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The report 'Boom & Bust Coal 2026' analyzes the global state of coal-fired power plants in 2025, highlighting a paradox where global capacity is increasing while actual electricity production from coal is declining. It focuses heavily on the roles of China and India as the primary drivers of new capacity, the shift of coal to a 'system insurance' role, and a detailed critique of Indonesia's regulatory contradictions and the rise of captive coal plants for mineral processing.

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  • In 2025, there was a widening gap between the growth of coal power plant capacity and actual electricity production. Global coal capacity increased by 3.5%, while electricity production from coal fell by 0.6%.
  • China and India are the primary drivers of global coal expansion, with only about 5% of global coal plant construction occurring outside these two countries in 2025. China saw a record 161.7 GW of new and reactivated projects, while India had 27.9 GW of new and reactivated proposals in 2025.
  • The number of countries proposing or building new coal plants continued to decline, dropping from 75 in 2014 to 38 in 2024 and 32 in 2025. Latin America reached a 'No New Coal' status in 2025, and South Korea committed to a coal phase-out by 2040.
  • In Indonesia, 2025 was dominated by 'captive' coal plants, particularly those supporting the nickel and aluminium industries, with operating captive capacity reaching 20 GW. Approximately 17 GW of this capacity is linked to nickel and aluminium, primarily in Central Sulawesi and North Maluku.
  • Indonesia's energy transition is hindered by regulatory contradictions. While the government has announced a Net Zero Emissions target for 2060 and a goal to close all coal plants by 2040, the 2025 National Energy Policy (PP KEN) continues to support fossil fuels until at least 2060 and reduced the renewable energy mix target from 23% to 17-19%.
  • The 2025-2034 RUPTL in Indonesia maintains a dependence on coal by including 6.4 GW of short-term on-grid coal investment and 3.1 GW of long-term capacity. It also introduces 'hybrid' schemes, such as Kalselteng-4 Hybrid and Sumatera Hybrid, which are viewed as ways to extend coal dominance.
  • The early retirement of the Cirebon-1 coal plant was cancelled in early 2026. The government cited the plant's technical lifespan and use of supercritical boiler technology, while other observers pointed to the rigid 'take-or-pay' nature of the power purchase agreement (PPA).
  • A November 2025 report found that pollution from the 20 most toxic coal plants in Indonesia could contribute to 156,000 premature deaths between 2026 and the end of their operations, with total health and economic costs estimated at US$ 109 billion.

Cite the original document

APA
Global Energy Monitor (2026). Melacak Jalur Pembangkit Listrik Batu Bara Global. https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Indonesian%20layout.pdf
Chicago
Global Energy Monitor. Melacak Jalur Pembangkit Listrik Batu Bara Global. 2026. https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Indonesian%20layout.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Global Energy Monitor |title=Melacak Jalur Pembangkit Listrik Batu Bara Global |date=May 2026 |url=https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Indonesian%20layout.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{globalenergymonitor2026melacak, author = {{Global Energy Monitor}}, title = {{Melacak Jalur Pembangkit Listrik Batu Bara Global}}, institution = {Global Energy Monitor}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Indonesian%20layout.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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