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In 2025, global coal capacity increased by 3.5% while production fell by 0.6%, as coal is increasingly used as 'system insurance' rather than a primary energy source. This trend is most prominent in China and India, where renewables are meeting new demand despite record coal plant commissioning. Globally, the number of countries proposing new coal plants dropped to 32. In Indonesia, coal expansion continues through 'captive' plants for nickel and aluminium industries, reaching 20 GW, while national energy plans (RUKN and RUPTL) are criticized for maintaining fossil fuel dependency and lacking a clear phase-out roadmap despite official net-zero commitments.

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  • In 2025, there was a widening divergence between the growth of global coal capacity and actual electricity generation; while capacity rose by 3.5%, production decreased by 0.6%.
  • China and India are the primary drivers of new coal capacity, using it as 'system insurance' for reliability while wind and solar meet most new demand. China saw record new or reactivated capacity of 161.7 GW in 2025, with over 500 GW total in development.
  • The number of countries pursuing new coal power plants is declining, falling from 75 in 2014 to 32 in 2025. Latin America reached a 'No New Coal' status in 2025, and South Korea committed to a coal phase-out by 2040.
  • Indonesia's coal expansion is dominated by 'captive' power plants for the nickel and aluminium industries, which reached 20 GW in 2025, with 17 GW specifically linked to these minerals in Central Sulawesi and North Maluku.
  • Indonesian energy planning exhibits significant contradictions: while the government has announced a 2060 Net Zero target and a 2040 coal closure goal, the RUPTL 2025-2034 still plans 6.4 GW of short-term on-grid coal investment and 3.1 GW of long-term capacity.
  • The planned early retirement of the Cirebon-1 power plant was cancelled in early 2026 due to its technical lifespan and the fiscal rigidity of 'take-or-pay' power purchase agreements (PPA).
  • Pollution from the 20 most toxic coal plants in Indonesia is projected to cause approximately 156,000 premature deaths between 2026 and the end of their operations, with economic and health costs estimated at US$ 109 billion.

Cite the original document

APA
Global Energy Monitor (2026). Melacak Jalur Pembangkit Listrik Batu Bara Global. https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Indonesian%20layout.pdf
Chicago
Global Energy Monitor. Melacak Jalur Pembangkit Listrik Batu Bara Global. 2026. https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Indonesian%20layout.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Global Energy Monitor |title=Melacak Jalur Pembangkit Listrik Batu Bara Global |date=May 2026 |url=https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Indonesian%20layout.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{globalenergymonitor2026melacak, author = {{Global Energy Monitor}}, title = {{Melacak Jalur Pembangkit Listrik Batu Bara Global}}, institution = {Global Energy Monitor}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-05/Boom%20and%20Bust%202026_Indonesian%20layout.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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