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¿Cómo puede la transición ecológica y justa derrotar al imperio fósil?
The author analyzes the shift from a period of 'climate cultural hegemony' following the 2015 Paris Agreement to a current phase of 'ecological backlash' driven by fossil capital and reactionary politics. To counter this, the text proposes a strategic shift where the energy transition is viewed not only as an ethical necessity but as a matter of national and continental sovereignty. Key recommendations include accelerating large-scale renewable projects, relocalizing the extraction of critical raw materials within Europe to reduce dependence on third countries like China, and diversifying strategic alliances through multilateralism.
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Document type: Research paper
Breaking the Deadlock: Why and How Voting Can Advance the Climate Negotiations Thirty Years On
The document examines how the reliance on consensus in the UNFCCC has led to a 'race to the bottom,' resulting in watered-down agreements on fossil fuels, science-based targets, and loss and damage. It proposes two procedural pathways for reform: adopting the long-delayed draft Rules of Procedure or amending the Convention itself. To support this, the author provides a comparative analysis of other UN institutions and multilateral environmental agreements—such as the Montreal Protocol and the Green Climate Fund—that successfully utilize voting to break deadlocks and advance substantive goals.
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Document type: Briefing
Finding new pathways
The author contends that while international cooperation is essential, traditional multilateralism is currently too slow to address the plastic pollution crisis. The text advocates for a treaty design that prioritizes effectiveness and economic compulsion over procedural purity, noting that 'System Transformation' could reduce annual plastic pollution by 83% by 2040. It calls for leadership from the new INC chair, Ambassador Julio Cordano of Chile, to secure a legally binding agreement or to develop alternative economic and political realities to end plastic pollution.
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Document type: Statement
Reimagining Realpolitik: Africa’s Diplomacy of Principle and Pragmatism at the UN
The document argues that African diplomacy at the UN is evolving into a distinct form of realpolitik that blends enduring values with strategic calculation. This approach is evidenced by voting patterns on conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine, where states use abstentions to maintain strategic autonomy. The brief highlights key institutional gains, such as the AU's permanent G20 seat and UN Security Council Resolution 2719 for financing AU-led peace operations, while noting that challenges in coordination, capacity, and consistency persist. Ultimately, it posits that Africa uses moral and legal narratives not to cloak domination, but to resist it and negotiate influence within an asymmetrical international system.
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Document type: Policy brief
Aligning AU-EU interests to reshape global governance on peace and security
The document argues that the multilateral system, particularly the UN Security Council, is experiencing a 'rupture' characterized by paralysis and legitimacy deficits. While the AU seeks immediate structural changes—including permanent seats and veto power—the EU generally favors gradual procedural reforms. Despite these differences, the briefing identifies key areas of convergence: improving UNSC working methods, strengthening EU-AU-UN cooperation, and implementing UN Resolution 2719 to provide predictable financing for AU-led peace operations. It suggests that both continents must move beyond rhetorical alignment toward tangible delivery to maintain influence in a fragmented geopolitical order, especially given the US's increasing disengagement from international organizations.
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Document type: Briefing
Strengthening Global South Coordination on Debt Justice and the UN Framework Convention on Sovereign Debt
The Global South Debt Strategy and Civil Society FfD4 Coordination meetings in Manila focused on strengthening collective advocacy for a UN Framework Convention on Sovereign Debt and the cancellation of unsustainable and illegitimate debt. Participants identified Paragraph 50(f) of the FfD4 Outcome Document as a strategic window to address structural gaps in the international debt architecture over the next two years. Agreed strategies include intensifying grassroots mobilization targeting Ministries of Finance and Parliaments, and building cross-movement alliances linking debt advocacy with climate, tax, and trade union justice. The coordination mechanism will target global spaces such as the UN General Assembly, COP31, and IMF/WB Annual Meetings to position debt justice within a geopolitical context of war and aid retrenchment, with AFRODAD leading the African framing on debt cancellation.
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Document type: News article
Backlash and Progress in a New Geopolitical Reality: Women, Peace and Security and the Ambiguous Role of the UN Security Council
The document analyzes the evolution of the Women, Peace and Security (WPS) agenda in the UN Security Council, noting a shift from consensus-based norm expansion to a period of 'backlash' and 'pushback' since 2019. It identifies specific threats to norms regarding sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR) and women's civil society participation, often driven by actors like Russia, China, and the US (under the Trump administration). Despite these challenges, the authors highlight the role of elected members (E10) in maintaining progress through 'shared commitments' and the integration of WPS language into day-to-day Council decisions. The paper argues that while the Council's overall legitimacy is declining due to stalemates over conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, it remains a critical arena for defending women's rights against global authoritarian trends.
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Document type: Research paper
The Paris Agreement at 10: A Celebration and a Call to Action
Ten years after its 2015 adoption, the Paris Agreement has shifted the projected global warming trajectory from 4.8 degrees C to between 2.3 and 2.9 degrees C, though it remains off track for the 1.5 degrees C goal. While clean technology growth has exceeded expectations—with electric vehicles now comprising a fifth of auto sales and solar and wind electricity generation tripling—current nationally determined contributions (NDCs) would deliver less than 14% of the emissions reductions needed by 2035. The author argues that the next decade requires a total economic transformation, a more aggressive approach to phasing out fossil fuels, and a remodeled multilateral process where COP decisions are not subject to a veto by a few nations. Key priorities include supporting the green transitions of large middle-income countries, which account for 60% of global emissions, and integrating climate commitments into national economic policies.
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Document type: Statement
Declaración de la Cumbre de los pueblos hacia la COP30
The People's Summit declaration argues that the capitalist mode of production and transnational corporations are the root causes of the climate crisis and environmental racism. It rejects market-based 'false solutions' and the current multilateral system, calling instead for the recognition of ancestral knowledge, the protection of indigenous territories, and a sovereign, popular energy transition. The document demands the end of fossil fuel extraction, the redistribution of wealth from the global north to the south as socio-environmental debt, and the implementation of agroecology and feminist care work as central to planetary survival.
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Document type: Statement
Beyond promises: the AU-EU summit must strengthen multilateral peace and security
The document analyzes the convergence of African and European interests in reforming a strained multilateral system, specifically focusing on the upcoming AU-EU summit in Luanda. It highlights the shared need for a more representative global order and the urgent need to operationalize UN Security Council Resolution 2719 to provide predictable funding for AU peace operations.
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Document type: Research paper
We must rewrite the rule of the climate talks
The authors argue that the UN climate process is outdated and allows powerful countries and polluting industries to block ambition. They propose four key reforms: implementing majority voting when consensus fails, enforcing strict conflict-of-interest rules to exclude fossil fuel lobbyists, establishing meaningful accountability and compliance mechanisms for state commitments, and guaranteeing human rights and transparency in negotiations.
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Document type: Statement
Breaking the Deadlock: Why and How Voting Can Advance the Climate Negotiations 30 Years On
The report examines how the UNFCCC's reliance on consensus has led to a 'race to the bottom,' where a small number of countries can veto critical decisions on fossil fuels, 1.5°C targets, and loss and damage. By comparing the UNFCCC to other UN bodies and multilateral environmental agreements—such as the UN General Assembly and the Montreal Protocol—the author demonstrates that voting mechanisms can actually enhance multilateralism by brokering consensus and exposing blockers. The document proposes two primary procedural pathways for reform: adopting the long-bracketed draft rules of procedure or amending the Convention and Paris Agreement via a three-fourths majority vote.
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Document type: Report
La reforma hacia la implementación del régimen de gobernanza de las Naciones Unidas sobre el cambio climático
The document argues that the UN climate regime, comprising the UNFCCC, Kyoto Protocol, and Paris Agreement, is currently hindered by procedural complexity, fragmented institutional structures, and a lack of accountability. It highlights that 87% of recent decisions are merely procedural and recommends a systemic overhaul, including the formal closure of the Kyoto Protocol, the adoption of majority voting to replace consensus, and a shift toward a more active implementation role for the UNFCCC Secretariat. The authors emphasize the need for a new climate finance goal of at least $300 billion annually by 2035 and the integration of ethical considerations and structural causes of the climate crisis into future governance.
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Document type: Policy brief
End of a Cycle: South Africa’s G20 Presidency and the Future of Global Cooperation
South Africa's 2025 G20 presidency marks the end of the group's first cycle, occurring amidst a global shift away from multilateralism and consensus. South Africa has focused its presidency on "solidarity, equality, and sustainability," prioritizing disaster resilience, debt sustainability for low-income countries, finance for a just energy transition, and the sustainable use of critical minerals. However, these goals face significant opposition from the second Trump administration, which has rejected the Paris Agreement, the Sustainable Development Goals, and priorities related to climate change and DEI. The document argues that the G20 must evolve its modus operandi to remain relevant in a divided world and ensure that developmental commitments for the Global South are maintained beyond 2026.
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Document type: Research paper
Life After Expansion: The BRICS Quest for Institutional Coherence
The document analyzes the institutional strain on BRICS caused by its expansion, noting that while the bloc's global influence has grown, its consensus-based governance struggles with divergent member interests. It evaluates Brazil's 2025 presidency, which attempted to prioritize institutional development but saw most structural reforms deferred in the Rio Declaration. The authors contrast the informal nature of the broader bloc with the formal success of the New Development Bank (NDB) and propose six targeted, low-bureaucracy improvements—including a shared document repository and standardized onboarding—to improve operational effectiveness without sacrificing the group's flexible identity.
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Document type: Policy brief
International Climate Policy as a Strategic Lever for German Foreign Policy
The document outlines five strategic priorities for Germany to integrate climate policy into its foreign and security strategy: deepening partnerships with the Global South, strengthening multilateralism, securing sustainable supply chains for raw materials and hydrogen, promoting green technology exports, and addressing climate-driven security risks.
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Document type: Policy brief
Symbolism to Transformation: An Analytical Stocktake of the African Union’s G20 Membership
The African Union's admission as a permanent member of the G20 in September 2023 represents a shift in global economic governance, increasing the G20's global population representation from 65% to 80%. Historically, the G20 has been viewed as favoring advanced economies, with initiatives like the 2017 Compact with Africa (CWA) and the 2021 debt service suspension initiative (DSSI) criticized for serving the interests of wealthier nations or creditors. The AU's debut at the November 2024 Rio de Janeiro summit focused on priorities including financial system reform, food security, and climate resilience. However, the document warns that rising nationalism, specifically the 'America First' agenda of the Trump administration, poses a threat to the multilateralism necessary for the AU's effectiveness. To move beyond symbolism, the paper argues the AU must leverage the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) to increase aggregate purchasing power—projected to reach USD 1.8 trillion by 2035—and emulate the European Union's model of policy harmonization to attract global investment.
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Document type: Research paper
DDR provisions in peace agreements: Global trends, 1975–2021
The document analyzes the prevalence and composition of DDR provisions in 289 peace agreements between 1975 and 2021. It finds that while DDR components are increasingly common, they are rarely implemented as a complete package, with disarmament being the most frequent provision. The brief highlights the critical role of third-party actors, particularly the UN, in supporting comprehensive DDR efforts, and notes a severe lack of explicit provisions for women and child ex-combatants despite international norms.
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Document type: Policy brief
World Resources Institute Addresses Recent Trump Administration Actions
The World Resources Institute warns that the Trump administration's retreat from climate action and multilateralism—including withdrawing from the Paris Agreement and freezing foreign assistance—will undermine U.S. security, prosperity, and global stability. The organization highlights that the U.S. provides over 10% of global climate finance and cautions that halting this support will make it harder to reach the $1.3 trillion target needed by developing countries by 2035.
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Document type: Statement
Repositioning Africa in a rapidly changing global order
The report argues that Africa remains hindered by colonial legacies, financial dependency, and weak institutional leadership. It highlights critical crises in food security, youth unemployment, and rising conflict, while critiquing the AU's leadership selection process and its focus on reparations over immediate structural reforms. The document recommends a more proactive AU Commission, a reformed Peace and Security Architecture, and a unified foreign policy to transition Africa from a passive observer to a powerful global actor.
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Document type: Report