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Djibouti Development Futures
This report analyzes Djibouti's development trajectory through 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' baseline against various sectoral scenarios and a 'Combined' reform pathway. While the country is projected to grow steadily, the report finds that its current capital-intensive, corridor-based model is insufficient to meet the goals of Vision 2035. The analysis identifies governance, financial flows, and regional integration as the most impactful drivers for achieving a more inclusive, diversified, and sustainable economy.
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Document type: Report
Djibouti: Introduction
This introductory research paper provides a geographic, political, and environmental overview of Djibouti, detailing its strategic position as a maritime hub, its extreme climate vulnerability, and its administrative structure.
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Document type: Research paper
Djibouti: Conclusion
This conclusion from the Djibouti Development Futures report analyzes the country's economic trajectory toward 2043, contrasting a 'Current Path' of steady growth with a 'Combined scenario' of accelerated, multi-sectoral reform. It argues that Djibouti must shift from a capital-intensive, infrastructure-driven model to one focused on productivity, governance, and inclusion to meet its Vision Djibouti 2035 goals.
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Document type: Report
Ethiopia: Introduction
This introductory report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a geographic, climatic, and socio-political overview of Ethiopia, detailing its landlocked status, diverse ethnic landscape, and ongoing internal conflicts.
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Document type: Report
COMESA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA), integrating 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast GDP per capita, poverty levels, and carbon emissions by 2043. It highlights the synergistic effects of multi-sectoral reform, projecting significant economic growth and poverty reduction, while noting an inevitable increase in carbon emissions.
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Document type: Report
The origins of Africa’s infrastructure deficit
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies examines the historical drivers of Africa's infrastructure deficit, tracing it from colonial-era extractive designs through post-independence policy failures, macroeconomic crises, and recent trends in urban and railway investment.
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Document type: Research paper
Guidelines for call for proposals Innovation Challenges May 2026
The Global Resilience Partnership (GRP) has issued guidelines for its May 2026 Innovation Challenges, a call for proposals seeking transformative resilience solutions from entrepreneurs and organisations in the Global South. The initiative offers selected winners up to US$50,000 in funding and a comprehensive support package including mentoring, a leadership academy, and communications assistance to scale innovations that address climate and environmental risks.
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Document type: Guide
Africa’s future education requirements: Vocational education
This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines the state and requirements of vocational education in Africa, highlighting a significant mismatch between graduate skills and employer needs, low enrollment in vocational programs in sub-Saharan Africa, and the challenges posed by the Fourth Industrial Revolution.
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Document type: Report
The AfCFTA Implementation Challenges
This research paper examines the implementation challenges of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), focusing on the economic disparities between member states and the resulting risks for Least Developed Countries (LDCs).
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Document type: Research paper
The Manufacturing Sector in Africa
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the state of the manufacturing sector across Africa, highlighting a trend of premature deindustrialization and the varying levels of industrialization across different income groups. It examines the role of Chinese investment in the continent's industrial landscape and the challenges African nations face in moving from raw material exports to high-value manufacturing.
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Document type: Research paper
Impact of the Manufacturing Scenario
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the projected economic and social impacts of a 'Manufacturing scenario' for Africa between 2023 and 2043. The scenario forecasts that a strategic push toward industrialization will drive structural economic transformation, increase GDP, generate millions of jobs, and reduce extreme poverty and income inequality across the continent.
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Document type: Research paper
Africa in a Multipolar World: Navigating Power in Shifting Global Order, 2025
This report by the Africa Policy Research Institute analyzes the geopolitical landscape of Africa in 2025, characterized by a shift toward a multipolar world. It examines the impact of US strategic retrenchment, the first G20 summit held on the continent, tensions in the Horn of Africa, and the strategic competition over critical minerals along the Lobito Corridor.
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Document type: Report
Afrika in einer multipolaren Welt: Machtpolitik in einer sich wandelnden Weltordnung, 2025 (EN)
This report by the Africa Policy Research Institute analyzes the geopolitical landscape of Africa in 2025, characterized by a shift toward a multipolar world order. It examines the impact of the second Trump administration's transactional approach to US-Africa relations, the outcomes of the first G20 summit held on the continent in South Africa, and the strategic competition over critical minerals along the Lobito Corridor. The document also details increasing instability in the Horn of Africa driven by global and regional power rivalries.
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Document type: Report
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
This document is the 'Purpose and Scope' section of a special report titled 'Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040'. It outlines the use of the International Futures modelling platform to analyze Algeria's current development state and project its trajectory to 2040, contrasting a 'Current Path' forecast with a positive 'Algerian Dream' scenario characterized by democratic governance and prosperity.
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Document type: Report
Risk mitigation and transfer in renewable energy investments in East Africa
This report analyzes the role of risk mitigation and transfer instruments in utility-scale renewable energy investments across East Africa, utilizing six case studies from Burundi, Djibouti, Uganda, and Kenya to identify how these tools facilitate the transition from project development to financial close.
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Document type: Report
Von Rohstoffen zu Einfluss: Abkommen über Ressourcen im Austausch gegen Sicherheit verändern die Machtverhältnisse in Afrika
This research paper analyzes the resurgence of 'resources-for-security' deals in Africa, driven by the global demand for critical raw materials (CRMs) for green energy and military technology. It contrasts three primary models: Russia's use of private military companies (PMCs) for mining rights, the US's transactional 'peace-brokering' approach to secure supply chains, and China's 'infrastructure-for-resources' strategy via the Belt and Road Initiative. The paper argues that while these deals offer short-term security or development gains, they often reinforce dependency and authoritarianism, mirroring colonial and Cold War extractive patterns.
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Document type: Research paper
Energising Africa: Enabling Private Sector Development in Renewable Energy
This policy brief by the Africa Policy Research Institute examines the role of private sector investment in unlocking Africa's renewable energy (RE) potential. Using Nigeria as a case study, it identifies financial, regulatory, and infrastructural barriers that hinder the scaling of clean energy and provides strategic recommendations to create a more predictable and attractive investment environment.
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Document type: Policy brief
Turkey’s Strategic Push for Africa’s Minerals and Potential EU Collaboration
This research paper examines Turkey's strategic efforts to secure critical raw materials (CRMs) in Africa to support its domestic industrial goals in defence, electric vehicles, and renewables. It analyzes Turkey's diverse engagement modalities—ranging from direct extraction to integrated industrial hubs and security-linked partnerships—and proposes a trilateral cooperation framework involving the European Union (EU) and African nations to align standards and enhance supply chain resilience.
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Document type: Research paper
Global Solidarity Levies: A Call for Country Participation
This policy brief by the South African Institute of International Affairs advocates for global participation in the Global Solidarity Levy Task Force (GSLTF) to mobilize finance for climate action and sustainable development. It outlines 16 proposed tax options targeting undertaxed, high-emission sectors to address a significant global financing gap, urging developing countries to engage in the design and assessment of these levies to ensure equitable access to funds.
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Document type: Policy brief
Peace & Security Council Report
The April 2025 Peace & Security Council Report by the Institute for Security Studies evaluates the African Union's (AU) peace and security architecture, focusing on the second term of PAPS Commissioner Bankole Adeoye, regional divisions in North Africa, the new AUSSOM mission in Somalia, and the challenges of mediation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
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Document type: Report