food prices.

Six climate and clean energy organizations are calling on Prime Minister Mark Carney to resolve the Alberta-federal Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) on energy and climate policies. The letter emphasizes that the failure to meet the April 1 deadline is stalling industrial investment and hindering Canada's transition to a low-carbon economy. The organizations identify three critical unresolved areas: the need for a minimum effective TIER credit price of $130 by 2030, the removal of barriers to wind and solar deployment to meet rising electricity demand, and the implementation of methane regulations that are equivalent to federal standards.

The report outlines seven key recommendations for ensuring a just transition away from fossil fuels, focusing on institutionalising social dialogue, enhancing transition modelling, implementing worker-centred planning, and pursuing sequenced economic diversification. It emphasises the need for collaborative governance, justice-oriented finance, and the integration of just transition principles into multilateral processes like the Belém Roadmap.

In 2025, global coal capacity grew by 3.5% while generation fell by 0.6%, as coal plants increasingly serve as 'system insurance' rather than primary power sources. This trend is most prominent in China and India, where record-high new capacity is being offset by the rapid expansion of wind and solar energy. While the number of countries proposing new coal plants decreased from 38 in 2024 to 32 in 2025, significant expansion continues in China and India, which together account for 95% of global coal capacity under construction. In the US and EU, energy security concerns and government interventions have delayed planned retirements of coal units.

In 2025, global coal capacity increased by 3.5% while production fell by 0.6%, as coal is increasingly used as 'system insurance' rather than a primary energy source. This trend is most prominent in China and India, where renewables are meeting new demand despite record coal plant commissioning. Globally, the number of countries proposing new coal plants dropped to 32. In Indonesia, coal expansion continues through 'captive' plants for nickel and aluminium industries, reaching 20 GW, while national energy plans (RUKN and RUPTL) are criticized for maintaining fossil fuel dependency and lacking a clear phase-out roadmap despite official net-zero commitments.

In 2025, global coal power capacity increased by 3.5% while generation fell by 0.6%, reflecting a trend where coal plants act as 'system insurance' rather than primary power sources. This gap is most prominent in China and India, where record-high completions coexist with falling generation due to rapid wind and solar expansion. While the number of countries proposing new coal projects decreased from 38 in 2024 to 32 in 2025, and Latin America reached a state of no new proposals, some regions like the US and EU delayed planned closures due to energy security and political intervention. South Korea has committed to a 2040 coal phase-out, contrasting with Japan's more gradual approach focused on ammonia co-firing and efficiency improvements.

In 2025, global coal capacity increased by 3.5% while generation fell by 0.6%, driven largely by record additions in China and India. These countries are building coal plants for system reliability and energy security, even as renewables displace coal's role in meeting demand. The report notes a geographic narrowing of coal expansion, with only 32 countries proposing or building new plants, and highlights the specific challenges facing Ukraine's energy recovery following Russian attacks on its infrastructure.