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This report concludes a modeling exercise of Uganda's development trajectories toward 2040, stating that the country will not reach middle-income status by 2040 on its current path. It outlines a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' that could see GDP per capita reach US$9,568 by 2045 and a significant reduction in extreme poverty, provided specific sectoral interventions in education, infrastructure, agriculture, and governance are implemented.

This research paper outlines a 'Governance scenario' for Africa, modeling the potential socio-economic impacts of improvements in stability, government capacity, and inclusion by 2043. It specifically examines how digital technology can enable direct cash transfer programs to replace inefficient subsidies and forecasts significant gains in GDP and poverty reduction across the continent.

This report analyzes Djibouti's development trajectory through 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' baseline against various sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined' reform pathway. While the country is projected to grow steadily, the report finds that its current capital-intensive, corridor-based model is insufficient to meet the goals of Vision 2035. The analysis identifies governance, financial flows, and regional integration as the most impactful drivers for achieving a more inclusive, diversified, and sustainable economy.

This report provides conclusions and policy recommendations for Mauritania's economic development, highlighting that while macroeconomic indicators are trending upwards, growth remains heavily dependent on the extractive sector and is hindered by poor infrastructure, governance issues, and climate risks. The author argues for a holistic development strategy focusing on climate resilience, governance, human capital, and economic diversification to achieve sustainable and inclusive growth.

This research paper concludes a study on the development futures of Comoros, comparing a 'Current Path' projection with a 'Combined scenario' of sectoral interventions. While macroeconomic indicators are improving, the document highlights systemic weaknesses in governance, infrastructure, and human capital that hinder sustainable growth. It provides a comprehensive set of policy recommendations across governance, finance, agriculture, and education to lift the country out of economic fragility.

This research paper presents the 'Financial Flows scenario', a model using the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform to assess the impact of increased aid, foreign direct investment (FDI), and remittances, alongside reduced illicit financial flows (IFFs), on Africa's development indicators through 2043.

The Demographics and Health Scenario is a research paper that models the potential impact of accelerated fertility decline and health infrastructure improvements across Africa. It outlines a series of ambitious but empirically grounded interventions starting in 2027 to enhance human development and economic growth relative to a 'Current Path' forecast.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the historical structural challenges of African agriculture and models an 'Agriculture scenario' to demonstrate how a transition toward high-productivity, technology-driven farming could reduce food insecurity and poverty by 2043.

This research paper presents an 'Agriculture scenario' for Africa, modeling the potential impact of an agricultural revolution through eight specific interventions using the IFs forecasting platform. The scenario aims to address low productivity, climate vulnerability, and food insecurity to stimulate rural economic transformation and diversification.

This research paper describes the 'Sustainable Africa' scenario, which combines differentiated carbon taxes and energy efficiency policies to reduce emissions while accelerating economic growth and poverty reduction across Africa.

This report outlines the 'Combined scenario' for Africa's economic structural transformation toward 2043, focusing on the shift from low-productivity to high-productivity sectors. It details the projected roles of manufacturing, services, agriculture, and ICT, while emphasizing the necessity of urban resilience and regional trade integration via AfCFTA to achieve a diversified, knowledge-based economy.

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines two primary policy responses to climate change in Africa: carbon sequestration through forest regeneration and the implementation of a global carbon tax. It highlights the critical role of the Congo Basin as a carbon sink and analyzes four illustrative global carbon tax scenarios, concluding that a differentiated payment approach aligns best with international equity principles and the Paris Agreement.

This report by the Climate Bonds Initiative argues that expanding domestic renewable energy is critical for Japan's national security and strategic autonomy. It highlights Japan's high dependence on energy imports and proposes a pathway to achieve 80% to 90% clean power by 2035-2040 to reduce geopolitical vulnerability and economic risk.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) and the ClimateShot Investor Coalition (CLIC) provides a roadmap to scale climate finance for livestock systems in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). It identifies a massive funding gap, analyzes investment risks and investor preferences, and proposes financial and policy scenarios to transition toward sustainable livestock practices.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) provides a strategic roadmap to increase climate finance for livestock systems in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). It identifies a massive funding gap, analyzes investment barriers—particularly for smallholders—and proposes a combination of blended finance strategies and public policy reforms to attract private capital and transition the sector toward sustainable practices.

This report by the Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) provides a strategic roadmap to scale climate finance for sustainable livestock systems in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). It identifies a massive funding gap, where current flows are estimated at only USD 100 million annually against needs of USD 23.2 to 25.2 billion. The document analyzes investment barriers—including governance, physical climate, and macroeconomic risks—and proposes a combination of blended finance instruments and policy reforms to attract private capital, particularly for smallholder farmers.

The 'STRATEGIE DE DEVELOPPEMENT A LONG TERME A FAIBLE EMISSION DE CARBONE ET RESILIENT AU CLIMAT DU TOGO' (LT-LEDS) is a comprehensive strategic framework designed to guide Togo toward carbon neutrality by 2060. The document outlines a transition to a low-carbon, climate-resilient economy through sectoral transformations in energy, transport, agriculture, forestry, industrial processes, and waste management. It integrates climate goals with national socio-economic development, emphasizing inclusive growth, gender equality, and the mobilization of approximately 11.9 trillion FCFA in investments to mitigate climate risks and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

This executive summary describes a project aimed at quantifying how inland activities and climate change impact coastal resources in several Caribbean island nations. The project utilizes hydrological modeling of 84 catchments to analyze the flow of water, sediments, and contaminants to coastal ecosystems to support sustainable management and restoration.

This policy brief by Transforma analyzes the feasibility and requirements for Colombia, Argentina, Brazil, and Chile to contribute to the global goals of tripling renewable energy capacity and doubling energy efficiency rates by 2030, as established during COP 28. Using the EnergyScope modeling tool, the document evaluates various scenarios to determine the most cost-effective paths for each country to transition their electrical matrices while reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

This executive summary by Transforma analyzes the feasibility of meeting global targets to triple renewable energy capacity and double energy efficiency by 2030 in Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, and Chile. The study finds that for Brazil, Colombia, and Chile, a literal tripling of 2022 capacity would exceed projected energy demand, whereas for Argentina, it could meet demand but is deemed unfeasible due to the extreme infrastructure and market shifts required to move from a 37.4% to a 90% renewable share in six years.