Comoros: Conclusion

The report analyzes development scenarios for Comoros, contrasting a 'Current Path' with a 'Combined scenario' of sectoral interventions. It identifies systemic barriers including corruption, poor infrastructure, and climate change, while proposing a comprehensive policy framework focusing on governance, agricultural productivity, human capital, and the mobilization of international finance to reduce poverty and expand the formal economy by 2043.

• A 'Combined scenario' of eight sectoral interventions could significantly boost Comoros' economy by 2043, increasing GDP to US$4,801 million—a 67.6% increase over the 'Current Path' projection of US$2,865 million. Under this scenario, GDP per capita is projected to reach US$6,674, which is US$2,072 higher than the Current Path's US$4,602.
• The Combined scenario is projected to reduce the informal sector's share of GDP to 24.6% by 2043, compared to 29.2% on the Current Path. This shift would result in approximately 298,600 fewer informal laborers, reducing the proportion of informal labor from 52.1% to 39% of the total workforce.
• Extreme poverty in Comoros could be significantly reduced under the Combined scenario, with only 182,950 people (14.6% of the population) living in extreme poverty by 2043. This represents an improvement where nearly 185,409 more people are lifted out of poverty compared to the Current Path.
• Comoros faces several interconnected obstacles to prosperity, including insecurity, poor governance, a weak business climate, lack of infrastructure, shortage of human capital, and a heavy dependence on low-productivity agriculture without diversification. Climate change is also identified as a main obstacle.
• To improve agricultural productivity and diversify the economy, the government is advised to invest in productivity-enhancing technologies, provide farmers with drought-resistant and high-yield seedlings, and support R&D focused on agricultural productivity, energy production, and resilience.
• The report recommends strengthening human capital by expanding education and vocational training, particularly in rural areas. Health system improvements should include investing in infrastructure, combating child malnutrition through nutrition programs, and providing free access to vaccines for children under 5 and treatments for tropical diseases like malaria.
• To attract more Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), which currently remains low compared to other lower-middle-income African countries, Comoros should create a transparent business environment and utilize the AfCFTA to increase market size for investors.

APA

Tsopmo, P. C., & Cilliers, J. (2026). Comoros: Conclusion. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=KM&topic=05-conclusion

Chicago

Tsopmo, Pierre Christian, and Jakkie Cilliers. Comoros: Conclusion. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=KM&topic=05-conclusion.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Tsopmo |first1=Pierre Christian |last2=Cilliers |first2=Jakkie |title=Comoros: Conclusion |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=31 May 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=KM&topic=05-conclusion |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{tsopmo2026comoros, author = {Tsopmo, Pierre Christian and Cilliers, Jakkie}, title = {{Comoros: Conclusion}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=KM&topic=05-conclusion}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }