Afrika in einer multipolaren Welt: Machtpolitik in einer sich wandelnden Weltordnung, 2025 (EN)

In 2025, African states navigated a multipolar landscape marked by a transactional US approach under the second Trump administration, which led to aid cuts and a push for domestic resource mobilisation in countries like Nigeria and Kenya. The AU-EU partnership faced skepticism over the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), while South Africa's hosting of the G20 Summit resulted in the G20 Africa Engagement Framework and proposals to reform sovereign credit rating practices. Geopolitical competition intensified in the Horn of Africa, exacerbated by Israel's recognition of Somaliland, and along the Lobito Corridor, where the US and EU compete with China to secure critical mineral supply chains and midstream processing capacity.

• The return of the Trump administration in January 2025 introduced a transactional approach to US-Africa relations, characterized by 'commercial diplomacy', new tariffs, and significant aid reductions that triggered humanitarian crises and instability. This shift prompted countries such as Kenya and Nigeria to increase domestic tax collection and revenue drives to reduce structural dependency on external donors, although these efforts are hindered by high debt-service obligations.
• The 2025 G20 Leaders Summit in Johannesburg, the first held in Africa, established the G20 Africa Engagement Framework. This five-year plan seeks to align international financial support with African priorities and reform sovereign credit rating practices. South Africa specifically proposed the African Credit Rating Agency and a Cost of Capital Commission to provide alternatives to US-based firms S&P, Moody’s, and Fitch.
• The Lobito Corridor has become a primary site of strategic competition between the US, EU, and China over critical minerals. While China leads in refining, the US and EU are investing in midstream processing, such as the Lobito Atlantic Railway and Zambia's Kobaloni Energy Refinery. The DRC and Zambia have worked since 2021 to create a cross-border battery and electric vehicle Special Economic Zone (SEZ), though the project faces governance risks including forced evictions in the DRC.

APA

Gnanguênon, A., Adegoke, O., & Gabadadze, L. (2026). Afrika in einer multipolaren Welt: Machtpolitik in einer sich wandelnden Weltordnung, 2025 (EN). Africa Policy Research Institute. https://afripoli.org/de/afrika-in-einer-multipolaren-welt-machtpolitik-in-einer-sich-wandelnden-weltordnung-2025-en

Chicago

Gnanguênon, Amandine, Olufolake Adegoke, and Lili Gabadadze. Afrika in einer multipolaren Welt: Machtpolitik in einer sich wandelnden Weltordnung, 2025 (EN). Africa Policy Research Institute, 2026. https://afripoli.org/de/afrika-in-einer-multipolaren-welt-machtpolitik-in-einer-sich-wandelnden-weltordnung-2025-en.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Gnanguênon |first1=Amandine |last2=Adegoke |first2=Olufolake |last3=Gabadadze |first3=Lili |title=Afrika in einer multipolaren Welt: Machtpolitik in einer sich wandelnden Weltordnung, 2025 (EN) |publisher=Africa Policy Research Institute |date=16 March 2026 |url=https://afripoli.org/de/afrika-in-einer-multipolaren-welt-machtpolitik-in-einer-sich-wandelnden-weltordnung-2025-en |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{gnangunon2026afrika, author = {Gnanguênon, Amandine and Adegoke, Olufolake and Gabadadze, Lili}, title = {{Afrika in einer multipolaren Welt: Machtpolitik in einer sich wandelnden Weltordnung, 2025 (EN)}}, institution = {Africa Policy Research Institute}, year = {2026}, month = mar, url = {https://afripoli.org/de/afrika-in-einer-multipolaren-welt-machtpolitik-in-einer-sich-wandelnden-weltordnung-2025-en}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }