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Summary and key findings insummary:"conflict of interest"
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165 results

  • This report provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for Equatorial Guinea extending to 2043, based on the International Futures (IFs) platform. It details the country's trajectory across demographics, economics, poverty, and energy, highlighting a significant misalignment between high GDP per capita driven by oil wealth and poor human development indicators.

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    Document type: Report

  • This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a set of policy recommendations for Madagascar to reverse a trajectory of political instability, chronic poverty, and economic crisis. It argues that while economic growth prospects are sound, structural constraints and vulnerabilities prevent the country from achieving inclusive growth and sustainable development.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Madagascar
  • This research paper conclusion evaluates Egypt's progress toward its 'Sustainable Development Strategy: Egypt Vision 2030' and provides a comprehensive set of policy recommendations across health, education, agriculture, manufacturing, infrastructure, and governance to address structural economic challenges.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Egypt
  • This research paper outlines a series of scenario interventions for the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo) using the IFs (Integrated Futures System) model. It details specific multipliers and targets across governance, health, education, agriculture, manufacturing, infrastructure, trade (AfCFTA), and financial flows to project development trajectories from 2024 to 2043, culminating in a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario'.

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    Document type: Research paper

  • This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Lesotho, which integrates 11 sectoral interventions to forecast economic growth, poverty reduction, and carbon emissions by 2043 compared to a 'Current Path' forecast.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Lesotho
  • This research paper presents the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Guinea-Bissau, an integrated forecast combining 11 sectoral scenarios to estimate economic and social outcomes by 2043. The scenario projects significant increases in GDP per capita and overall economic size, alongside a reduction in extreme poverty, though it also forecasts a substantial increase in carbon emissions compared to a 'Current Path' forecast.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Guinea-Bissau
  • This research paper analyzes a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for The Gambia, forecasting the economic and environmental impacts of integrating 11 sectoral development scenarios by 2043. The scenario predicts significant growth in GDP per capita and a sharp reduction in extreme poverty, though it also forecasts a substantial increase in carbon emissions compared to a 'Current Path' forecast.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: The Gambia
  • This report conclusion outlines development projections for Morocco up to 2043, detailing demographic shifts, economic forecasts across various sectoral scenarios, and policy recommendations to achieve sustainable growth and stability.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Morocco
  • This report outlines the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Eswatini, a forecasting model that integrates 11 sectoral interventions to remove constraints to growth. The scenario projects significant increases in GDP per capita and overall economic size by 2043, alongside a substantial reduction in poverty, though it also forecasts an increase in carbon emissions due to ambitious economic growth.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Eswatini
  • This research paper concludes a study on the development futures of Comoros, comparing a 'Current Path' projection with a 'Combined scenario' of sectoral interventions. While macroeconomic indicators are improving, the document highlights systemic weaknesses in governance, infrastructure, and human capital that hinder sustainable growth. It provides a comprehensive set of policy recommendations across governance, finance, agriculture, and education to lift the country out of economic fragility.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Comoros
  • This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for Mauritius from 2019 to 2043. It analyzes demographic shifts toward an aging population, steady economic growth driven by services, the reduction of extreme poverty, and the country's energy dependence and climate vulnerability.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Mauritius
  • This research paper analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Liberia, forecasting the economic and social impacts of integrating 11 sectoral policy interventions by 2043. The scenario predicts significant growth in GDP per capita, a substantial reduction in extreme poverty, and a shift in the economy's sectoral composition, though it also forecasts an increase in carbon emissions due to heightened economic activity.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Liberia
  • This report provides a conclusion to a study on Guinea's development trajectories to 2043, outlining policy recommendations across eight sectors to accelerate economic and human development. It highlights the critical impact of foreign aid on poverty levels and the need to diversify an economy heavily reliant on mining.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Guinea
  • This report provides a comprehensive set of economic, demographic, and social projections for Cape Verde through 2043. It compares a 'Current Path' forecast with several thematic scenarios—including Stability, Agriculture, Education, and Free Trade—to assess their impact on GDP per capita, poverty levels, and carbon emissions. The analysis highlights the country's heavy reliance on tourism and imports, its successful rural electrification efforts, and the potential for significant growth under a combined policy agenda (Agenda 2063).

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: Cape Verde
  • This research paper presents the 'Financial Flows scenario', a model using the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform to assess the impact of increased aid, foreign direct investment (FDI), and remittances, alongside reduced illicit financial flows (IFFs), on Africa's development indicators through 2043.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Africa
  • This report provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for sub-Saharan Africa from 2019 to 2043, utilizing the International Futures (IFs) platform. It analyzes demographic shifts, economic growth, poverty trends, and energy transitions, projecting a region with significant population growth, increasing urbanization, and a shift toward manufacturing and renewable energy, despite persistent challenges with food insecurity and carbon emissions.

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    Document type: Report

  • This report provides policy recommendations for the East African Community (EAC) to address development shortfalls, regional instability, and socio-economic inequalities. It emphasizes the need for harmonized national development plans, increased investment in infrastructure and education, and the implementation of regional frameworks for trade, governance, and security to ensure growth keeps pace with a rapidly expanding population.

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    Document type: Report

  • The Demographics and Health Scenario is a research paper that models the potential impact of accelerated fertility decline and health infrastructure improvements across Africa. It outlines a series of ambitious but empirically grounded interventions starting in 2027 to enhance human development and economic growth relative to a 'Current Path' forecast.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Africa
  • This research paper concludes that while ECOWAS has made progress in regional integration, its current development trajectory is not transformative enough to address structural challenges such as insecurity, corruption, and economic instability. The author argues that without aggressive socio-economic policy interventions, the region will fail to achieve inclusive and sustainable development by 2050.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: ECOWAS
  • This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the scale, impact, and future projections of remittance flows to Africa. It examines how these funds support households and macroeconomic stability, while also warning of potential 'remittance traps' and 'Dutch disease' that can hinder long-term economic growth and government accountability.

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    Document type: Research paper

    Regions: Africa
Showing 21–40 of 165 documents