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From June 11-13, 2024, over 290 million people in Northern Africa, the Mediterranean, and the Middle East are forecast to experience extreme heat made at least five times more likely due to human-caused climate change. Maximum temperatures of 40°C or higher are expected in several countries, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Syria, and Egypt. The document highlights risks including wildfires in Greece, damage to Bulgaria's rose oil production, and increased vulnerability for refugees in Libya, Tunisia, and Algeria.

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  • Between June 11 and 13, 2024, more than 290 million people across Northern Africa, the Mediterranean, and the Middle East will experience extreme heat that human-caused climate change made at least five times more likely.
  • A Climate Shift Index (CSI) level of 5, indicating an exceptional climate change event, is expected for daily average temperatures in several countries, including Algeria, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Iran, Lebanon, North Macedonia, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, Turkmenistan, and Afghanistan.
  • Maximum temperatures of 40°C or above are expected in cities across Greece, Turkey, Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, Syria, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Algeria.
  • The extreme heat poses specific economic and environmental risks, such as increasing wildfire risks in Greece and potentially damaging the quality and quantity of rose oil production in Bulgaria, where temperatures are expected to exceed the ideal 22-24°C range.
  • Vulnerable populations, including refugees and migrants in Libya, Tunisia, and Algeria, as well as people in conflict-torn regions like Syria and the Palestinian Territories (including the Gaza Strip) and Israel, are expected to be impacted by the heat.

Cite the original document

APA
Climate Central (2024). Climate Shift Index Alert. https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-shift-index-alert/climate-shift-index-alert-mediterranean-june-2024
Chicago
Climate Central. Climate Shift Index Alert. 2024. https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-shift-index-alert/climate-shift-index-alert-mediterranean-june-2024.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Climate Central |title=Climate Shift Index Alert |date=11 June 2024 |url=https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-shift-index-alert/climate-shift-index-alert-mediterranean-june-2024 |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{climatecentral2024climate, author = {{Climate Central}}, title = {{Climate Shift Index Alert}}, institution = {Climate Central}, year = {2024}, month = jun, url = {https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-shift-index-alert/climate-shift-index-alert-mediterranean-june-2024}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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