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Building resilience to natural hazards in Indonesia: progress and challenges in implementing the Hyogo Framework for Action
The study assesses Indonesia's implementation of the Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) 2005–2015, finding that while regulatory frameworks and non-government participation have driven progress, resilience is hindered by local government capacity gaps and a lack of mainstreaming into development agendas. Future challenges include urban risk governance and the integration of disaster risk reduction with climate change adaptation.
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Document type: Research paper
Extreme Weather and Climate Change in the American Mind
A survey of Americans reveals that 58% believe global warming affects U.S. weather, with significant portions of the population attributing the severity of events like the 2012 record warmth, the Midwest/Great Plains drought, and Superstorms Sandy and Nemo to climate change. The report notes an increase in the perception that U.S. weather has worsened over recent years, with 85% of respondents reporting personal experience with extreme weather in the past year, most commonly high winds and extreme heat.
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Document type: Executive summary
Tackling exposure: placing disaster risk management at the heart of national economic and fiscal policy
The document highlights a 200% increase in inflation-adjusted global average economic disaster losses over the last 25 years, noting that 2011 was the costliest year on record with US$380 billion in losses. It argues that these losses, driven by increased exposure of assets and people to hazards, threaten macroeconomic outlooks in low and middle-income countries. To mitigate this, the author advocates for embedding disaster risk measures into national budgets, land-use planning, and infrastructure investments based on national risk atlases and disaster risk assessments.
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Document type: Policy brief
مجموعة مصادر التعلم ُّ عن سياسة الصحافة والإعالم املرتبطة باجلنس والأخالق
The document is a practical resource kit developed by the World Association for Christian Communication (WACC) and the International Federation of Journalists (IFJ) to address gender disparities in media content. It provides specific guidelines for reporting on climate change, disasters, economics, sexual and reproductive health, human trafficking, peace and security, politics, and gender-based violence. Each section includes a case study analysis to demonstrate common pitfalls—such as the invisibility of women in economic news or the stereotyping of female political leaders—and offers actionable advice to ensure a more balanced, ethical, and inclusive journalistic approach.
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Document type: Guide
Trousse d’apprentissage pour un journalisme éthique dans le domaine du genre et des politiques au sein des médias
The document is Volume 2 of a learning kit developed by the World Association for Christian Communication (WACC) and the International Federation of Journalists (IFJ). It aims to combat the marginalization of women in the media, noting that in 2010, women constituted only 24% of the people heard, mentioned, or seen in the news. The guide provides specific ethical reporting frameworks for climate change, disasters, economics, sexual and reproductive health, human trafficking, peace and security, politics, and sexual violence.
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Document type: Guide
Community resilience to natural hazards and climate change impacts: a review of definitions and operational frameworks
The paper argues that effective disaster resilience frameworks must integrate sustainable development, disaster risk reduction, and community engagement, while treating resilience building as a process rather than just a set of outcomes to allow for monitoring and evaluation.
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Document type: Research paper
Comparative Destination Vulnerability Assessment for Thailand and Sri Lanka
The report examines six case study destinations—Khao Lak, Patong, and Phi Phi Don in Thailand; and Hikkaduwa, Anuradhapura, and Kataragama in Sri Lanka—to identify drivers of tourism system vulnerability. It introduces a Destination Sustainability Framework (DSF) to analyze how exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive responses interact with socio-political contexts. Findings indicate that established destinations with diversified markets and strong institutional networks, such as Patong, recovered more quickly than newer or more isolated sites like Khao Lak and Phi Phi Don. In Sri Lanka, recovery was hampered by the civil conflict and weak local governance. The report concludes that resilience is strengthened by diversified livelihoods, robust social networks, and strong public-private collaboration, while it is undermined by corruption, poor infrastructure, and social exclusion of minority groups.
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Document type: Report
Destination Vulnerability Assessment for Khao Lak, Thailand
The report analyzes the 2004 tsunami's impact on Khao Lak, Thailand, using a Destination Sustainability Framework. It finds that vulnerability was driven by geophysical exposure (flat terrain, shallow offshore shelf), destination-specific sensitivities (high tourism dependency, seasonality), and governance failures (corruption, lack of capacity). While recovery was aided by loyal repeat clients and strong family networks, it was hindered by uneven aid distribution, limited access to credit for small businesses, and the marginalization of Burmese migrant workers. The document concludes with ten recommendations to improve governance, financial accessibility, and disaster preparedness.
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Document type: Report
Africa as an actor in global governance reform for development
The document assesses Africa's economic vulnerabilities and its limited role in global governance. It argues that while the G20 has emerged as a key coordinator for global challenges like climate change, Africa's voice is weakened by fragmented economies and colonial-era infrastructure. The author contends that Africa must increase intra-African trade and strengthen regional economic communities to earn a more significant place in world decision-making.
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Document type: Statement
Changements climatiques et sécurité en Afrique
The report argues that climate change acts as a 'threat multiplier' in Africa, exacerbating existing vulnerabilities such as poverty and poor governance. It identifies four primary drivers of instability: increasing water scarcity, reduced food security, large-scale climate-induced migration, and the overall impact on state fragility. While climate change can intensify conflicts, the document emphasizes that non-climatic factors—specifically governance and institutional capacity—determine whether these challenges lead to violent conflict. The authors propose four strategies for mitigation: improving climate projections, reducing greenhouse gas emissions, implementing adaptation measures, and integrating climate risks into all levels of governance.
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Document type: Report
Subnational Variation in Civil Conflict Risk
The authors argue that traditional country-level conflict analysis fails to account for spatial and temporal variations, as conflicts often occur in peripheral regions and are triggered by sudden events. By combining a global logit regression model with a subnational risk index—incorporating population, socioeconomic status, ethno-political exclusion, distance from the capital, and conflict history—the study maps latent conflict risk across twelve Asian countries. The results demonstrate significant internal variation, highlighting high-risk areas in India, Nepal, and the Philippines, while suggesting that irregular regime changes and previous conflict history are powerful predictors of future violence.
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Document type: Research paper
Peeling away a banana republic: lessons from Latin America
The document examines El Salvador's recovery from civil war and its efforts to modernize its economy through market reforms, education, and diversification. While the country has successfully reduced its dependence on agriculture and attracted high-tech investment, it continues to face challenges such as low economic growth, high crime, and debt. The author suggests that El Salvador's experience highlights the importance of political consensus, targeted foreign direct investment, and education in achieving sustainable development.
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Document type: Case study
Implications of Climate Change for Armed Conflict
The paper investigates how climate change—specifically through resource scarcity, sea-level rise, and natural disasters—may increase the risk of armed conflict. It proposes a two-stage causal model where environmental changes trigger social catalysts such as economic instability, political instability, social fragmentation, migration, and inappropriate responses. The authors highlight a paradox: while global warming has accelerated, the frequency and severity of armed conflict have generally declined. Empirically, the authors find that statistical literature has failed to establish a robust, general association between resource scarcity and civil war, suggesting that conflict risk depends heavily on country-specific vulnerabilities and governance. The paper recommends prioritizing sustainable development in vulnerable societies and integrating security analysis into IPCC assessments.
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Document type: Research paper
The Challenge of Moving from Acknowledgement to Action: A Review of Vulnerability to Environmental Stresses and Natural Hazards in PRSPs
The report finds that while PRSPs acknowledge vulnerability, they often treat it as a static dimension of poverty rather than a dynamic process. There is a significant gap between the acknowledgement of vulnerability and the implementation of specific, targeted reduction measures, with a tendency to overemphasize exposure over sensitivity and resilience.
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Document type: Report
Cross-level institutional processes and vulnerability to natural hazards in Honduras
The report identifies that while formal hazard management in Honduras improved after Hurricane Mitch, significant vulnerabilities remain due to systemic issues. Key drivers of vulnerability include widespread deforestation, an inaccessible credit system for small farmers, and a national focus on short-term preparedness over long-term mitigation. The study highlights a disconnect between national-level planning and local awareness, where less than 20% of interviewed community members knew the roles of hazard management agencies. While social networks and migration serve as critical short-term coping mechanisms, they do not address the root causes of vulnerability, such as inequitable land tenure and a culture of corruption and mistrust.
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Document type: Report
Policy Submission on Aid Policy for the UN International Meeting on Small Island Developing States
The submission argues that aid to Small Island Developing States (SIDS) has declined by over 50 percent between 1994 and 2004, despite the extreme vulnerability of these states to natural disasters and economic shocks. It highlights a disparity where some states are aid-dependent (with aid exceeding GDP), while others lack basic funding for health and education. The author proposes eight reforms, including untying aid from donor procurement, harmonising donor policies, and replacing GDP per capita with a vulnerability index to assess development needs.
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Document type: Policy brief
Sending humans to Mars won't save Earth
The statement by Scientists for Global Responsibility (SGR) criticises the US government's proposal for a manned mission to Mars, citing an estimated cost of $1 trillion. SGR argues that these funds would be better spent on global aid—such as providing clean water, eliminating hunger, and achieving universal literacy—and on mitigating climate change. The document further links space exploration goals to military interests and highlights the rising costs of climate-related disasters and biodiversity loss.
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Document type: Statement
Environment and Security: Transforming risks into cooperation
The report identifies critical environment and security risks in the Southern Caucasus, focusing on environmental degradation in conflict zones, cross-border resource management, and rapid urban growth in capital cities. It details national vulnerabilities in Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia, including Soviet industrial legacies, seismic risks, and water scarcity, while proposing a multi-pillar work programme for vulnerability assessment, policy development, and institutional capacity building.
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Document type: Report
Adenda_documento 7 CE-XVII & CoP-X
The Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI) has updated its Scientific Agenda to better reflect regional interests and the evolution of global change research. The agenda is organized into four broad themes: understanding climate variability in the Americas, conducting comparative studies of ecosystems and biodiversity, analyzing changes in the composition of the atmosphere and waters, and investigating the human dimensions and policy implications of global change. The IAI aims to promote cooperative research and information exchange to understand the integrated impact of past, present, and future global change on regional and continental environments in the Americas.
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Document type: Briefing
Europe on Fire: Wave 9 of the Global Tracker of Public Opinion
The report finds that while global attitudes toward climate change remain largely stable, there is a distinct increase in concern and perceived impact within Europe, where salience rose in France, Italy, and Spain, and more people reported noticing heatwaves and droughts.
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Document type: Report