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Glaciers to Farms (G2F) Regional Program: Advancing Climate Resilience & Sustainable Development in Central and West Asia Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Pakistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan
The Glaciers to Farms (G2F) Program is a 10-year, multi-sectoral adaptation initiative designed to address the impacts of glacial retreat and water insecurity in Central and West Asia. Requesting USD 250 million from the Green Climate Fund (GCF) to leverage a total of USD 3.5 billion, the program integrates science-based risk planning, investment in climate-resilient infrastructure, capacity building for agricultural MSMEs, and a regional knowledge platform. It targets 13.6 million direct beneficiaries and 31.5 million indirect beneficiaries, focusing on the Naryn, Pyanj, Kura-Aras, and Swat river basins. Key interventions include multi-hazard early warning systems, nature-based solutions for watershed restoration, and the development of innovative finance mechanisms like sustainability-linked bonds.
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Document type: Report
WEAP for adaptation planning: Water and climate resilience
The Water Evaluation and Adaptation Planning (WEAP) platform is a scenario-based modelling tool used in 190 countries to integrate supply- and demand-side perspectives for water resilience. It enables users to simulate climate-driven scenarios, evaluate adaptation strategies such as infrastructure upgrades and demand management, and analyze trade-offs at the water-energy-food nexus through integration with the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) and macroeconomic models. WEAP supports both top-down and locally led initiatives across various scales, from local watersheds to transboundary river basins.
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Document type: Briefing
Peace research is not defense research: Time to insist on tougher questions – Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)
The author critiques a suggestion by the Norwegian Minister of Research and Higher Education that peace research is a subset of defense research, arguing that peace research must remain a distinct field focused on peace as a public good. The text highlights a decline in the visibility and credibility of the peace movement in the 2020s and warns against the uncritically accepted militarization of public discourse in Norway. The author urges peace researchers to actively participate in public dialogue to define structural peace and steer governance, drawing inspiration from post-Soviet civil society activists who continue to advocate for peace despite high personal costs.
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Document type: Statement
Extraordinary March heatwave in Central Asia: up to 10 °C hotter in a warming climate
A study by World Weather Attribution found that human-induced climate change made a March 2025 heatwave in Central Asia approximately 4 °C hotter and three times more likely. The event saw temperatures exceeding 30 °C even at 1000m altitude, affecting regions including Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan. The analysis notes that climate models underestimate the recent increase in March temperatures, meaning the reported influence of climate change is a conservative estimate. The heatwave coincided with critical agricultural periods, such as the sowing of spring wheat in Kazakhstan and the flowering of export fruit crops, potentially impacting yields in a region where agriculture employs up to 50% of the workforce.
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Document type: Research paper
Cop-Out: Azerbaijan, Caucasus and Central Asia Building Three Times Much Fossil [than] Wind and [Solar]
The report finds a significant gap between renewable energy targets and actual projects in development across the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) region. While six CCA countries have targets totaling 43 GW of renewable additions by 2030–2040, only 30 GW are in development, leaving a 13 GW deficit. Fossil fuel expansion remains dominant, with more than three times as much fossil capacity under construction (11.8 GW of oil and gas plus coal) as wind and utility-scale solar (3.5 GW). Azerbaijan, the COP29 host, is highlighted for limited ambition, with no wind or solar projects in development beyond 2027, calling into question its commitment to a 30% renewable share by 2030.
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Document type: Report
AZERBAIJAN, THE CAUCASUS, AND CENTRAL ASIA BUILDING THREE TIMES AS MUCH FOSSIL AS WIND AND UTILITY-SCALE SOLAR CAPACITY
The report finds that in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) region, fossil fuel capacity under construction is more than three times that of wind and utility-scale solar. While non-fossil projects (including hydropower and nuclear) have a larger total pipeline, they suffer from long lead times and lower construction rates. Most CCA countries are failing to meet their renewable energy targets, with a 13 GW deficit in development across six countries. COP29 host Azerbaijan is highlighted for having a limited pipeline of renewables beyond 2027, calling into question its climate leadership.
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Document type: Report
Climate Shift Index Alert
From June 11-13, 2024, over 290 million people in Northern Africa, the Mediterranean, and the Middle East are forecast to experience extreme heat made at least five times more likely due to human-caused climate change. Maximum temperatures of 40°C or higher are expected in several countries, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Syria, and Egypt. The document highlights risks including wildfires in Greece, damage to Bulgaria's rose oil production, and increased vulnerability for refugees in Libya, Tunisia, and Algeria.
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Document type: Fact sheet
China is rightly dragging its feet on Russia’s Power of Siberia 2 pipeline
The author contends that the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline would undermine China's energy security by increasing dependence on Russia, create unnecessary capital expenditure in an oversaturated market, and conflict with China's goal to peak carbon emissions by 2030.
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Document type: Research paper
Scaling up project preparation and finance for net zero carbon buildings in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan
The report identifies that buildings account for up to 70-80% of collective emissions from buildings, transport, and waste in secondary cities of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. While both nations have introduced energy efficiency targets—Uzbekistan aiming for a 50% improvement in overall economy energy efficiency by 2030 and Kazakhstan targeting a 15% reduction in energy intensity by 2029—implementation is hindered by significant energy subsidies (up to 50% for residential buildings) and a lack of technical capacity. The document maps 12 international entities providing project preparation support and proposes 12 recommendations to address gaps in data, awareness, institutional coordination, and dedicated financial instruments.
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Document type: Report
Analysis of Lifecycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Natural Gas and Coal Powered Electricity
The analysis finds that while gas-fired power plants emit 58% less CO2 at the stack than coal, the lifecycle benefit is reduced to 24% when considering upstream emissions. This benefit varies wildly by production basin; gas from northeast Pennsylvania can significantly reduce GHG impacts, while gas from the Permian basin could potentially worsen them by 20% compared to coal. The report concludes that for natural gas to be compatible with net-zero goals, both aggressive upstream methane abatement and downstream carbon capture and storage (CCS) are required, noting that abated coal with CCS actually shows 37% lower emissions than abated gas with CCS due to the latter's persistent upstream methane and liquefaction emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
National State of the Environment Report: Uzbekistan
The report provides a comprehensive analysis of Uzbekistan's environmental status from 2012 to 2022, highlighting critical challenges in water scarcity, land degradation, and air pollution driven by population and economic growth. It details the ongoing Aral Sea crisis and the country's vulnerability to climate change, while outlining national responses such as the Yashil Makon afforestation project and a transition toward green energy.
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Document type: Report
Национальный доклад о состоянии окружающей среды: Узбекистан
The report provides a comprehensive analysis of Uzbekistan's environmental status using the DPSIR framework. It highlights critical challenges including severe water scarcity, land degradation, and the ongoing Aral Sea crisis, while noting progress in expanding protected areas and transitioning toward renewable energy. The document emphasizes the high vulnerability of the region to climate change, which manifests in rising temperatures and glacier loss, and outlines national strategies for adaptation and sustainable resource management.
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Document type: Report
How the UNFCCC Can Tackle Fossil Fuel Subsidies at COP 28 and Beyond
The report highlights a significant gap between government rhetoric and action regarding fossil fuel subsidies, noting that world governments provided a record USD 1.3 trillion in such subsidies in 2022. It critiques current UNFCCC commitments for lacking deadlines and clear definitions of "inefficient" subsidies. The authors propose several pathways for action at COP 28 and beyond, including the adoption of a 'cover decision', integrating subsidy reform into the first global stocktake, and requiring more ambitious, time-bound commitments in updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). The document also suggests leveraging climate finance discussions, such as the 'net climate finance' concept and the new collective quantified goal (NCQG), to address public financial flows to fossil fuels.
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Document type: Research paper
How to Start Scaling Methane Abatement Finance
The document argues that methane abatement is a cost-effective way to reduce near-term warming but remains severely underfinanced. It identifies a financing gap of USD 34 billion per year to reach a needed USD 48 billion per year by 2030. The brief proposes five priority areas: implementing stringent regulations and fiscal tools, embedding methane abatement in institutional strategies, deepening investment opportunities through concessional finance, funding R&D for scalable technologies, and improving monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV) capacity. It provides specific action paths for domestic policy makers (e.g., banning non-emergency flaring), international financial institutions (e.g., using blended finance and technical assistance), and private actors (e.g., incorporating methane targets into net zero pledges).
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Document type: Policy brief
A Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) of the Uchkuduk-Kazakhstan Border Highway in Uzbekistan
The document outlines the technical and financial framework for the construction of the 4R60 highway connecting the Navoi Oblast in Uzbekistan to the Kazakhstan border. It details the project's goals to improve regional connectivity and safety, the specific engineering designs for rigid and non-rigid pavements, and the SAVi methodology used to assess environmental, social, and economic impacts across three different scenarios.
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Document type: Briefing
THE TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE PARADOX
The report argues that technical assistance (TA) from the World Bank Group (WBG) and Asian Development Bank (ADB) creates a 'paradox' by facilitating fossil gas dependency while the institutions claim to align with the Paris Agreement. Between 2016 and August 2023, the WBG allocated nearly $200 million in TA for gas-related sectors across 14 countries, while the ADB committed nearly $11 million from 2016 to 2021. The authors contend that TA has a disproportionate impact on national energy strategies, often locking countries into carbon-intensive infrastructure and creating stranded asset risks. Case studies in Bangladesh, Vietnam, and Pakistan illustrate how TA has been used to prepare LNG projects or gas storage systems rather than accelerating renewable energy transitions. The report recommends that all energy-sector TA be approved at the Board level and redirected toward enhancing Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and renewable energy infrastructure.
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Document type: Report
Assessment of the Post-Paris Agreement Era
The study analyzed bilateral climate finance from 2016 to 2020 for ten countries with low governance scores, finding a total disbursement of US$1.3 billion. The funding was heavily skewed toward mitigation (92%) and dominated by Japan, which provided US$1 billion specifically for natural gas-fired power plants in Uzbekistan.
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Document type: Research paper
Research findings Assessment on Power Sector Data Transparency in Asia
The assessment finds that data transparency in Asia is generally insufficient, with 24 out of 39 economies scoring poorly. While high-income nations and a few lower-middle income economies like India, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka show better transparency, the region overall struggles with publishing lags, geographical granularity, and time granularity. Only seven economies provide hourly data, and 75% of economies fail to make data available in a timely manner, hindering the analysis required for a renewable energy transition.
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Document type: Report
Methane Corporates
Global Energy Monitor (GEM) finds that 30 fossil fuel companies are responsible for 43% of the industry's global methane emissions. The analysis identifies the National Iranian Oil Company as the largest emitter and highlights the dominance of Chinese state-owned enterprises in coal mine methane emissions. The report emphasizes that emissions vary based on infrastructure age, operator type, and geographic location, noting that some oil and gas emissions could be reduced at no net cost.
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Document type: Briefing
Private-Public Renewable Energy ASEAN
The study examines renewable energy financing through public-private partnerships (PPP) in Southeast Asia and Central Asia. It notes that while hydropower has historically dominated PPPs in both regions, there is a rapid shift toward solar and wind projects. In Southeast Asia, the transition is driven by national commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions via Nationally Determined Contributions, while Central Asian energy profiles vary between fossil fuel reliance in Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan, and hydroelectric power in Tajikistan and the Kyrgyz Republic.
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Document type: Research paper